Author Topic: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP  (Read 15379 times)

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Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #175 on: August 21, 2024, 02:12:07 pm »
I know he moved up but after all the positive talk here was surprised to see the stats.  He does strike out people but gives up walks. And runs. I don’t think he’s better than 50/50 to make it as a decent MLB pitcher.
well, he clicked in mid-year, around his last May start. also, IIRC, early on he was more or less a victim of horrible fielding at the low A level. Very high BABIP. My recollection up thread is that there's a discussion of this by one of the prospect writers.


Found the discussion. Looks like it was in TalkNats -
was mentioned in Talk Nats comments that he has had a very high GB/FB ratio (between 5 and 6 to 1) but has come back a little to closer to 3:1. He also has an extreme BABIP (.389). The suggestion was earlier in the year infield defense at A ball was killing him. This doesn't explain last year when his GB/FB was 1.89, and ignores the BB problem for much of this year, but it is something to watch, along with the BBs. A good place with Susana would be to get the BBs low, maintain a high GB/FB ratio, and ignore groundball defense problems causing BABIP damage.

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #176 on: August 24, 2024, 07:06:07 pm »
Now on the mlb pipeline top 100 at #100 with the graduation of Hayden Birdsong.

Offline nobleisthyname

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #177 on: August 24, 2024, 08:05:29 pm »
Now on the mlb pipeline top 100 at #100 with the graduation of Hayden Birdsong.

So the Nats will still have 3 even after Crews graduates.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #178 on: August 24, 2024, 08:08:41 pm »
So the Nats will still have 3 even after Crews graduates.
goal is to have him not graduate this season. <130 ABs.

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #179 on: August 24, 2024, 08:09:34 pm »
Right now it's four: Crews, House, Sykora, and Susana.

Offline nobleisthyname

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #180 on: August 24, 2024, 08:39:03 pm »
goal is to have him not graduate this season. <130 ABs.

Ah good point.

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #181 on: August 25, 2024, 11:30:45 pm »
back on track tonight: 5IP, 3H, 1ER, 2BB, 7Ks, 81 pitches. One of the hits was a HR.

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #182 on: August 31, 2024, 08:28:22 pm »
Tonight: 5.0 IP, 7H, 2ER, 1BB, 10Ks. Four of the hits were infield singles.

Offline nobleisthyname

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #183 on: September 01, 2024, 01:57:23 pm »
Age: 20
Team rank: 4
Current level: A+

August recap

W-L|IP|GS|ERA|FIP|SO|BB|K%|BB%|WHIP
2-3|27.1|6|4.94|2.19|46|13|37.4%|10.6%|1.50

Year-to-date (2 levels)

W-L|IP|GS|ERA|FIP|SO|BB|K%|BB%|WHIP
4-10|98.2|23|4.47|2.43|147|46|34.6%|10.8%|1.34

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #184 on: September 06, 2024, 10:49:12 pm »
Another day, another 10Ks (1R, 2H, 2BB in 5 IP)

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #185 on: September 10, 2024, 11:14:35 am »
Jarlin Susana is tapping into his full potential. All it took was trust.
On the field, no one has ever doubted Jarlin Susana’s ability. But to reach his full potential, both the pitcher and his organization needed to believe they were committed to the same goal.

Golden profile of Susana's development.

The article talks about the lengthy process of building trust between the player and the coaching staff on what the coaches wanted him to do to, in the F-burg manager's phrasing, get out of Low A ball and moving towards the majors. Talks about Eddie Longosz with Ricky Gutierrez) reaching out during spring training about building and earning mutual trust.

Quote
Gutierrez could sense Susana was listening intently during that spring training meeting, taking it all in. Eventually, Longosz pointed toward the empty field. He asked Susana whether he wanted to play in the big leagues one day. Susana said yes before turning to Gutierrez and saying, “I want to be where you’re at.”

“As far as Latin players, that’s their biggest thing — trust,” Gutierrez said. “And once they find someone or people that they can trust, I think they can let their guard down and just be themselves.”

There's a lot in their about building trust in Justin Lord, the F-burg pitching coach, and realizing he was riding Susana not out of dislike but wanting to get more out of him. Initially, Susana resisted Lord's saying he wanted him to change from a hard-thrower to a pitcher a complete pitcher who threw hard (like using the curve better). Also Susana getting used to playing full season in front of larger crowds, and cleaning up his diet and prep.


The conversation with Lowery was the turning point in the season. After that, Susana started to work longer bullpens, do more shoulder strengthening and other drills, and  see results leading up to his promotion.

Quote
“Sometimes you got to let guys get to a point where they’re at a breaking point,” Lord said. “That’s where they listen the most. … And I think that he had to get to that point to where he was willing to, whatever we had for him, he wanted it. And he got his season and possibly his career turned around.”

Max Romero is kind of Susana's confidante and "big brother." They are back together in Wilmington, which helps.

More or less, I take from the profile that a chunk of the problem was social. Maturing and trusting a bit on Susana's part, figuring out how to reach him on the staff's part. Finding a way to coach him without repressing what made him good.

Offline Senatorswin

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #186 on: September 10, 2024, 11:35:29 am »
The Nationals top 30 lists Susana's arrival in 2026 and Sykora's 2027. I gotta believe that both will be up at some point in 2026 at the latest.

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #187 on: September 10, 2024, 11:38:55 am »
The Nationals top 30 lists Susana's arrival in 2026 and Sykora's 2027. I gotta believe that both will be up at some point in 2026 at the latest.
If we're in a playoff hunt and need pen help, I could see Susana up next season. Half a season in Double A and I would expect him to be able to get 3-5 outs from the bullpen.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #188 on: September 10, 2024, 11:46:03 am »
I added quotes to the post above.

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #189 on: September 10, 2024, 12:45:01 pm »
Why Ricky Gutierrez meeting with him? I'm certain we have plenty of coaches who speak Spanish. Feels weird to have an infield defense focused coach meet with Susana? What am I missing?

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #190 on: September 10, 2024, 01:01:27 pm »
Why Ricky Gutierrez meeting with him? I'm certain we have plenty of coaches who speak Spanish. Feels weird to have an infield defense focused coach meet with Susana? What am I missing?
well, it was in West Palm Beach during the spring. He may have been around, or maybe Gutierrez is a guy who some of the Spanish-speaking players relate to. He's not directly in the coaching chain for low minors, so maybe if you are reaching out to a guy, players open up more to him.

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #191 on: September 10, 2024, 01:14:37 pm »
The Nationals top 30 lists Susana's arrival in 2026 and Sykora's 2027. I gotta believe that both will be up at some point in 2026 at the latest.

Figure they both start in A+ next year. Best case scenario is that they move up to AA at some point and if are dominant there, could be a late season 2025 callup but more likely are contending for rotation spots in 2026.

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #192 on: October 04, 2024, 11:52:53 pm »
#90 on the MLB pipeline.

Offline nobleisthyname

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #193 on: October 05, 2024, 12:57:49 pm »
Age: 20
Team rank: 4
Current level: A+

2024 season recap (2 levels)

W-L|IP|GS|ERA|FIP|SO|BB|K%|BB%|WHIP
4-10|103.2|24|4.34|2.35|157|48|35.4%|10.8%|1.31

Offline zimm_da_kid

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #194 on: October 05, 2024, 03:07:14 pm »
Crazy era fip difference

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #195 on: October 05, 2024, 03:58:50 pm »
Crazy era fip difference
a chunk of that is infield defense at Frederick at the start of the year.

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #196 on: January 15, 2025, 01:23:32 pm »
Camerato update:

Quote
RHP Jarlin Susana (No. 4/MLB No. 90)
Age: 20
Signing class: 2022, $1.7 million (Padres, acquired in ‘22 Juan Soto blockbuster trade)
Major League ETA: 2026
Last season: Single-A Fredericksburg, High-A Wilmington
2024 stats: 4-10, 4.34 ERA, 13.6 strikeouts per nine innings, 24 starts, 103 2/3 innings
MLB Pipeline: “The 6-foot-6 right-hander’s fastball is the star of the show, typically sitting 97-99 mph but reaching as high as 103. It’s an absolute laser of a heater in more ways than one; it comes in blazing fast but fairly straight, which keeps it from being a true 80-grade pitch. He drops in a high-80s slider that also draws plus grades and forbids anyone from thinking they can sit on straight heat. His changeup and curveball still need work, but the former at least helps his starting chances.”

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #197 on: February 13, 2025, 01:27:34 pm »

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #198 on: February 13, 2025, 05:22:06 pm »
Can't wait for his TJS

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Jarlin Susana, RHP
« Reply #199 on: February 17, 2025, 08:59:16 pm »