2018-2019 Offseason Moves

[Slateman]

It was a great offseason.

Remains to be seen

[DCFan]

Remains to be seen

No doubt the proof is in the pudding but no one can say that Rizzo spent the offseason sitting on his thumb. All his pickups have been great on paper.

[imref]

Matt Reynolds dfa’d to make room for Dozier.

[aBaltoNat]

Matt Reynolds dfa’d to make room for Dozier.

When I read this I was pissed. Then I read it was Matt and not Mark.

Is Mark still with the team?

[imref]

When I read this I was pissed. Then I read it was Matt and not Mark.

Is Mark still with the team?

Pretty sure he’s a FA.

[Jeff in Gaithersburg]

Anyone know where Dozier's defensive metrics rank among 2B (range, glove, arm, etc.)? Only thing I've been able to really find on him in that regard is he'll make some great plays but botch a routine one now and then.

[bluestreak]

Anyone know where Dozier's defensive metrics rank among 2B (range, glove, arm, etc.)? Only thing I've been able to really find on him in that regard is he'll make some great plays but botch a routine one now and then.

It looks like he is near the bottom in Defensive Runs Saved and and UZR (15th out of 16 qualified at 2B)

https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=2b&stats=fld&lg=all&qual=y&type=1&season=2018&month=0&season1=2018&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=25,d

He's better in the range statistic by Baseball Reference's stat

https://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/range_factor_per_game_2b_active.shtml

Looking at the stats, made me realize why I wanted LaMahieu when I saw he could be had for 2 years. His defense is really, really good. He would save a bunch of runs on defense.

[Slateman]

So Murphy's glove and Despinosa's bat?

[imref]

So Murphy's glove and Despinosa's bat?

Much much higher upside at this point with Dozier.

[nfotiu]

So Murphy's glove and Despinosa's bat?

Well, even his crappy -8 DRS from last year is nothing compared to the -18 Murphy was able to rack up in just over half a season.   How did Dozier win a gold glove with such mediocre defensive stats and playing on the twins anyway?

[Mattionals]

So Murphy's glove and Despinosa's bat?

Heard that Dozier had a bone bruise last season which really hurt him. Hopefully going into 2019 that has healed and he bounces back to some more career norms. I'm assuming based on Steamer's projections that his glove is more like Alberto Gonzalez's glove with Stephen Drew's bat. I'll take that, slightly below average defense with a .250/.330/.430 slash.

[imref]

Well, even his crappy -8 DRS from last year is nothing compared to the -18 Murphy was able to rack up in just over half a season.   How did Dozier win a gold glove with such mediocre defensive stats and playing on the twins anyway?

he was playing on a hurt knee last year.

[JCA-CrystalCity]

It looks like he is near the bottom in Defensive Runs Saved and and UZR (15th out of 16 qualified at 2B)

https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=2b&stats=fld&lg=all&qual=y&type=1&season=2018&month=0&season1=2018&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=25,d

He's better in the range statistic by Baseball Reference's stat

https://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/range_factor_per_game_2b_active.shtml

Looking at the stats, made me realize why I wanted LaMahieu when I saw he could be had for 2 years. His defense is really, really good. He would save a bunch of runs on defense.

take a look at a multi-year sample for Dozier since he was hurt last year.  Unless he's broken down because of the knee last year, he's an average defender.  His UZR/150 from 2015 through 2018 was -1 run.  Perfectly middling.  Throw out 2018, and he jumps up a run and a half.  You do have to be concerned about the knee (if that was the cause and if it is healed), but assuming the team is OK with his medical reports, his defense should be average level and not a liability.

[nfotiu]

take a look at a multi-year sample for Dozier since he was hurt last year.  Unless he's broken down because of the knee last year, he's an average defender.  His UZR/150 from 2015 through 2018 was -1 run.  Perfectly middling.  Throw out 2018, and he jumps up a run and a half.  You do have to be concerned about the knee (if that was the cause and if it is healed), but assuming the team is OK with his medical reports, his defense should be average level and not a liability.

Middling and average is a pretty substantial upgrade over what he had or what we'd have likely gotten out of Howie.

[Elvir Ovcina]

Anyone know where Dozier's defensive metrics rank among 2B (range, glove, arm, etc.)? Only thing I've been able to really find on him in that regard is he'll make some great plays but botch a routine one now and then.

Absent injury, his range is only ok at this point.  Hands are fine - think single-digit errors most seasons.  His arm is above average for a 2B (former minor league SS) but his release has always looked a little slow to me.    He's not Espinosa in the field, but he's not anything like Murphy either. 

[mitlen]

Absent injury, his range is only ok at this point.  Hands are fine - think single-digit errors most seasons.  His arm is above average for a 2B (former minor league SS) but his release has always looked a little slow to me.    He's not Espinosa in the field, but he's not anything like Murphy either. 

As long as he ain't like Espinosa in the batter's box.

[imref]

As long as he ain't like Espinosa in the batter's box.

he doesn't have quite the facial hair.

[sixthree175]

As long as he ain't like Espinosa in the batter's box.

Last year he was Espinosa in the batter's box.  But that was likely an aberration. 

[mitlen]

Last year he was Espinosa in the batter's box.    But that was likely an aberration. 

     

[Mattionals]

Last year he was Espinosa in the batter's box.  But that was likely an aberration.

To make everyone feel better, Dozier last season was still better than Espi osa in all but three years. Dozier has never posted a strikeout rate like Espinosa in his entire career and Dozier walks more. If he is healthy, I expect him to bounce back to at least a .270 BABIP, and honestly it's not bad at only 9M.

I think this was a good move even monetarily. I'm puzzled how the Dodgers offered a QO to Ryu and they got shafted with paying him 17.9 Million. That makes Dozier look like highway robbery.

[Trea Burner]

Dozier looked washed up last year.

Remains to be seen if this becomes a steal of a signing or if we have Haren 2.0 on our hands.

Same goes for Sanchez.  FA gamble on last season, as opposed to his career decline numbers prior to last year’s performance.

[rileyn]

Dozier looked washed up last year.

Remains to be seen if this becomes a steal of a signing or if we have Haren 2.0 on our hands.

Same goes for Sanchez.  FA gamble on last season, as opposed to his career decline numbers prior to last year’s performance.

That's kinda the name of the game.  All of these off-season moves for, every team, are gambles.  Some pay off, some flame out. 

[imref]

That's kinda the name of the game.  All of these off-season moves for, every team, are gambles.  Some pay off, some flame out. 

yep,. 1 year, $9 million for Dozier, when we've hopefully got a replacement ready sometime this year, isn't much of a gamble.  It's not like we locked him down to a 10 year / $350 million contract.

[UMDNats]

Dozier is the kind of player/contract who is essentially a warm body with upside until Kieboom is ready. It's clear that they think Kieboom is close considering they didn't want to go multiple years with anyone at 2B.

[Slateman]

Dozier is the kind of player/contract who is essentially a warm body with upside until Kieboom is ready. It's clear that they think Kieboom is close considering they didn't want to go multiple years with anyone at 2B.

We had two of those already though