Author Topic: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction  (Read 3930 times)

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Offline Senatorswin

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2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Topic Start: March 26, 2023, 04:32:58 PM »
With the team heading north it's prediction time.

61-101

Offline catocony

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #1: March 26, 2023, 04:45:25 PM »
65-97

Offline HalfSmokes

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #2: March 26, 2023, 04:50:33 PM »
57-105

Online Natsinpwc

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #3: March 26, 2023, 04:58:17 PM »
65-97
I was going to go with that. But will go one higher. 66-96. They should benefit a bit from not having to play the NL East big three so much but both the starting pitching and hitting look rough.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #4: March 26, 2023, 05:01:06 PM »
63-99. 65-97 sounded good, but I figure I will be happy and consider it progress if the Nats avoid 100 losses

Offline imref

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #5: March 26, 2023, 05:09:21 PM »
67-95

Offline zimm_da_kid

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #6: March 26, 2023, 05:31:33 PM »
71-91

Online Natsinpwc

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #7: March 26, 2023, 07:24:33 PM »

Offline comish4lif

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #8: March 26, 2023, 09:16:59 PM »
66-96
Bad, but not as bad as expected.

Offline IanRubbish

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #9: March 26, 2023, 10:14:15 PM »
68-94

The offense will be about the same as last year, but I expect some improvement in pitching and defense.  I'll go with 600 runs scored, 740 against, and 2-3 games extra luck to get to 68 wins.

Lessening the pain will be low scores and the pitch clock which should keep a lot of games in the 2-2.5 hour range. 

Offline Ali the Baseball Cat

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #10: March 26, 2023, 10:55:26 PM »
62-100

Though I think we are going to do better than expected against the Mets and Phillies.  Blame the WBC?

Online aspenbubba

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #11: March 27, 2023, 09:06:56 AM »
64-98. I did not want to replicate others choices and at this point I had to choose between 69-93 and 64-98. I feel 69 wins is just too optimistic.

Offline nobleisthyname

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #12: March 27, 2023, 11:02:02 AM »
64-98. I did not want to replicate others choices and at this point I had to choose between 69-93 and 64-98. I feel 69 wins is just too optimistic.

I'll take the 69-93. Basically same reasoning as IanRubbish but 67 and 68 wins were already taken.

Online aspenbubba

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #13: March 27, 2023, 11:26:36 AM »
I'll take the 69-93. Basically same reasoning as IanRubbish but 67 and 68 wins were already taken.

OK but we split the grand prize. Fair enough?

Online Natsinpwc

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #14: March 27, 2023, 11:59:44 AM »
OK but we split the grand prize. Fair enough?
Grand prize is tickets to a Nats game. Second prize is tickets to two Nats games. Etc.

Offline KnorrForYourMoney

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #15: March 27, 2023, 12:05:28 PM »
I'll go with 60-102.

Offline nobleisthyname

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #16: March 27, 2023, 07:18:16 PM »
OK but we split the grand prize. Fair enough?

Grand prize is tickets to a Nats game. Second prize is tickets to two Nats games. Etc.

 :lol:

Offline captkirk42

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #17: March 28, 2023, 09:44:56 AM »
I always like to say an even 81-81 split BUT I realize that ain't happening anytime soon. Still I want to feel like we are winning. I'll up the optimism to:
75-87

I also hope we finish at least at 3rd place in the division, anything but last place. OK?

Offline GburgNatsFan

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #18: March 28, 2023, 09:48:03 AM »
74-86 (two September rained-out games unplayed due to lack of interest and a resurgence of a more deadly COVID strain).

Offline Count Walewski

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #19: March 28, 2023, 10:16:36 AM »
I'll take 57-104 with one rained out game not being rescheduled.

I'm hoping for one last 100-loss season and a good draft pick. No reason to cheer for a mediocre
outcome.

Offline IanRubbish

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #20: March 28, 2023, 10:54:22 AM »
I also hope we finish at least at 3rd place in the division, anything but last place. OK?

The Marlins have the worst lineup I can remember and Jazz Chisholm is on the 60 day IL.   I'm hopeful for 4th.

Offline nobleisthyname

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #21: March 28, 2023, 07:09:26 PM »
I'll take 57-104 with one rained out game not being rescheduled.

I'm hoping for one last 100-loss season and a good draft pick. No reason to cheer for a mediocre
outcome.

With the new draft lottery rules we can't pick better than 7th next year (or 10th, the rules are confusing).

Offline IanRubbish

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #22: March 28, 2023, 08:28:02 PM »
With the new draft lottery rules we can't pick better than 7th next year (or 10th, the rules are confusing).

If we pay into revenue sharing, then we can't be in the lottery two years in a row, which would mean at best a 7th pick in '24.  If we pay in, we can have a second lottery pick in '24, but not again in '25. 

The lottery is pick 1-6, and once you get past those six picks, its reverse order by worst winning percentage among the 12 remaining non-playoff teams.  So likely outcome being the 2nd or 3rd worst team overall in '24 would be a pick between 7 and 9.  So you're basically right, and makes this year's tank even more ridiculous.

Offline nobleisthyname

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #23: March 28, 2023, 10:06:39 PM »
Thank you for breaking that down, that's the first time it's made sense to me.

Offline Mattionals

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Re: 2023 Won-Lost Record Prediction
« Reply #24: March 29, 2023, 10:37:57 AM »
Thank you for breaking that down, that's the first time it's made sense to me.


Agreed. This actually makes it seem, uh, dare I say, a good thing? This really incentivizes NOT tanking. I know the draft is a crapshoot, but automatically being dropped to 7th is a good reason to try and do better. I think this should apply to teams who do get revenue sharing funds as well, because, as we now have seen, teams that just suck off the proverbial revenue sharing teat would rather just NOT get better.