Author Topic: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2024  (Read 3553 times)

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Offline nobleisthyname

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At the bottom it says updated March 4, 2024 6:23 am. I don't understand the rankings though.

So far for 2024 Fangraphs has updated their top 100 prospects as well as full team farm evaluations for six teams, so they do have some stuff that will be updated, but the majority of the list will not have been updated yet as the remaining 24 teams are still based on last year's final update.

As for how the rankings work, it's based on theoretical cash "value" where each prospect in a team's system has a cash value based on their future value (FV) grade. The table lists it all out but for example 70 FV position player prospect is worth $112M while a 40 FV position player prospect is only worth $2M.


Offline Senatorswin

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So far for 2024 Fangraphs has updated their top 100 prospects as well as full team farm evaluations for six teams, so they do have some stuff that will be updated, but the majority of the list will not have been updated yet as the remaining 24 teams are still based on last year's final update.

As for how the rankings work, it's based on theoretical cash "value" where each prospect in a team's system has a cash value based on their future value (FV) grade. The table lists it all out but for example 70 FV position player prospect is worth $112M while a 40 FV position player prospect is only worth $2M.

Thanks.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Fg still love Wood and Crews. Both top 10, I think

Offline varoadking

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Fg still love Wood and Crews. Both top 10, I think

#6 & #9 respectively, and both projected to arrive in 2025.  Langford is #2 and projected to arrive in 2024.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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#6 & #9 respectively, and both projected to arrive in 2025.  Langford is #2 and projected to arrive in 2024.

I'm ok with that timing.

Offline Mattionals

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From what we've seen so far from Crews, 2025 is valid. He might be a callup in September, but since that isn't a big deal anymore, 2025 is fine.

Offline Slateman

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If Crews needs until 2025 to "be ready" then thats a huge red flag.

Offline Natsinpwc

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Those projections are generally useless.

Offline imref

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Those projections are generally useless.
Yep.

Offline IanRubbish

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Those projections are generally useless.

Yes, their 2019 list had Victor Robles at 5, Keibert Ruiz at 15, Carter Kieboom at 18. 

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Yes, their 2019 list had Victor Robles at 5, Keibert Ruiz at 15, Carter Kieboom at 18. 
then we must be loaded

Offline welch

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Yes, their 2019 list had Victor Robles at 5, Keibert Ruiz at 15, Carter Kieboom at 18. 

Fangraphs had Robles as a 65 FV, saying "He lacks big raw power, but Robles has every other tool and they all play up because he has terrific feel and instincts. He should be a great defensive center fielder and baserunner who makes lots of quality gap-to-gap contact".

https://www.fangraphs.com/players/victor-robles/18363/stats?position=OF

Here was their 2019 ranking, which had Robles as "low risk", right up there with Fernando Tatis, two spots about the great Nick Senzel and far about a couple of chumps named Austin Riley, at 33, and Pete Alonso, at 48.

Offline Slateman

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Senzel was a top 10 prospect too

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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If Crews needs until 2025 to "be ready" then thats a huge red flag.
I wouldn't care if he isn't called up until he can play to the end of the year without losing rookie status. It might be a little slow walking, but I want to see him get most of a year in the minors and be over-ripe rather than a bit raw and learning in the majors on a team going nowhere.

Offline welch

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Senzel was a top 10 prospect too

Senzel was Number 7 in 2019, two places behind Robles.

Offline imref

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Todd Boss' top 60:

http://www.nationalsarmrace.com/?p=18374

Top 10:
Crews
Wood
House
Cavalli
Morales
Hassell
Lile
Green
Vaquero
Herz

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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just bumping so thread not lost

Offline imref

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BBA has updated their top 100.

Dylan Crews #6 (was 6)
James Wood #8 (was 11)
Brady House #57 (was 55)

Cavalli and Morales got votes but didn't make the top-100

Online GataNats

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House is way too low.

Offline imref

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Baseball America names both Crews and Wood to the list of 70 prospects that impressed Scouts during ST this year. Behind a paywall unfortunately:

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/70-prospects-who-impressed-scouts-on-the-backfields/

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Crews is interesting because the raw numbers like hits and avg weren't impressive. I don't recall whether he was making contact and it was just luck, or whether he was a K machine.

Offline Slateman

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Crews is interesting because the raw numbers like hits and avg weren't impressive. I don't recall whether he was making contact and it was just luck, or whether he was a K machine.
Just name recognition. Dude is overmatched. Will take him 2-3 more years

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Just name recognition. Dude is overmatched. Will take him 2-3 more years
that's a funny way of spelling "4+ months."

Offline varoadking

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Just name recognition. Dude is overmatched. Will take him 2-3 more years

Word...

Offline imref

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Crews is interesting because the raw numbers like hits and avg weren't impressive. I don't recall whether he was making contact and it was just luck, or whether he was a K machine.
Well, it's tough to say given how few games are televised. I do recall one game in which he had a few hard hit balls that were either right to fielders, or were a few inches to a foot from being an XBH.

I'm not at all worried about Crews.