Message #1655962

[Lintyfresh85]

[(988*91.7) + (942*92.2)] / (988+942)

Velocity has nothing to do with BABIP. But it has a lot to do with regression.

Thanks for one year. Now try explaining the first three and explain why you chose to weight one year and rely on 4-seam numbers for the other years.

Also, among other things, you're ignoring the fact that he went from throwing 64% 4-seam fastballs in 2014 to throwing a majority 2-seam fastballs in 2015 - so while both his 2-seam and 4-seam fastballs were FASTER than in 2015 his overall velocity dropped because of the mix.

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