Author Topic: Juan Soto - The Truth making it in DC this year  (Read 47197 times)

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Offline tomterp

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #300 on: June 19, 2018, 11:02:10 am »
If my memory isn't failing me there are 3-4 seats just to the right and higher ( section 236) up where Harper and LaRoche landed a few. The seats are painted white. I don't believe the trajectory of the balls were coming down as there is an over hang. My guess is that they were hit further and would have traveled a greater distance if not impeded by the structure.

I think they measure HR distance by where it lands, correct?  Always seemed unfair to me, they should be able to estimate how far it would have traveled to the ground.  I get it, but still.

Offline bluestreak

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #301 on: June 19, 2018, 11:07:52 am »
Is that the longest HR ever in the park?

It was measured as 433 ft. Harper’s HR on May, 4 2018 went 473 ft. Ryan Zimmerman’s on April 29, 2017 went 470 ft.

Offline Optics

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #302 on: June 19, 2018, 12:10:02 pm »
Juan Soto will have a better MLB career than Bryce Harper.

Quote me in 10 years.

Offline spidernat

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #303 on: June 19, 2018, 12:26:28 pm »
I think they measure HR distance by where it lands, correct?  Always seemed unfair to me, they should be able to estimate how far it would have traveled to the ground.  I get it, but still.



No. They estimate where the ball would've landed.

Online Slateman

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #304 on: June 19, 2018, 12:47:12 pm »
So how long of a slump will it take for everyone to turn on Soto? 10 games? 15?

Offline bluestreak

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #305 on: June 19, 2018, 12:52:32 pm »
So how long of a slump will it take for everyone to turn on Soto? 10 games? 15?

If he went a 4 game series without a hit, I am am certain at least one person would make some comment about the ride being over or turning into a pumpkin or whatever.

Offline aspenbubba

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #306 on: June 19, 2018, 01:03:57 pm »
If he went a 4 game series without a hit, I am am certain at least one person would make some comment about the ride being over or turning into a pumpkin or whatever.
Didn't that almost happen in Toronto? He went 2 for 13.

Online Slateman

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #307 on: June 19, 2018, 01:09:48 pm »
Didn't that almost happen in Toronto? He went 2 for 13.
Bum sucks. DFA.

Offline Ray D

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #308 on: June 19, 2018, 01:15:21 pm »
could be several million dollars if it means he's now a super two and gets 4 years of arbitration.
The homerun was worth at least several million.

Offline tomterp

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #309 on: June 19, 2018, 01:26:24 pm »


No. They estimate where the ball would've landed.

Cool, thanks.

Offline Ray D

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #310 on: June 19, 2018, 01:32:54 pm »


No. They estimate where the ball would've landed.

So I assume that means a straighforward calculation base on launch angle, exit speed, and maybe other factors, like humidity and maybe wind. When did they start that? I mean launch angle and exit speed have only recently been measurable.

Offline varoadking

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #311 on: June 19, 2018, 01:45:53 pm »
So I assume that means a straighforward calculation base on launch angle, exit speed, and maybe other factors, like humidity and maybe wind. When did they start that? I mean launch angle and exit speed have only recently been measurable.

Yeah...I always thought they measured where it actually landed as well...though I thought doing so was dumb...

Offline bluestreak

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #312 on: June 19, 2018, 01:46:38 pm »
So I assume that means a straighforward calculation base on launch angle, exit speed, and maybe other factors, like humidity and maybe wind. When did they start that? I mean launch angle and exit speed have only recently been measurable.

They have always estimated, even back into like the 20s and 30s. Someone at the ballpark would do it. Lots of times they were wrong.

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2698852-the-longest-home-runs-in-mlb-history

Offline UMDNats

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #313 on: June 19, 2018, 01:47:30 pm »
Is 19-year-old Soto better than 19-year-old Adam Dunn?

Offline Ray D

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #314 on: June 19, 2018, 01:53:40 pm »
Is 19-year-old Soto better than 19-year-old Adam Dunn?
At 19 I think Dunn was a quarterback.

Offline Smithian

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #315 on: June 19, 2018, 04:29:15 pm »
So how long of a slump will it take for everyone to turn on Soto? 10 games? 15?
Once he hits 100 ABs hitting well, then in my book he is a major leaguer and doesn't go back down unless hurt. He is at 83 right now.

Offline spidernat

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #316 on: June 19, 2018, 04:34:38 pm »
There's the magical 100 AB's again. :stir:


Did Soto play in the minors on the day the suspended game against NY took place? If so, that would mean he had two different lines for that day.


Without that blast the Nats probably would've lost that game too. :?

Offline imref

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #317 on: June 19, 2018, 04:40:51 pm »
Soto batting 2nd tonight.

Offline UMDNats

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #318 on: June 19, 2018, 05:09:25 pm »
Soto batting 2nd tonight.

Preparing to replace Bryce in 2019 :stir:

Offline bluestreak

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #319 on: June 19, 2018, 05:13:37 pm »
There's the magical 100 AB's again. :stir:


Did Soto play in the minors on the day the suspended game against NY took place? If so, that would mean he had two different lines for that day.


Without that blast the Nats probably would've lost that game too. :?

He went 3-4 with Harrisburg

http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?gid=2018_05_15_haraax_bowaax_1&t=g_box&sid=milb


Offline Smithian

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #321 on: June 20, 2018, 09:25:43 am »
https://www.sbnation.com/mlb/2018/6/19/17477194/juan-soto-nationals-baseball-history
He is jacking homers into LaRoche/Harper territory while taking a good number of walks. I am ready to buy in. I will never predict someone this young to be an elite hitter, but I think he can be pretty darn good. You can build a middle of the order around him and Rendon, especially when you have good table setters like Turner and Robles.


Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #323 on: June 20, 2018, 10:42:37 am »
The homer the other day - I think they said the launch angle was 45%.  That's not optimum for distance, but isn't that the angle for howitzers?  Any artillery guys out there?

Offline vernon337

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Re: Can Juan Soto make it in DC this year?
« Reply #324 on: June 20, 2018, 10:45:38 am »
The homer the other day - I think they said the launch angle was 45%.  That's not optimum for distance, but isn't that the angle for howitzers?  Any artillery guys out there?
I was.
If I remember correctly, 45% is the dividing line between low-angle and high-angle fire for a howitzer, which can do both.  Either way, that was an impressive shot he launched.