Author Topic: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP  (Read 535 times)

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Offline Kevrock

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Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Topic Start: July 29, 2021, 09:48:12 PM »
Acquired from the Dodgers in the Scherzer/Turner trade

Gerardo Carrillo | RHP
Gerardo Carrillo
Born: Sep 3, 1998
Bats: R Throws: R
Ht.: 6'1" Wt.: 180
Drafted/Signed: Mexico, 2016.
Signed By: Mike Brito/Roman Barinas/Juvenal Soto.
VIEW PLAYER CARD
TRACK RECORD: Carrillo was a slight righthander with a quick arm when the Dodgers purchased his rights from the Mexican League''s Tijuana franchise in 2016. He grew three inches and added 25 pounds after signing and saw a huge uptick in velocity, but also struggled to harness his newfound power. Carrillo spent 2020 at the alternate training site and instructional league and showed enough progress that the Dodgers added him to their 40-man roster after the season.

SCOUTING REPORT: Carrillo''s stuff is undeniable. His sinker sits 94-97 mph with nearly 16 inches of run and his short, 89-91 mph slider is a swing-and-miss pitch that moves in the opposite direction. He generates his power stuff with remarkable ease and holds his velocity deep into his outings. He also flashes an average changeup with late drop and mixes in a below-average, slurvy curveball. Carrillo''s issue is his well below-average control. He often throws strikes one inning and can''t find the plate the next. He''s still learning to control the tempo of his delivery and be on time with his arm.

THE FUTURE: Carrillo doesn''t throw enough strikes to start, but he has the stuff to be power reliever if he can keep the ball over the plate. He''ll see Double-A in 2021.

Offline GburgNatsFan

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, OF
« Reply #1: July 29, 2021, 10:11:17 PM »
OF?

Online Five Banners

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, OF
« Reply #2: July 29, 2021, 10:15:15 PM »
OF?

He charges in with a running start like in cricket

Offline Kevrock

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Offline Kevrock

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #4: July 29, 2021, 11:53:31 PM »
Gerardo Carrillo, RHP
Age: 22

Carrillo was the Dodgers No. 22 prospect in their midseason rankings. He is an undersized rigthander with a huge arm but very little control. He went 3-2, 4.25 in 15 appearances (14 starts) with Double-A Tulsa this year. He had 70 strikeouts in 59.1 innings, but also 29 walks and 16 hit batters. Carrillo generates huge run and sink on his 94-97 mph fastball and can reach 99. His short, 89-91 mph slider is another swing-and-miss pitch that moves in the opposite direction and he’ll flash an average changeup. Carrillo generates his velocity with remarkable ease for his size, but often has no idea where the ball is going from one pitch to the next. He’s completed five innings only three times in 14 starts this year and has a habit of looking great for one inning and falling apart the next. Carrillo doesn’t have the control to start, but his power stuff should play even better in one-inning stints. If he shows he can throw strikes more consistently in one-inning bursts, he has a chance to be a high-leverage reliever.

Offline welch

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #5: August 07, 2021, 10:51:47 AM »
Assigned to Harrisburg, but can't find that he has pitched there yet. (Harrisburg roster lists only stats from LAD's Tulsa team)

Offline welch

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #6: August 08, 2021, 06:04:22 PM »
Started today and pitched decently. Five innings, 6 hits, 2 ER, 2 walks, 2 strikeouts.

https://www.milb.com/gameday/seawolves-vs-senators/2021/08/08/645952#game_state=final,lock_state=final,game_tab=box,game=645952

Chez Rogers, at DC Baseball Yesterday and Today FB groups writes:

Quote
Mid-5th in Harrisburg. Gerardo Carrillo has thrown 83 pitches (48 strikes). 2 runs (both earned) on a 1st inning homer. 6 hits, 2 BB. 2 Ks. 7 groundouts, 2 flyouts.
Looks pretty good. A little erratic, but that's to be expected at that level. Will be interesting to see if he remains a starter or shifts to a Paolo type role as a 6th starter/bullpen guy.

Donovan Casey continues to rake.  He's 1-2 with an RBI.

Offline welch

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #7: September 21, 2021, 07:00:16 PM »
Not a good half-season at Harrisburg:

https://www.milb.com/player/gerardo-carrillo-672629

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #8: April 20, 2022, 05:03:30 PM »
Looks like Carillo is injured, he's been placed on the 7-day IL and his velocity is way down.

Offline welch

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #9: April 21, 2022, 10:46:53 PM »
Post: "What is the situation with Gerardo Carrillo? Carrillo, the Nationals’ seventh-ranked prospect per MLB.com, was placed on the seven-day IL with shoulder discomfort Wednesday."

Offline Section214

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #10: July 05, 2022, 10:32:17 AM »
Back in action yesterday in the ROK league. Threw one inning and gave up a run, just good to see him back on the mound. Hope he gets back to Harrisburg soon.

Offline welch

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #11: July 05, 2022, 11:03:15 PM »
I thought this guy had died.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #12: July 06, 2022, 08:31:07 AM »
I thought this guy had died.

You'd better hope not, since he's our #7 prospect on the FG list. 

FG says he's now listed at 5' 11" (compare the opening post - sounds like me going from near 6'3" to a little over 6'1").  Fastball is plus now (60 grade), slider projects as a plus, and change projects as above average.  Weakness is command (30/40).

Quote
Carrillo first popped up on the Dodgers backfields as yet another of their many hard-throwing youngsters, albeit one with a more violent, open-striding, low three-quarters delivery and spotty command, projecting into the relief role he has already assumed. He was sometimes up to 100 mph and routinely sat 94-97 for entire outings even as a teenager, even as a starter. He complements this upper-90s sinker with two good breaking balls, though the curve doesn’t play great because it’s easy for hitters to differentiate from the sinker out of Carrillo’s hand. His tailing, sinking changeup looked better throughout 2021, when Carrillo’s usage of it usurped that of his curveball by a substantial margin before he was traded to the Nationals as part of the huge package for Max Scherzer and Trea Turner. Carrillo had to be added to Washington’s 40-man right away and they deployed him as a reliever at Double-A Harrisburg in April before he was shut down with shoulder discomfort, from which he has yet to return. Carrillo was throwing his slider more than any other pitch prior to being shut down, but it was such a small sample of innings that it might be incorrect to assume this is the approach he’ll take moving forward. His delivery and command were already funneling him to the bullpen and the injury does so even more, though Carrillo’s stuff could enable him to be a late-inning weapon assuming his stuff is back when his shoulder is healthy.


Offline Section214

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #13: July 06, 2022, 09:55:29 AM »
I thought this guy had died.

Guy was out for two months...

Offline welch

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #14: July 06, 2022, 01:43:50 PM »
Guy was out for two months...

Maybe I was thinking of the pitcher they got for Schwarber, Aldo Ramirez.

Offline Section214

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #15: July 11, 2022, 11:59:34 AM »
Left ROK ball and was assigned to Wilmington instead of Harrisburg which is disappointing. Also gave up 2 runs in .1 IP in his first outing there... again, disappointing. Good to see him on the mound though.

Offline Section214

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #16: July 29, 2022, 10:09:27 AM »
Back on the mound in Wilmington and tossed a scoreless inning.

Carillo was the third piece of the Trea/Max trade and supposed to be someone who could be in our bullpen quickly. Would like to see him healthy for a few weeks and back in AA

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #17: August 04, 2022, 10:14:19 AM »
2 more scoreless last night, 1H, 3Ks, 1BB

Offline Kevrock

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #18: August 04, 2022, 10:28:46 AM »
Ranked Washington Nationals #6 prospect in-season in 2022
Track Record: Carrillo’s velocity made a big jump after he grew three inches and put on 25 pounds soon after signing in 2016, but his quest since then has been to harness his stuff. Formerly buried fairly deep in a loaded Dodgers organization, Carrillo immediately became one of the Nationals’ top pitching prospects after coming over in the deal that sent Max Scherzer and Trea Turner to Los Angeles.

Scouting Report: A very good athlete with a lightning-quick arm, Carrillo can pitch east to west with electric stuff. He leads with a fastball that sits 94-97 mph and has touched 99 with massive sink and run. He generates that velocity with relative ease and can hold it deep into his outings. His fastball pairs well with his best secondary pitch, a short, firm slider/cutter hybrid going the other direction in the high 80s to low 90s. He also works with a slurvy curveball and a changeup that are clearly behind the fastball and slider. Below-average command continues to be a nagging issue for Carrillo, and that limits his upside, but there’s hope that improvements still to come in repeating his mechanics and optimizing pitch usage could raise his profile as a potential starter.

The Future: The command issues that persist for Carrillo as he works his way closer to the big leagues make a future in the bullpen increasingly likely. As a member of the Nationals’ 40-man roster and with his fantastic stuff, that future might not be that far away.

Scouting Grades
Fastball: 65. Curveball: 45. Slider: 60. Changeup: 50. Control: 30.

https://www.baseballamerica.com/players/93359/gerardo-carrillo/

Offline Smithian

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #19: August 04, 2022, 11:32:00 AM »
I totally forgot about this guy. If he could earn his way to the big club, that Dodgers trade looks like a best case scenario for the Nats. Ruiz will be our starting C for most of the 2020's and Gray has shown some potential.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Gerardo Carillo, RHP
« Reply #20: August 04, 2022, 12:04:13 PM »
Ranked Washington Nationals #6 prospect in-season in 2022
Track Record: Carrillo’s velocity made a big jump after he grew three inches and put on 25 pounds soon after signing in 2016, but his quest since then has been to harness his stuff. Formerly buried fairly deep in a loaded Dodgers organization, Carrillo immediately became one of the Nationals’ top pitching prospects after coming over in the deal that sent Max Scherzer and Trea Turner to Los Angeles.

Scouting Report: A very good athlete with a lightning-quick arm, Carrillo can pitch east to west with electric stuff. He leads with a fastball that sits 94-97 mph and has touched 99 with massive sink and run. He generates that velocity with relative ease and can hold it deep into his outings. His fastball pairs well with his best secondary pitch, a short, firm slider/cutter hybrid going the other direction in the high 80s to low 90s. He also works with a slurvy curveball and a changeup that are clearly behind the fastball and slider. Below-average command continues to be a nagging issue for Carrillo, and that limits his upside, but there’s hope that improvements still to come in repeating his mechanics and optimizing pitch usage could raise his profile as a potential starter.

The Future: The command issues that persist for Carrillo as he works his way closer to the big leagues make a future in the bullpen increasingly likely. As a member of the Nationals’ 40-man roster and with his fantastic stuff, that future might not be that far away.

Scouting Grades
Fastball: 65. Curveball: 45. Slider: 60. Changeup: 50. Control: 30.

https://www.baseballamerica.com/players/93359/gerardo-carrillo/
this sounds like the thing to watch is his BB/9.  Under 3, he's a stud reliever or possibly rotation.

Offline Section214

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Two shutout appearances this weekend, would like to see him back up in AA before the end of the season. Maybe an Arizona Fall League guy.