Fuzzy math? I get around $65MM if you disregard Max's deferred amount...$50MM if you factor that in.
We need Mathguy in here...
Harper = 40 million
Zimmerman = 20 million
Max = 20 million
Max's deferred amount counts towards his AAV. So come 2019, he counts 42 million against the luxury tax.
This also doesn't account for Rendon, who will be getting expensive.
If you cap this team at 100 million, where does the rest of the team come from? Harper on that contract basically eliminates any chance of signing a quality free agent to help bolster the roster. You basically have to play money ball with everyone else on the team and continually look to make deals. You're basically the Royals with Bryce Harper. So yea, you will have a couple years of contention, and then another decade of struggle.