The Weather - 2023

[imref]

5.5”’of rain in San Francisco today. More on the way

[JCA-CrystalCity]

5.5”’of rain in San Francisco today. More on the way

nephew lives a bit north of there in Lagunitas.  Hope he can sit tight and enjoy a beer there. 

One of his first projects when he bought his place was to install a french drain to control water spilling down the hillside behind his house.  Hope it has some good capacity. 

[Ali the Baseball Cat]

I was in Maine yesterday and it was nearly 60F (on New Years Day?!) - the dogs looked too warm in their LL Bean rag wool coats.

[imref]

My car said it was 68 in nova today.

[imref]

NWS San Francisco on the next Pineapple Express:

To put it simply, this will likely be one of the most impactful systems on a widespread scale that this meteorologist has seen in a long while. The impacts will include widespread flooding, roads washing out, hillside collapsing, trees down (potentially full groves), widespread power outages, immediate disruption to commerce, and the worst of all, likely loss of human life. This is truly a brutal system that we are looking at and needs to be taken seriously.

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=afdmtr

[GburgNatsFan]

NWS San Francisco on the next Pineapple Express:


https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=afdmtr

Hope that those reservoirs get filled. Get something out of it.

[imref]

Hope that those reservoirs get filled. Get something out of it.

they are getting a ton of mountain snow. Last year they also got a ton of snow around the same time of year but then the drought kicked back in and by the end of the winter they had a way below average snow pack.

[JCA-CrystalCity]

Hope that those reservoirs get filled. Get something out of it.

they said after the atmospheric river event in late fall, they were going to need about 4 or so atmospheric river events in order to take care of the drought. It's just a huge deficit they are in. 

[imref]

they said after the atmospheric river event in late fall, they were going to need about 4 or so atmospheric river events in order to take care of the drought. It's just a huge deficit they are in. 

some of the models are showing another 10-20" of rain over the next couple of weeks so that would help/hurt.

[1995hoo]

Feels like 39° outside this morning. We’re in Broward County, Florida. Guess it’s setting us up for when we get home tonight.

[imref]

I was in the keys this week. Much colder back in VA and very windy.

[Natsinpwc]

Feels like 39° outside this morning. We’re in Broward County, Florida. Guess it’s setting us up for when we get home tonight.

Yea. Was 40 this morning in Orlando. Only going 53 today. Colder tonight.

[JCA-CrystalCity]

Decent wind going now in dc

[imref]

Anyone outside with a kite today?

[JCA-CrystalCity]

From the maps, it looks like my brother got 30" of snow out of this coastal storm.

[Nat of the Living Dead]

82 degrees in Charlottesville. Reptilian for this time of year.

[imref]

82 degrees in Charlottesville. Reptilian for this time of year.

beautiful here in NoVa as well.

[JCA-CrystalCity]

Iced Decaf coming in 3 . . . 2 . . . 1 ...

[imref]

tornados currently hitting Little Rock AK. Massive wind storm moving east.

[RobDibblesGhost]

So that was quite a bust today. The weather folks were hyping severe weather up big time but it was clear skies in the metro area. But they got pretty nasty storms to the north in Baltimore (the Os are in their second rain delay due to a pop-up storm right after the first one moved through) and to the south in Richmond and Charlottesville areas. Some of the videos are crazy.

I believe this is referred to in the weather world as the “DC split.”

[Ali the Baseball Cat]

I have a significant amount of open roof covered with a weighted blue tarp tonight...this is the best meteorological bust ever 

[JCA-CrystalCity]

So that was quite a bust today. The weather folks were hyping severe weather up big time but it was clear skies in the metro area. But they got pretty nasty storms to the north in Baltimore (the Os are in their second rain delay due to a pop-up storm right after the first one moved through) and to the south in Richmond and Charlottesville areas. Some of the videos are crazy.

I believe this is referred to in the weather world as the “DC split.”

you listen to the weather folks late and this AM and they are saying they don't know how it happened. It was a perfect set up for big storms, they are saying, and the storms did hit, just north and south.

[imref]

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
 First level 4 severity warning for our area since 2013:

[imref]

Capital Weather Gang:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2023/08/07/dc-weather-alert-severe-thunderstorms-wind/

Storms at a glance
Timing: 4 to 8 p.m., from west to east.
Around 4 p.m. along Interstate 81
Around 6 p.m. near the Beltway and Interstate 95
By around 8 p.m. east of the Chesapeake Bay
Note this timing shift by an hour or so — either earlier or later.

Coverage: Scattered to widespread.

Main threats: Damaging to destructive wind gusts, brief tornadoes, hail, torrential rain and frequent lightning.

Bottom line: Stay aware of the evolving situation. Ensure outdoor items are secure and charge devices. Plan to avoid travel during storms.

The storm hazard of greatest concern is damaging or even destructive winds. The Weather Service’s Storm Prediction Center estimates there’s a 45 percent chance of winds of at least 58 mph within 25 miles of any location in the region, the highest odds since June 13, 2013. Localized gusts over 75 mph, like those observed during the storm outbreak on July 29, cannot be ruled out.

There’s about a 10 percent chance of tornadoes within 25 miles of any location, which is unusually high for this area. Any tornadoes that develop will probably do so very quickly, with little warning. However, the threat from downburst winds — violent gusts that slam into the ground and fan outward — is more significant.

[Ali the Baseball Cat]

Seems like an almost perfect setup for a derecho