Author Topic: Nationals vs Dodgers, Game 3 (Read 13863 times)

Baseball is Life · « **Reply #50 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:26:51 pm »

Quote from: shoeshineboy on July 28, 2019, 02:25:13 pm

So basically, the argument FP is making is that Henley should send Adams because of the low odds of Stras getting a hit. That argument only makes sense if there is a reasonable chance of scoring. You would have to be blind to think that Adams was going to score there unless the Dodgers defense failed to make routine throws. We actually know the odds of Stras getting a hit based upon his stats. It may not be high, but it seems higher than the chances of Adams scoring. That is one reason that send is stupid. The other reason is that if you can pretty much bet that you are giving up the third out at home, you may as well let the pitcher bat to turn the lineup over. If he wants to talk about low odds of the pitcher getting a hit, he should factor in the low odds of scoring when he leads off the next inning.

Sanity. FP is covering for his buddy Sendley.

spidernat · « **Reply #51 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:28:00 pm »

Quote from: Baseball is Life on July 28, 2019, 02:25:41 pm

My point is that the rule is complicated and really I wasn't so much talking about this one play.

tuck rule

Natsinpwc · « **Reply #52 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:28:02 pm »

Quote from: Baseball is Life on July 28, 2019, 02:26:51 pm

Sanity. FP is covering for his buddy Sendley.

Ron Darling took up for Hendley also. Are they friends? Different points of view obviously.

spidernat · « **Reply #53 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:28:54 pm »

Quote from: Natsinpwc on July 28, 2019, 02:28:02 pm

Ron Darling took up for Hendley also. Are they friends? Different points of view obviously.

Darling is a moron

Natsinpwc · « **Reply #54 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:30:19 pm »

Quote from: spidernat on July 28, 2019, 02:28:54 pm

Darling is a moron

Doesn’t look like they will have any more scoring chances today so hoping for a bad throw there was the best odds.

bluestreak · « **Reply #55 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:30:24 pm »

Quote from: Natsinpwc on July 28, 2019, 02:24:09 pm

TBS announcers said it was a good send. Ron Darling. Because two outs.

Need to turn over the lineup.

Natsinpwc · « **Reply #56 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:31:37 pm »

Quote from: bluestreak on July 28, 2019, 02:30:24 pm

Need to turn over the lineup.

Meh.

Baseball is Life · « **Reply #57 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:31:43 pm »

Quote from: Natsinpwc on July 28, 2019, 02:28:02 pm

Ron Darling took up for Hendley also. Are they friends? Different points of view obviously.

I would be curious what Darling had to say.

spidernat · « **Reply #58 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:31:48 pm »

Quote from: Natsinpwc on July 28, 2019, 02:30:19 pm

Doesn’t look like they will have any more scoring chances today so hoping for a bad throw there was the best odds.

I know Adams is slow and I know he had just been hit on the foot but he surprised me with how slow he is. He was Jason Bergmann slow

Natsinpwc · « **Reply #59 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:32:18 pm »

Quote from: Baseball is Life on July 28, 2019, 02:31:43 pm

I would be curious what Darling had to say.

Two outs and pitcher up so you take a chance.

Baseball is Life · « **Reply #60 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:33:19 pm »

Quote from: Natsinpwc on July 28, 2019, 02:32:18 pm

Two outs and pitcher up so you take a chance.

This is MLB. With a slow runner those guys take their time and nail him just about every time. I don't know what the percentage is but you take your chances. Judgement calls, I guess.

Natsinpwc · « **Reply #61 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:33:27 pm »

Quote from: spidernat on July 28, 2019, 02:31:48 pm

I know Adams is slow and I know he had just been hit on the foot but he surprised me with how slow he is. He was Jason Bergmann slow

Didn’t see it but assume he got a bad jump also.

Anyways I’m just playing the role of Slate cause I don’t see him here.

Natsinpwc · « **Reply #62 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:34:08 pm »

Quote from: Baseball is Life on July 28, 2019, 02:33:19 pm

This is MLB. With a slow runner those guys take their time and nail him just about every time.

Please email Ron.

Slateman · « **Reply #63 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:34:13 pm »

Apparently the key to Robles hitting is to hit him in the two hole

Baseball is Life · « **Reply #64 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:35:13 pm »

Quote from: Natsinpwc on July 28, 2019, 02:34:08 pm

Please email Ron.

spidernat · « **Reply #65 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:35:36 pm »

Quote from: Natsinpwc on July 28, 2019, 02:33:27 pm

Didn’t see it but assume he got a bad jump also.

He did. I think he assumed it was going to get caught.

spidernat · « **Reply #66 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:35:51 pm »

Quote from: Slateman on July 28, 2019, 02:34:13 pm

Apparently the key to Robles hitting is to hit him in the two hole

don't get AZ excited

Baseball is Life · « **Reply #67 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:36:16 pm »

Quote from: spidernat on July 28, 2019, 02:35:36 pm

He did. I think he assumed it was going to get caught.

Two outs. He should have been going.

spidernat · « **Reply #68 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:39:06 pm »

4 perfect innings

spidernat · « **Reply #69 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:39:20 pm »

Quote from: Baseball is Life on July 28, 2019, 02:36:16 pm

Two outs. He should have been going.

Of course

Baseball is Life · « **Reply #70 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:40:21 pm »

Today is the definition of a pitching duel. Gotta love it. It reminds me of playoff baseball.

DCFan · « **Reply #71 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:41:32 pm »

Quote from: shoeshineboy on July 28, 2019, 02:25:13 pm

So basically, the argument FP is making is that Henley should send Adams because of the low odds of Stras getting a hit. That argument only makes sense if there is a reasonable chance of scoring. You would have to be blind to think that Adams was going to score there unless the Dodgers defense failed to make routine throws. We actually know the odds of Stras getting a hit based upon his stats. It may not be high, but it seems higher than the chances of Adams scoring. That is one reason that send is stupid. The other reason is that if you can pretty much bet that you are giving up the third out at home, you may as well let the pitcher bat to turn the lineup over. If he wants to talk about low odds of the pitcher getting a hit, he should factor in the low odds of scoring when he leads off the next inning.

C&D said the same thing. So the radio and tv announcers have this figured out but not the nitwits of wnff.

trangert418 · « **Reply #72 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:42:15 pm »

Quote from: spidernat on July 28, 2019, 02:35:36 pm

He did. I think he assumed it was going to get caught.

Wouldn't surprise me if he really was thinking that.

trangert418 · « **Reply #73 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:43:12 pm »

Soto is losing his eye at the plate.......

spidernat · « **Reply #74 on:** July 28, 2019, 02:43:39 pm »

Martinez must be managing from the clubhouse on his phone. It's the only explanation for why this game didn't became a blowout in our favor once he got booted