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Gameday Threads / Re: Nationals vs Orioles, Game 2
« Last post by JCA-CrystalCity on Today at 02:17:42 pm »
Quote from: JCA-CrystalCity on Today at 12:38:24 pm
https://www.federalbaseball.com/washington-nationals-analysis/91059/can-washington-nationals-finally-get-back-500

Notes the Nats are 0 for the last 15 games when they could reach .500 with a win.

Sunshine? We have Cade Cavalli going, Varland (9) and Lovelady (11) did not throw that many pitches while Alvarez gave the  rest of the bullpen a day off, and Lord and Schultz should be available with 3 days off.
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Gameday Threads / Nationals vs Orioles, Game 2
« Last post by JCA-CrystalCity on Today at 02:12:35 pm »
Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals
Nationals Park
4:05 PM EDT

Chris Bassitt (RHP) 38 IP, 3-2, 5.21 ERA / 4.65 FIP, 4.5 K-BB%, 1.74 WHIP, 0.71 HR/9, .357 BABIP
Cade Cavalli (RHP) 40.1 IP, 1-2, 4.02 ERA / 3.17 FIP, 13.7 K-BB%, 1.59 WHIP, 0.22 HR/9, .378 BABIP

Ovie Bobblehead Day

Orioles
1. Gunnar Henderson L SS
2. Taylor Ward R LF
3. Adley Rutschman S C
4. Pete Alonso R 1B
5. Samuel Basallo L DH
6. Tyler O'Neill R RF
7. Leody Taveras S CF
8. Coby Mayo R 3B
9. Jeremiah Jackson R 2B

Nationals
1. James Wood L RF
2. Luis García Jr. L 1B
3. José Tena L 3B
4. CJ Abrams L SS
5. Daylen Lile L LF
6. Nasim Nuñez S 2B
7. Keibert Ruiz S C
8. Jorbit Vivas L DH
9. Jacob Young R CF


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The Clubhouse / Re: Sunshine Squad: No More Screwing Around
« Last post by JCA-CrystalCity on Today at 02:03:43 pm »
Quote from: PowerBoater69 on Today at 01:56:29 pm
Wish they had the list of games. How far back does this go? How many games under Butera? How many of these were during the first week of the season?
looks like Zuckerman did  the homework. he may have a  list
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The Red Loft / Re: Must See TV Thread
« Last post by English Natsie on Today at 02:03:10 pm »
Just been watching a couple of soccer themed programs. 'Berlusconi - Condemned To Win' examines the curiously Italian intertwining of soccer and politics, and how Serie A lost it's way during the Naughties. If you're familiar with Italian soccer and politics, from the late '80's onward, then there's much of interest. Shown over here by the Beeb, but produced by ESPN Films, so it may have already had a run-out in the US. 3 x 45 minute episodes, and not as shallow as some ESPN Films productions - well worth your time.

For those who have an interest in the Global Powerhouse, the Beeb has made its recent production 'England 2006 - The Golden Generation' available on You Tube, for viewing overseas. It examines why such a talented group of individuals were unable to 'gel' as a team, and how the 2006 WC campaign went from high expectations to relative mediocrity. 50 minutes run-time and, again, well worth your time.
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The Clubhouse / Re: Sunshine Squad: No More Screwing Around
« Last post by PowerBoater69 on Today at 01:56:29 pm »
Quote from: JCA-CrystalCity on Today at 12:38:24 pm
https://www.federalbaseball.com/washington-nationals-analysis/91059/can-washington-nationals-finally-get-back-500

Notes the Nats are 0 for the last 15 games when they could reach .500 with a win.

Sunshine? We have Cade Cavalli going, Varland (9) and Lovelady (11) did not throw that many pitches while Alvarez gave the  rest of the bullpen a day off, and Lord and Schultz should be available with 3 days off.

Wish they had the list of games. How far back does this go? How many games under Butera? How many of these were during the first week of the season?
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The Clubhouse / Re: Gameday Threads (2026) - Who is starting today or future one?
« Last post by JCA-CrystalCity on Today at 01:23:36 pm »
FG has the Nats lineup posted. Anyone want to start today's thread?

I'm biking over to the Park a bit later so cannot wait to the last minute to start one. If I don't see one started when I get back from lunch, I will start one.
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The Farm / Re: Follow the Prospects: Yohandy Morales, 1B/3B
« Last post by Squab on Today at 01:11:36 pm »
I can see what Longenhagen was saying about not being great against fastballs.
https://prospectsavant.com/player/691002

Ortiz is actually similar here. It's different when you look at other top prospects.

(these tables are all indented wrong sorry i am lazy). but .164 xBA in 2025, .237 in 2026 with xSLG under .350.

Seems to be a much better sinker/slider hitter.


2026
Code: [Select]
Pitch Type Usage xwOBA xSLG xBA Whiff% HardHit% Swing% Velo
4-Seam 29.9% .344 .343 .237 25.93 59.09 45.5 93.7
Slider 19% .357 .461 .290 34.62 54.55 46.0 84.3
Sinker 16.4% .519 .751 .398 27.91 70.59 43.9 93.1
Sweeper 9.7% .298 .426 .217 26.47 28.57 58.6 81.7
Change 8.7% .201 .148 .132 29.63 28.57 51.9 82.8
Cutter 7.2% .380 .566 .267 28.57 33.33 48.8 86.9
Curve 5.7% .279 .236 .209 38.89 80.00 52.9 79.5
Splitter 3.2% .664 1.039 .467 50.00 100.00 42.1 83.3

2025
Code: [Select]
Pitch Type Performance
Pitch Type Usage xwOBA xSLG xBA Whiff% HardHit% Swing% Velo
4-Seam 25.1% .282 .278 .164 44.23 65.63 49.5 93.6
Slider 21.1% .294 .372 .228 38.46 50.79 51.4 84.7
Sinker 16.3% .384 .513 .293 17.14 60.00 51.3 92.7
Sweeper 10.3% .206 .219 .146 42.86 25.93 48.6 82.1
Cutter 9.1% .427 .663 .312 29.49 41.67 51.0 88.3
Change 8.4% .258 .330 .197 45.83 48.00 51.4 84.7
Curve 6.7% .262 .369 .187 26.67 27.27 40.2 78.7
Splitter 1.9% .184 .157 .145 38.89 60.00 56.3 84.5
Slurve 0.9% .691 .000 .000 50.00 0.00 26.7 79.0
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The Clubhouse / Re: Sunshine Squad: No More Screwing Around
« Last post by JCA-CrystalCity on Today at 12:38:24 pm »
https://www.federalbaseball.com/washington-nationals-analysis/91059/can-washington-nationals-finally-get-back-500

Notes the Nats are 0 for the last 15 games when they could reach .500 with a win.

Sunshine? We have Cade Cavalli going, Varland (9) and Lovelady (11) did not throw that many pitches while Alvarez gave the  rest of the bullpen a day off, and Lord and Schultz should be available with 3 days off.
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The Clubhouse / Re: Day-0 - The Arrival of Daylen Lile
« Last post by JCA-CrystalCity on Today at 12:26:59 pm »
Count Sam Sallick at Federal Baseball as one of the "Extend Lile" camp:
https://www.federalbaseball.com/washington-nationals-analysis/91048/daylen-lile-red-hot-carrying-washington-nationals-lineup
Quote
Lile is a player that Paul Toboni should seriously consider extending. Before the season, I wrote about how he was a prime extension candidate. He is good enough to be worthy of an extension, but I do not think the price would be astronomical either. Lile is not a Boras client or anything, so it is something that could be on the table.

Extending a player like Lile would give Paul Toboni a lot of good will with the fanbase. I also think it would be a smart baseball move. In my opinion, extending him is not that risky either. It is pretty clear that Lile’s bat plays in the big leagues, and he is getting better defensively as well. His fielding run value has gone from -10 last year to +1 this year.

That added defensive value to go with an above average bat gives Lile a pretty safe floor as a 2.5 win player. I think he has the ceiling to be more as well. We are seeing some real power from him this season. He has 7 homers already. If Lile can be a 20 homer bat, that would be massive for his profile.

Notes Lile has an .829 OPS after 135 games.

Same article has Butera attributing the current Lile heater to hitting the ball more in front than he had in April. Lile says his toe tap is a bit earlier to hel his timing.
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The Clubhouse / Re: Zack Littell - Your new #1
« Last post by JCA-CrystalCity on Today at 12:19:04 pm »
May mirage?

12.2 IP, 2.13 ERA, 1 HR, .186 Opp BA, 2.84 BB/9, 0.95 WHIP.

But -
2.84 K/9, .171 BABIP, 4.68 FIP.

Somehow, he's given up harder contact (Hard % up 6%)  but decreased his HR rate (Mar/Apr -25% HR/FB, May 5% HR/FB). More flies to CF, less pulled or oppo.
https://www.fangraphs.com/players/zack-littell/15823/splits?position=P

Quote
Butera said Littell came off the mound and into the dugout and said that was the “best that he’s felt.” Littell said he’s gone back to the formula that has served him well in his career: throwing strikes and living with the results.

“The mindset was to go out there and attack guys,” Littell said. “Here’s my stuff, hit it. I think I’ve gotten away from that. We’ve tried to be perfect in some spots, instead of just saying, ‘Here’s my stuff over the plate.’”

From a confidence standpoint, Littell needed Friday’s performance. He entered May with a 7.85 ERA.

“More than anything, it was nice to just prove to myself that we can go out there and get guys out in big spots,” Littell said. “The staff has been awesome. Blake’s been awesome, telling me they’re going to stick with me and giving me the room to earn the trust back that we lost over those few starts.”
https://www.thebanner.com/sports/nationals-mlb/nationals-orioles-series-opener-zack-littell-CAQCT3GTD5BPLKHI2APNLWGPDE/
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