Author Topic: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP  (Read 1395 times)

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Offline imref

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Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Topic Start: June 15, 2022, 09:44:39 AM »
Dustin Rey Saenz
PB/T: L/L 5' 11"/197
Born: 6/02/1999 in Corpus Christi, TX
Draft: 2021, Washington Nationals, Round: 4, Overall Pick: 112
College: Texas A&M

https://12thman.com/sports/baseball/roster/dustin-saenz/9676

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CAREER: Has pitched in 47 games as an Aggie, including 23 starts... owns a 10-7 career record and one save with a 4.13 ERA and 158 strikeouts in 150.1 innings of work.

2021 (SENIOR): Started on the mound in 14 games for the Aggies... posted a 6-6 record with a 4.27 ERA and 104 strikeouts in 84.1 innings... finished the year ranked first on the team in starts (14), wins (6), innings pitched (84.1), strikeouts (104), and third in WHIP (1.26)... earned his first win of the year in the Round Rock Classic opener again Baylor (2/26), working 5.2 innings, yielding three runs on nine hits while fanning five... awarded his second win in a stellar performance against New Mexico State (3/5), marking a career-high in innings pitched (7.2), pitches thrown (111) and strikeouts (9)... revamped his career-high in the series opening win over Samford (3/12), tossing 8.0 scoreless frames, scattering four hits and one walk while sitting down 14 batters via strikeout... earned his fourth win of the season against Georgia (3/26) for tossing 5.2 innings, yielding three runs on six hits while striking out 11 and walking one... tossed a gem and earned the win over Missouri (4/1) for working through seven scoreless frames, scattering three hits and three walks while sitting down 10 Missouri batters via strikeout... earned a win over LSU (5/20) in the series opener for workign through 8.0 innings, yielding one lone run on two hits and two walks while sitting down eight Tigers via strikeout.

Minor league stats: https://www.milb.com/player/dustin-saenz-685010

MILB Scouting Report:
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Scouting grades: Fastball: 50 | Slider: 55 | Changeup: 45 | Control: 50 | Overall: 40

Saenz worked as both a starter and a reliever in his first three seasons at Texas A&M, and after going undrafted in the truncated 2020 Draft, he officially moved into a starting role for good as a senior last spring. He was inconsistent for much of the season but ended on a high with striking out eight and allowing one run on two hits over eight innings against LSU in his final outing. The Nationals selected the southpaw in the fourth round a few weeks later and signed him for just below slot at $500,000. He made brief appearances (mostly in relief to save his arm) in the Florida Complex League and with Low-A Fredericksburg in his first taste of the pros.

Saenz tends to lean on his low-80s slider because of its two-plane break. It’s easily his best pitch, and some analysts say it had some of the best metrics among similar pitches in the 2021 Draft class. His fastball doesn’t quite pop in terms of velo at 90-93 mph. It does come with some decent sink, however, and Saenz has little issue spotting to any side of the plate. A low-80s changeup with depth gives him enough to work as a starter, but he didn’t use that specific offering much at A&M.

At just 5-foot-11, Saenz isn’t a classic candidate to add more gas in the pro game. There’s a chance the fastball could play up if he’s moved back to the bullpen and given shorter stints. For now, his promising command and control will give him a puncher’s chance to start, at least early in his journey through the Minors.

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #1: June 15, 2022, 09:47:07 AM »
Activated yesterday off the 7-day IL, pitching at Fredericksburg.  So far this year in 6 starts: 2-0, 31.1 IP, 35Ks, 10BB, 3.45 ERA, 1.24 WHIP

Offline Section214

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #2: June 15, 2022, 10:57:15 AM »
Activated yesterday off the 7-day IL, pitching at Fredericksburg.  So far this year in 6 starts: 2-0, 31.1 IP, 35Ks, 10BB, 3.45 ERA, 1.24 WHIP

Very glad to see him healthy. Do we know what the injury was? I would love to see him get 100+ innings this year in Fburg/Wilmington, I think he could be someone who moves quickly. Not that we need to rush him or anything.

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #3: June 15, 2022, 12:47:44 PM »
I can't find anything on the injury, but there's this:

https://www.mlb.com/news/dustin-saenz-could-move-fast-in-nationals-system

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #4: June 18, 2022, 01:04:14 AM »
3 IP, 1H, 1R, 0BB, 2Ks tonight

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #5: June 23, 2022, 10:44:12 PM »
another great start: 4IP, 3H, 0ER, 1BB, 5Ks


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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #6: July 12, 2022, 06:43:05 PM »
Promoted to Wilmington

Offline Section214

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #7: July 12, 2022, 07:24:38 PM »
I am going to plant my flag early on Saenz and say this time next year we are discussing calling him up to the majors while he performs well in Rochester, barring any injury hiccups. Everything I have read about him makes him sound like a veteran lefty starter in a 23 year old's body.

He threw strikes at Texas A&M and he has thrown strikes in the minors. I think we should add him to the group with Cavalli, Henry and Rutledge as guys we should expect to be a part of our rotation soon and for a long time.

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #8: August 13, 2022, 07:14:52 PM »
Last night: 6 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 4 K

Offline Section214

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #9: August 13, 2022, 07:47:31 PM »
Happy to see him bounce back after a few rough outings when he first got to Wilmington. I would love to see Saenz in the Arizona Fall League.

Offline Section214

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #10: May 05, 2023, 08:46:55 PM »
6 scoreless with 9K 1 H 2 BB. 2.82 ERA over 22 IP in 5 starts this year, 28/6 K/BB.

Struggled in his first two outings, over his last 3 - 16 IP 1 R 21 K 4 BB 6 H. Would like to see him in Harrisburg soon.

Offline Section214

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #11: May 11, 2023, 08:56:06 PM »
Another gem for Saenz. 6 scoreless, 6 strikeouts, 1 run over his last 22 IP.

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #12: May 12, 2023, 05:37:31 PM »
Last four starts:
0.41 ERA
27 SO
6 BB
.122 opp. AVG

Online Natsinpwc

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #13: May 17, 2023, 11:39:31 AM »
He’s pitching today. Got through the first inning quickly. Looks to be a soft tossing guy with good control. A little hard to tell how hard he throws fastball as the pitch speed doesn’t show on all pitches.

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #14: May 17, 2023, 12:33:01 PM »
so far has allowed 5 runs in 3 innings, 0 earned.  Three errors so far.

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #15: May 23, 2023, 11:52:47 PM »
6 innings, 5 hits, 1 run, 0 walks, 8Ks tonight.  2.29 era this season.

Maybe he gets moved up to AA to make room for Bennett?

Offline Section214

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #16: May 24, 2023, 08:32:42 AM »
6 innings, 5 hits, 1 run, 0 walks, 8Ks tonight.  2.29 era this season.

Maybe he gets moved up to AA to make room for Bennett?

Rutledge up to AAA Saenz up to AA and Bennett up to A+

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #17: May 29, 2023, 07:19:26 AM »
5IP, 1H, 0R, 0BB, 7K Yesterday.

Offline Section214

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #18: June 04, 2023, 09:33:18 AM »
Another dominant start. 6 IP, 1R, 5H, 1BB, 4K. ERA sitting at 1.97 across his 10 appearances.

Offline Section214

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #19: June 08, 2023, 05:14:35 PM »
My guy! Promoted to AA. Really excited to see how he does against AA competition.

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #20: June 14, 2023, 07:36:14 PM »
Placed on developmental list

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #21: August 02, 2023, 07:40:19 AM »
Nice start: 7IP, 3H, 1R, 1ER, 0BB, 5K

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #22: August 07, 2023, 05:12:36 PM »
Via talknats: last four starts:

22 IP
2.86 ERA
3.52 FIP
1.00 WHIP
.237 AVG
11 K
4 BB

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #23: August 30, 2023, 11:10:35 AM »
another strong start. I'm excited to see what he does next year: 6IP, 4H, 0R, 1BB, 5K, WP

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Dustin Saenz, LHP
« Reply #24: September 05, 2023, 07:59:20 PM »
still going strong: 5IP, 4H, 1ER, 3K, 0BB.  AFL candidate?