Author Topic: Change of plans - At what point would you push for a wild card in 2024?  (Read 6127 times)

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Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Probably ought to be a probability based decision - something like 10% or greater we go all in, else we deal for value. 
That's maybe a model. I'm thinking more that it should not enter into Rizzo's decisionmaking until sometime in July.

For April and May, completely play that any success of Winker, Senzel, Robles, Williams, Corbin, Rosario, Gallo, or the 1-year relievers should be parlayed into a trade for additional prospect depth. Decision on Meneses and Thomas, Harvey, and Finnegan are just a touch more complex because of the additional year of control, but probably any offers better than last year's trade deadline should be considered. The only move to strengthen the team over that time frame would be activating Garrett and calling up Wood when they are ready. If we love Parker, I'd probably look to move Williams sooner than later to make room for Gray's return.

When we get to June, I think I'm in the same mode, but I think moving Harvey and Finnegan gets to be more likely as the serious contenders look to add to their bullpens. Wild-eyed optimist in me also is looking at Crews's development, which might make moving a corner outfielder more likely.

July is decision time. There is a scenario where there are still veterans around and not dealt, Garrett and Wood solidify a couple more roster spots, the rotation is shining, and this is a team still competing for a wild card. At that point, it's a tougher call.  If it is 6 teams contending for 2 spots, and we are sitting 5th, I probably don't push for a shot. I'd consider calling up Crews or House in July, but I don't deal anything, even a Daylen Lile or Cole Henry, to add a Candy type.