Author Topic: Lineup and Batting Order: Arranging the Titanic's Deck Chairs (Read 11307 times)

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #100 on:** June 02, 2024, 06:22:53 pm »

Quote from: Slateman on June 02, 2024, 05:15:35 pm

lol, what?

Winker, Senzel, Williams, Rosario, Floro, and Law will all generate trade interest, if they haven't already.

except for one 7 game stretch, Rosario really has been awful. If you think he's been snakebit on contact, his xBA is .197, his xSLG is .351, and his xwOBA has been .264. He is what he is. I know Mr May, but that's almost exclusively 6 games from 5/5-12. Easily the guy to release when Wood is healthy.

Slateman · « **Reply #101 on:** June 02, 2024, 09:20:45 pm »

Quote from: JCA-CrystalCity on June 02, 2024, 06:22:53 pm

except for one 7 game stretch, Rosario really has been awful. If you think he's been snakebit on contact, his xBA is .197, his xSLG is .351, and his xwOBA has been .264. He is what he is. I know Mr May, but that's almost exclusively 6 games from 5/5-12. Easily the guy to release when Wood is healthy.

Lol dude has three runs and 2 RBI this week. He's practically the entire offense at this point.

GataNats · « **Reply #102 on:** June 02, 2024, 10:49:11 pm »

Rosario is worse than Gallo. Offensively and defensively

imref · « **Reply #103 on:** June 02, 2024, 11:19:54 pm »

Rosario's last 10 games: .139 /.184 / .278

Yeah, Mr. May's clock hit midnight.

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #104 on:** June 03, 2024, 08:29:39 am »

Quote from: Slateman on June 02, 2024, 09:20:45 pm

Lol dude has three runs and 2 RBI this week. He's practically the entire offense at this point.

wanna damn by faint praise.

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #105 on:** June 03, 2024, 08:35:27 am »

Quote from: GataNats on June 02, 2024, 10:49:11 pm

Rosario is worse than Gallo. Offensively and defensively

I think we may be seeing Gallo's hot streak, at least in terms of average.

Since 5/25 - 23 PA, .286 / .348 / .476, 1 HR, 136 wRC+.

nobleisthyname · « **Reply #106 on:** June 03, 2024, 09:07:46 am »

Quote from: Slateman on June 02, 2024, 09:20:45 pm

Lol dude has three runs and 2 RBI this week. He's practically the entire offense at this point.

95% sure you're being sarcastic here so large potential of a whoosh moment for me... But guess who else has had 2 runs and 3 RBIs in their last week of play. Jacob Young

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #107 on:** June 27, 2024, 02:57:55 pm »

OK, so this is more a lineup and defense and not a lineup and batting order comment, but Andrew Lang over at TalkNats has a nice article about squeezing marginal improvement out of the lineup with better defense and smarter baserunning. One point in his analysis was about how the defense by Winker and Thomas let down Harvey in the blown 10th inning save game by letting balls that most outfielders would catch fall in for damage.

Quote

When you look at Monday night’s 10th inning, should Winker have caught the flyball hit near him that had a 66 percent catch probability? He was playing no doubles defense and was close to the ball. Should Thomas have caught Profar’s ball? Per Statcast, the Profar ball had a 58 percent catch probability. If that’s the case, then the answer should be — yes. Sometimes you have to make the tough plays to win games.

https://www.talknats.com/2024/06/27/turn-the-page-improve-the-product/#more-63400

Slateman · « **Reply #108 on:** June 27, 2024, 03:00:34 pm »

No, Winker shouldnt.

Winker should have been DHing. James Wood should have glided over and caught it.

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #109 on:** June 27, 2024, 04:46:30 pm »

Quote from: Slateman on June 27, 2024, 03:00:34 pm

No, Winker shouldnt.

Winker should have been DHing. James Wood should have glided over and caught it.

That'll be Monday unless they put him on a plane tonight.

Another point that I think is valid is whether Alex Call would be more useful than Harold Ramirez, especially after the Wood move. If Winker is your DH, then there's none of this righty / lefty platoon between Rosario and Ramirez. Even with Winker's platoon splits, there just isn't going to be all that many times you pinch hit for him. Ramirez also hasn't played like an upgrade to Joey Singles at first. Call at least could be a defensive substitute for Thomas and leave the Nats a 3 centerfielder defense late. If Winker is the DH, than Call is the backup outfielder in case of injury. Otherwise, it's Vargas or maybe Senzel.

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #110 on:** July 04, 2024, 01:36:23 pm »

Thomas since his return from injury (excluding today):

156 PAs, .266 / .327 / .504, .353 wOBA / 129 wRC+, 6 HR, 6 SB (5 CS).

Adding today, 2 more steals, 2 times on base in 4 PAs, 1 hit and 1 walk with 1 K.

Senatorswin · « **Reply #111 on:** July 04, 2024, 10:23:48 pm »

Lane is really good against left handers and really bad against right handers. When we have enough viable outfielders he should platoon with a left handed batter.

Slateman · « **Reply #112 on:** July 04, 2024, 11:41:11 pm »

Quote from: Senatorswin on July 04, 2024, 10:23:48 pm

Lane is really good against left handers and really bad against right handers. When we have enough viable outfielders he should platoon with a left handed batter.

He's a .763 OPS against RHP since coming back from the IL. He is serviceable against righties.

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #113 on:** July 05, 2024, 07:53:11 am »

Both Thomas and Winker hit same handed pitching OK. There's really no need to platoon them as long as they are both on the team. If this team had one more outfielder who needed to start, we could think about platooning them at DH.

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #114 on:** July 23, 2024, 01:42:42 pm »

Quote from: GataNats on July 23, 2024, 11:46:57 am

Starting Ramirez constantly over Winker, who we are trying to trade, is the height of stupidity

As for Winker and Ramirez, that situation only lasts another week. I don't know if they are selling Winker as a platoon bat or every day. His wOBA for the year and his OPS subpar but are higher vs lefties than are Ramirez's (.301 / .667 vs .281 / .647), so if we are going for the win, maybe he should be full-time and Ramirez tossed in the dustbin of history, but if we are dealing him, maybe just playing against righties dresses up his average

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #115 on:** August 03, 2024, 04:48:19 pm »

Have we seen this before?

Quote from: JCA-CrystalCity on August 03, 2024, 04:46:21 pm

As long as I'm playing around with numbers . . .

1st 98 PAs - player A - .333 / .367 /.591, 6 HR, 167 wRC+
1st 100 PAs - player B - .348 / .400 / .551, 2 HR, 163 wRC+

Player A is Meneses August 2022
Player B isYepez's 1st 100 PAs with the Nats

Slateman · « **Reply #116 on:** August 03, 2024, 05:40:50 pm »

So .... basically ... we need to call up a new first baseman every couple of months?

imref · « **Reply #117 on:** August 04, 2024, 05:20:30 pm »

Alex call is on fire: .429 BA. 1.175 OPS so far.

IanRubbish · « **Reply #118 on:** August 04, 2024, 10:33:24 pm »

Quote from: imref on August 04, 2024, 05:20:30 pm

Alex call is on fire: .429 BA. 1.175 OPS so far.

He’s been amazing. Maybe Davey will let him play three times a week now over Ramirez.

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #119 on:** August 07, 2024, 08:23:00 am »

I get Davey thinking that putting Ruiz between Garcia and Wood might get him going, and that it has paid off a bit, but it's hard not to hit your best hitter against righties 4th at this point.

Call also probably should be 6th at this point and the DH 7th. Against righties, that's Blankenhorn. It's too easy to bring in a lefty to pitch to 3-6 now with Garcia, Ruiz, Wood, and often Blankenhorn in that stretch. Call faces a righty no matter what, and the righty comes to face Ramirez if Davey pinch hits for Blankenhorn. You've got a better chance of getting a lefty to pitch to Call or a righty to Blankenhorn if you switch Call to 6th and DH to 7th. DH at 7th also breaks up the 3 righty bats 7-8-9.

Call is certainly hot right now. It's kind of amazing because he looked so bad last year that it got to be tough to defend carrying him and he was steps away from being a DFA candidate earlier in the year. I don't expect balls to keep on dropping in, but he's always been capable of working long at bats and playing defense well.

Slateman · « **Reply #120 on:** August 07, 2024, 08:38:18 am »

I feel like Call does this all the time. He starts off hot and then crashes back down to earth.

nobleisthyname · « **Reply #121 on:** August 07, 2024, 08:54:15 am »

Call is like the platonic ideal of a 5th outfielder/first guy up. Plus defense at a premium position, can work a count, can occasionally go on a hot streak. He's been above replacement level every time he's been in the majors. I think he's a solid depth piece.

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #122 on:** August 07, 2024, 08:54:24 am »

Quote from: Slateman on August 07, 2024, 08:38:18 am

I feel like Call does this all the time. He starts off hot and then crashes back down to earth.

Call, Vargas, Adams all have short spurts but risk getting over exposed. same reason Stevenson never could start even though he could pinch hit.

Slateman · « **Reply #123 on:** August 07, 2024, 08:56:19 am »

Call as the 4th OFer on this team is fine. Seems pretty obvious that Tena or Lipscomb will be the Vargas replacement.

imref · « **Reply #124 on:** August 07, 2024, 09:06:50 am »

Quote from: Slateman on August 07, 2024, 08:56:19 am

Call as the 4th OFer on this team is fine. Seems pretty obvious that Tena or Lipscomb will be the Vargas replacement.

or Baker.