Author Topic: The Weather (2024) (Read 10701 times)

imref · « **Reply #150 on:** October 07, 2024, 08:27:46 am »

this link shows storm surge potential based on current forecast:
https://cera.coastalrisk.live

Still showing the worst of it south of Tampa in the Sarasota area.

imref · « **Reply #151 on:** October 07, 2024, 09:32:49 am »

Cat-4, max winds of 150 MPH

Natsinpwc · « **Reply #152 on:** October 07, 2024, 09:38:59 am »

Milton the Monster

imref · « **Reply #153 on:** October 07, 2024, 10:52:41 am »

imref · « **Reply #154 on:** October 07, 2024, 11:14:44 am »

165 MPH winds in the next 12 hours per the NHC. Slowing down some before it hits the coast, but will still be a Cat-3.

imref · « **Reply #155 on:** October 07, 2024, 02:23:07 pm »

Natsinpwc · « **Reply #156 on:** October 07, 2024, 02:29:43 pm »

Went to the Publix here in Orlando and they were out of milk and eggs in addition to water. And took a while to find a cart. Good to see folks in full panic mode. Worst thing for us is our apartment does not have indoor parking and daughter garage is full. Worry about debris blowing around. Oh well.

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #157 on:** October 07, 2024, 02:37:39 pm »

Quote from: Natsinpwc on October 07, 2024, 02:29:43 pm

Went to the Publix here in Orlando and they were out of milk and eggs in addition to water. And took a while to find a cart. Good to see folks in full panic mode. Worst thing for us is our apartment does not have indoor parking and daughter garage is full. Worry about debris blowing around. Oh well.

why don't you drive up to Skippy's? Only half joking, but pensacola might be a place to ride it out.

Natsinpwc · « **Reply #158 on:** October 07, 2024, 03:16:42 pm »

Quote from: JCA-CrystalCity on October 07, 2024, 02:37:39 pm

why don't you drive up to Skippy's? Only half joking, but pensacola might be a place to ride it out.

I think we will be fine here.

imref · « **Reply #159 on:** October 07, 2024, 03:22:23 pm »

Quote from: Natsinpwc on October 07, 2024, 02:29:43 pm

Went to the Publix here in Orlando and they were out of milk and eggs in addition to water. And took a while to find a cart. Good to see folks in full panic mode. Worst thing for us is our apartment does not have indoor parking and daughter garage is full. Worry about debris blowing around. Oh well.

I have a few coworkers in Tampa / St. Pete, they say that gas stations are out of gas. Traffic is jammed.

Video of I-4: https://x.com/Sassafrass_84/status/1843159682497876423

Ali the Baseball Cat · « **Reply #160 on:** October 07, 2024, 03:25:30 pm »

My folks are evacuating from St Pete - they were going to ride it out until the midday update came in as the wurst of the wurst possible worst-case scenarios. Apparently they and many thousands of others are going to fill every hotel room in N Florida/GA.

imref · « **Reply #161 on:** October 07, 2024, 03:25:45 pm »

Unfreaking believable, the NHC is now monitoring a disturbance off the coast of Miami for possible tropical development. Currently only a 10% chance of formation in the next 7 days.

Ali the Baseball Cat · « **Reply #162 on:** October 07, 2024, 03:32:10 pm »

Those Rothschilds...

Quote from: imref on October 07, 2024, 03:25:45 pm

Unfreaking believable, the NHC is now monitoring a disturbance off the coast of Miami for possible tropical development. Currently only a 10% chance of formation in the next 7 days.

Natsinpwc · « **Reply #163 on:** October 07, 2024, 04:03:07 pm »

Captain Kirk is headed to France.

Natsinpwc · « **Reply #164 on:** October 07, 2024, 04:53:38 pm »

Quote from: imref on October 07, 2024, 03:25:45 pm

Unfreaking believable, the NHC is now monitoring a disturbance off the coast of Miami for possible tropical development. Currently only a 10% chance of formation in the next 7 days.

Supposed to head northeast looks like. That’s a relief.

Natsinpwc · « **Reply #165 on:** October 07, 2024, 04:55:22 pm »

Quote from: imref on October 07, 2024, 03:22:23 pm

I have a few coworkers in Tampa / St. Pete, they say that gas stations are out of gas. Traffic is jammed.

Video of I-4: https://x.com/Sassafrass_84/status/1843159682497876423

Our cars are about fill. I heard someone in Publix talk about filling her tank while we waited for lunch meat. I asked her where she was going to drive in the hurricane?

imref · « **Reply #166 on:** October 07, 2024, 05:01:34 pm »

180mph.

imref · « **Reply #167 on:** October 07, 2024, 05:14:37 pm »

This simulation was run four years ago:
https://www.tampabay.com/hurricane/2020/08/14/hurricane-phoenix-is-tampa-bays-devastating-worst-case-scenario/

imref · « **Reply #168 on:** October 08, 2024, 09:58:44 pm »

Wow:

https://jaxtoday.org/2024/10/08/st-augustine-evacuation/

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #169 on:** October 08, 2024, 10:02:23 pm »

Looks like Tampa Bay will be on the North side on the currently projections

imref · « **Reply #170 on:** October 08, 2024, 10:04:03 pm »

Quote from: JCA-CrystalCity on October 08, 2024, 10:02:23 pm

Looks like Tampa Bay will be on the North side on the currently projections

still some potential wobble. Current forecast is still 10-15’ of surge into the bay.

English Natsie · « **Reply #171 on:** October 09, 2024, 02:25:32 am »

Hoping all Florida based WNFF'ers come through unscathed.

imref · « **Reply #172 on:** October 09, 2024, 07:44:25 am »

Milton hasn’t yet weakened and is still heading for the southern edge of Tampa Bay. Prayers as well for those in its path.

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #173 on:** October 09, 2024, 08:38:07 am »

As much attention to the storm surge and the potential around Tampa Bay, the rain totals will be in the 10-15 inch range along I-4, so there could be inland river and urban issues, too. FLA emergency responders and planners are probably as experienced as anyone. Hoping folks are prepared and get through this well. If you are still on after this hits and are able, let us know you are OK when you can. Hoping you stay well.

imref · « **Reply #174 on:** October 09, 2024, 11:02:07 am »

Tornados in Ft. Lauderdale area now from far outer bands.