Author Topic: The 2019 Predictions Thread (Read 2525 times)

imref · « **on:** March 25, 2019, 09:02:28 am »

From the home office in beautiful Fresno CA, here we go:

Here we go - the 2019 PREDICTIONS THREAD

See how you did in 2018: http://www.wnff.net/index.php?topic=36151.0

Get them in before opening day:

Wins:
Losses:
NL East Standing:
Playoff Results:

HR Leader and #:
RBI Leader and #:
Runs Leader and #:
Average Leader and #:
SB Leader and #:

Wins Leader and #:
Saves Leader and #:
ERA Leader and # :
K Leader and #:

Team All-Star(s):

Team MVP:

Post-season Awards:

Predict the opening day starting lineup:

What's the opening day bullpen roster (player/role):

What is the starting rotation on opening day?

Who's on the bench on opening day?

Who finishes the year as the #5 pitcher?

Who finishes the year at closer?

When (not if) does Carter Kieboom get called up and is he a starter by year's end?

Where does Anthony Rendon finish in the MVP balloting?

How many games does Ryan Zimmerman play in 2019?

How many games does Stephen Strasburg start in 2019?

How many bases does Trea steal?

Do we extend Rendon (and if so, what's the length/value of his deal?) or do we trade him?

Which player massively over-performs?

Which player massively under-performs?

Predict a trade:

Bonus Prediction: (make one up):

Senatorswin · « **Reply #1 on:** March 25, 2019, 09:53:47 am »

Wins - 87
Loss - 75

2nd wild card

World Series loss to Yankees.

Mets
Nationals
Phillies
Braves
Marlins

imref · « **Reply #2 on:** March 25, 2019, 10:20:07 am »

Wins: 89
Losses: 73
NL East Standing: 2nd
Playoff Results: Wild card loss

HR Leader and #: Soto 31
RBI Leader and #: Soto 104
Runs Leader and #: Turner 85
Average Leader and #: Robles .321
SB Leader and #: Robles 41

Wins Leader and #: Scherzer 17
Saves Leader and #: Rosenthal 34
ERA Leader and # : Scherzer 2.40
K Leader and #: Scherzer 295

Team All-Star(s): Rendon, Scherzer, Soto, Robles

Team MVP: Soto

Post-season Awards: ROY: Robles

Predict the opening day starting lineup: Eaton, Turner, Soto, Rendon, Zimmerman, Gomes, Dozier, Robles

What's the opening day bullpen roster (player/role): Doolittle (CL), Baraclough/Rosenthal (SU), Grace, Suero, Miller, Williams

What is the starting rotation on opening day? Scherzer/Strasburg/Cobin/Sanchez/Hellickson

Who's on the bench on opening day? Stevenson, Sanchez, Adams, Suzuki, Difo

Who finishes the year as the #5 pitcher? Hellickson

Who finishes the year at closer? Rosenthal

When (not if) does Carter Kieboom get called up and is he a starter by year's end? after June 1

Where does Anthony Rendon finish in the MVP balloting? Top 10

How many games does Ryan Zimmerman play in 2019? 120

How many games does Stephen Strasburg start in 2019? 25

How many bases does Trea steal? 35

Do we extend Rendon (and if so, what's the length/value of his deal?) or do we trade him? No, we keep him through the end of the year though

Which player massively over-performs? Robles (well, he's going to be a stud)

Which player massively under-performs? Doolittle

Predict a trade: Nats acquire Will Smith from SF for Taylor and some minor league pieces.

Bonus Prediction: (make one up): Soto finishes top 5 in NL MVP voting

varoadking · « **Reply #3 on:** March 25, 2019, 10:31:11 am »

Quote from: imref on March 25, 2019, 10:20:07 am

Who's on the bench on opening day? Stevenson, Sanchez, Adams, Suzuki

A 24 man roster and Difo in Fresno? Bold...

imref · « **Reply #4 on:** March 25, 2019, 10:32:45 am »

Quote from: varoadking on March 25, 2019, 10:31:11 am

A 24 man roster and Difo in Fresno? Bold...

still have until opening day to update my predictions, not sure yet if Noll makes it. Let's see yours Var.

varoadking · « **Reply #5 on:** March 25, 2019, 10:44:27 am »

Quote from: imref on March 25, 2019, 10:32:45 am

still have until opening day to update my predictions, not sure yet if Noll makes it.

So it's not really a prediction...it's simply a restatement of a certainty?

Quote from: imref on March 24, 2019, 01:12:32 pm

No, Difo has the infield reserve spot locked up.

imref · « **Reply #6 on:** March 25, 2019, 11:08:21 am »

Quote from: varoadking on March 25, 2019, 10:44:27 am

So it's not really a prediction...it's simply a restatement of a certainty?

let's see yours var.

Trea Burner · « **Reply #7 on:** March 25, 2019, 11:34:19 am »

83-79

10-12 games blown by the bullpen.

Expos · « **Reply #8 on:** March 25, 2019, 12:06:08 pm »

Wins: 95
Losses: 67
NL East Standing: 1st
Playoff Results: WS Champs

HR Leader and #: Soto 35
RBI Leader and #: Soto 114
Runs Leader and #: Turner 92
Average Leader and #: Soto .321
SB Leader and #: Turner 52

Wins Leader and #: Max 19
Saves Leader and #: Doolittle 29
ERA Leader and # : Max 2.21
K Leader and #: Max 290

Team All-Star(s): Max, Soto, Rendon

Team MVP: Soto

Post-season Awards: Eaton WS MVP

Predict the opening day starting lineup:

What's the opening day bullpen roster (player/role):

What is the starting rotation on opening day?

Who's on the bench on opening day?

Who finishes the year as the #5 pitcher?

Who finishes the year at closer?

When (not if) does Carter Kieboom get called up and is he a starter by year's end? No

Where does Anthony Rendon finish in the MVP balloting? 15th

How many games does Ryan Zimmerman play in 2019? 80

How many games does Stephen Strasburg start in 2019? 25

How many bases does Trea steal? 52

Do we extend Rendon (and if so, what's the length/value of his deal?) or do we trade him? No. And No.

Which player massively over-performs? Eaton

Which player massively under-performs? Zimmerman

Predict a trade: Taylor and a prospect for a 1B

ChiliPalmer14 · « **Reply #9 on:** March 25, 2019, 01:04:25 pm »

Wins: 86
Losses: 76
NL East Standing: 2nd
Playoff Results: WC game loss

HR Leader and #: Matt Adams 21
RBI Leader and #: Anthony Rendon 91
Runs Leader and #: Adam Eaton 96
Average Leader and #: Juan Soto .312
SB Leader and #: Trea Turner 50

Wins Leader and #: Max Scherzer 17
Saves Leader and #: Doolittle 30
ERA Leader and # : Scherzer 2.88
K Leader and #: Scherzer 247

Team All-Star(s): Anthony Rendon, Juan Soto

Team MVP: Juan Soto

Post-season Awards: None

Predict the opening day starting lineup:
RF Eaton
SS Turner
LF Soto
3B Rendon
1B Zimmerman
2B Dozier
C Gomes
P Scherzer
CF Robles

What's the opening day bullpen roster (player/role):
Doolittle (Closer)
Rosenthal (8th)
Barraclough (7th)
Hellickson (long relief)
Grace (middle)
Austen Williams (middle)
Justin Miller (middle)
Sipp (Specialist)

What is the starting rotation on opening day?
Scherzer
Strasburg
Corbin
Sanchez

Who's on the bench on opening day?
Adams
Difo
Suzuki
Stephenson

Who finishes the year as the #5 pitcher?
Joe Ross

Who finishes the year at closer?
Doolittle

When (not if) does Carter Kieboom get called up and is he a starter by year's end?
September (no)

Where does Anthony Rendon finish in the MVP balloting?
Top 20

How many games does Ryan Zimmerman play in 2019?
80

How many games does Stephen Strasburg start in 2019?
22

How many bases does Trea steal?
50

Do we extend Rendon (and if so, what's the length/value of his deal?) or do we trade him?
Yes. 6/$150

Which player massively over-performs?
Adams

Which player massively under-performs?
Suzuki

Predict a trade:
??

Bonus Prediction: (make one up):
Philly fans try to recreate their ownership of Nats Park.

Squab · « **Reply #10 on:** March 25, 2019, 01:24:11 pm »

Wins: 90
Losses: 72
NL East Standing: 2nd
Playoff Results: NLCS Loss

HR Leader and #: Soto 34
RBI Leader and #: Soto 109
Runs Leader and #: Eaton 100
Average Leader and #: Rendon .312
SB Leader and #: Turner 52

Wins Leader and #: Scherzer 16
Saves Leader and #: Doolittle 34
ERA Leader and # : Scherzer 2.81
K Leader and #: Scherzer 269

Team All-Star(s): Soto Scherzer

Team MVP: Scherzer

Post-season Awards: Rendon GG

Predict the opening day starting lineup: everyone knows this

What's the opening day bullpen roster (player/role): Williams makes it

What is the starting rotation on opening day? everyone knows this

Who's on the bench on opening day? Adams, Difo, Suzuki, Stevenson, Sanchez

Who finishes the year as the #5 pitcher? Hellickson

Who finishes the year at closer? Rosenthal

When (not if) does Carter Kieboom get called up and is he a starter by year's end? July, no.

Where does Anthony Rendon finish in the MVP balloting? 9th

How many games does Ryan Zimmerman play in 2019? 120

How many games does Stephen Strasburg start in 2019? 26

How many bases does Trea steal? 52

Do we extend Rendon (and if so, what's the length/value of his deal?) or do we trade him?
No extension, No trade.

Which player massively over-performs? Dozier

Which player massively under-performs? Corbin

Predict a trade: Crowe and Pineda for Will Smith

Bonus Prediction: (make one up): Doolittle and Bearclaw are not good, we have to acquire multiple relievers. We sign Kimbrel by the end of April.

bluestreak · « **Reply #11 on:** March 25, 2019, 01:52:26 pm »

Wins: 97
Losses:65
NL East Standing: 1st
Playoff Results: WS

HR Leader and #: Soto 33
RBI Leader and #: Rendon 103
Runs Leader and #: Eaton 95
Average Leader and #: Rendon .312
SB Leader and #: Turner 68

Wins Leader and #: Scherzer 20
Saves Leader and #: Doolittle 38
ERA Leader and # : Scherzer 2.43
K Leader and #:Scherzer 276

Team All-Star(s): Turner, Rendon, Scherzer, Soto, Doolittle

Team MVP: Rendon

Post-season Awards:
Robles ROY,
Predict the opening day starting lineup:

Eaton
Turner
Rendon
Soto
Zimmerman
Dozier
Gomes
Scherzer
Robles

What's the opening day bullpen roster (player/role):
Dootlitle
Rosenthal
Bear Claw
Williams
Sipp
Ross
Grace

What is the starting rotation on opening day?
Scherzer
Stras
Corbin
Anibal
Hellickson

Who's on the bench on opening day?
Adams
Difo
Stevenson

Who finishes the year as the #5 pitcher? Hellickson

Who finishes the year at closer? Doolittle

When (not if) does Carter Kieboom get called up and is he a starter by year's end? September 1. No

Where does Anthony Rendon finish in the MVP balloting? 3rd

How many games does Ryan Zimmerman play in 2019? 120

How many games does Stephen Strasburg start in 2019? 25

How many bases does Trea steal? 68

Do we extend Rendon (and if so, what's the length/value of his deal?) or do we trade him? yes 5-140

Which player massively over-performs? Dozier

Which player massively under-performs? Suzuki

Predict a trade: None

Bonus Prediction: (make one up):

Slateman · « **Reply #12 on:** March 25, 2019, 01:55:44 pm »

Wins: 78
Losses: 84
NL East Standing: 3rd
Playoff Results: N/A

HR Leader and #: Soto - 22
RBI Leader and #: Soto - 86
Runs Leader and #: Turner - 99
Average Leader and #: Soto - .287
SB Leader and #: Turner - 56

Wins Leader and #: Corbin - 14
Saves Leader and #: Doolittle- 26
ERA Leader and # : Hellickson - 2.43
K Leader and #: Corbin - 223

Team All-Star(s): Corbin

Team MVP: Corbin

Post-season Awards: none

Predict the opening day starting lineup: OBE

What's the opening day bullpen roster (player/role): OBE

What is the starting rotation on opening day? OBE

Who's on the bench on opening day? OBE

Who finishes the year as the #5 pitcher? Ross

Who finishes the year at closer? Bear

When (not if) does Carter Kieboom get called up and is he a starter by year's end? Yes

Where does Anthony Rendon finish in the MVP balloting? He gets no votes

How many games does Ryan Zimmerman play in 2019? 73

How many games does Stephen Strasburg start in 2019? 18

How many bases does Trea steal? 56

Do we extend Rendon (and if so, what's the length/value of his deal?) or do we trade him? No and no

Which player massively over-performs? Suzuki

Which player massively under-performs? Scherzer

Predict a trade: Garcia traded for a reliever

Bonus Prediction: (make one up): AirDesmond will declare he is done with this team, and then repeatedly come back to badmouth players/managers/management

DCFan · « **Reply #13 on:** March 25, 2019, 07:26:03 pm »

Wins - 85
Loss - 77

2nd wild card
Lose the WC playoff

HR leader - Zim 27

Braves
Nationals
Phillies
Mets
Marlins

LoveAngelos · « **Reply #14 on:** March 25, 2019, 08:35:06 pm »

Nats......if Max and Corbin are in form and Stars plays most the season
Mets
Braves
Marlins
Phillies. .....stupid money is stupid does as momma always said

PowerBoater69 · « **Reply #15 on:** March 26, 2019, 11:56:58 am »

Last year I was closest to the win count with 87 and I continue to be reluctantly pessimistic so I'm not going to guess. I have zero faith in Martinez, I think that we have a bunch of regression candidates who got signed because of improved 2018 numbers, and once again Rizzo has built a World Series level team of starters with little depth to cover guys who get hurt or under perform.

beatdrum · « **Reply #16 on:** March 26, 2019, 05:20:36 pm »

Wins:90
Losses:72
NL East Standing: 1st
Playoff Results: Lose in NLCS

HR Leader and #: Soto 33
RBI Leader and #: Soto 97
Runs Leader and #: Turner 93
Average Leader and #: Rendon .297
SB Leader and #: Turner 48

Wins Leader and #: Scherzer 17
Saves Leader and #: Doolittle 30
ERA Leader and # : Scherzer 2.94
K Leader and #: Scherzer 281

Team All-Star(s): Scherzer, Strasburg, Doolittle, Soto

Team MVP: Soto

Post-season Awards: Scherzer Cy; Robles ROY

Predict the opening day starting lineup: Eaton, Turner, Soto, Rendon, Zimmerman, Dozier, Gomes, Scherzer, Robles

What's the opening day bullpen roster (player/role): Doolitle (cl), Rosenthal (8th), Barraclough (7th), Hellickson, Grace, Sipp, Miller, Suero

What is the starting rotation on opening day? Scherzer, Strasburg, Corbin, Sanchez, Hellickson

Who's on the bench on opening day? Suzuki, Adams, Difo, Noll, Stevenson

Who finishes the year as the #5 pitcher?

Who finishes the year at closer? Doolittle

When (not if) does Carter Kieboom get called up and is he a starter by year's end? June 13; not a starter

Where does Anthony Rendon finish in the MVP balloting? 10th

How many games does Ryan Zimmerman play in 2019? 93

How many games does Stephen Strasburg start in 2019? 30

How many bases does Trea steal? 48

Do we extend Rendon (and if so, what's the length/value of his deal?) or do we trade him? No extension; no trade. He's a FA after the season.

Which player massively over-performs? Brian Dozier (hits over .260 with over 30 hr)

Which player massively under-performs? Anibal Sanchez (over 4.00 era)

Predict a trade: Nats obtain Alex Wood for 2 minor league scrubs

Bonus Prediction: (make one up): Davey finishes 2nd in manager of the year voting (Mike Shildt)

Elvir Ovcina · « **Reply #17 on:** March 26, 2019, 05:40:45 pm »

Wins: 83
Losses: 79
NL East Standing: T-2nd
Playoff Results: None

HR Leader and #: Soto, 24
RBI Leader and #: Rendon, 87
Runs Leader and #: Turner, 92
Average Leader and #: Rendon, .286
SB Leader and #: Turner, 61

Wins Leader and #: Scherzer, 18
Saves Leader and #: Doolittle, 26
ERA Leader and #: Scherzer, 2.52
K Leader and #: Scherzer, 280
Team All-Star(s): Scherzer

Team MVP: Scherzer

Post-season Awards: Scherzer, Cy Young

Predict the opening day starting lineup: Eaton 9, Turner 6, Soto 7, Rendon 5, Zimmerman 3, Dozier 4, Gomes 2, Scherzer 1, Robles 8

What's the opening day bullpen roster (player/role): Doo (closer), Rosenthal (setup), Barraclough (blower of games #1), Sipp (lefty #1), Grace (lefty #2, blower of games #2), Miller (first DFA), Suero (forgotten man)

What is the starting rotation on opening day? Sch, Str, Corbin, Cannibal, Hell

Who's on the bench on opening day? Studzuki, Adams, Noll (!), Difo, Stevenson

Who finishes the year as the #5 pitcher? Ross

Who finishes the year at closer? Doo

When (not if) does Carter Kieboom get called up and is he a starter by year's end? Never; no.

Where does Anthony Rendon finish in the MVP balloting? no votes

How many games does Ryan Zimmerman play in 2019? 112

How many games does Stephen Strasburg start in 2019? 23

How many bases does Trea steal? 61

Do we extend Rendon (and if so, what's the length/value of his deal?) or do we trade him? No to both.

Which player massively over-performs? Rosenthal, Dozier

Which player massively under-performs? Corbin, Soto, Sanchez, Eaton

Predict a trade: For the second straight year, Adams is traded at the deadline for a bucket of baseballs.

Bonus Prediction: (make one up): At least 1 active MLB player dies during the season.

Baseball is Life · « **Reply #18 on:** March 27, 2019, 05:15:16 am »

Wins: 94
NL East Standing: First
Playoff Results: Lose WS

HR Leader and #: Zimmerman, 27
RBI Leader and #: Rendon, 94
Runs Leader and #: Turner, 89
Average Leader and #: Rendon, .305
SB Leader and #: Turner, 52

Wins Leader and #: Strasburg, 18
Saves Leader and #: Doo, 28
ERA Leader and # : Scherzer, .217
K Leader and #: Scherer, 252

Team All-Star(s): Turner, Scherzer, Stras

Team MVP: Turner

Post-season Awards: Scherzer wins Cy

Natsinpwc · « **Reply #19 on:** March 27, 2019, 10:04:29 am »

Keith Law has the Astros over the Nats in the World Series.

imref · « **Reply #20 on:** March 27, 2019, 10:43:42 am »

Zuck's predictions:

http://www.masnsports.com/nationals-pastime/2019/03/2019-mlb-predictions.html

He has the Braves winning the East again, with D.C. and Philly as the Wildcard.

Quote

NL wild card game: Nationals over Phillies
NLDS: Cardinals over Nationals, Dodgers over Braves
NLCS: Cardinals over Dodgers

Astros over STL in the WS

Optics · « **Reply #21 on:** March 27, 2019, 11:48:45 am »

Been a long offseason. Good to see you folks again.

Wins: 93
Losses: 69
NL East Standing: 1st
Playoff Results: Lose NLCS to Dodgers

HR Leader and #: Juan Soto, 32
RBI Leader and #: Anthony Rendon, 97
Runs Leader and #: Trea Turner, 87
Average Leader and #: Anthony Rendon, .291
SB Leader and #: Trea Turner, 42

Wins Leader and #: Max Scherzer, 18
Saves Leader and #: Trevor Rosenthal, 31
ERA Leader and # : Max Scherzer, 2.77
K Leader and #: Max Scherzer, 299

Team All-Star(s): Juan Soto, Anthony Rendon, Max Scherzer

Team MVP: Anthony Rendon

Post-season Awards: Gold Glove and Silver Slugger for Anthony Rendon

Predict the opening day starting lineup: Eaton, Turner, Soto, Rendon, Zimmerman, Gomes, Dozier, Robles

What's the opening day bullpen roster (player/role): Doolittle (CL), Baraclough/Rosenthal (SU), Grace, Suero, Miller, Williams

What is the starting rotation on opening day? Scherzer/Strasburg/Cobin/Sanchez/Hellickson

Who's on the bench on opening day? Stevenson, Sanchez, Adams, Suzuki

Who finishes the year as the #5 pitcher? Hellickson

Who finishes the year at closer? Rosenthal

When (not if) does Carter Kieboom get called up and is he a starter by year's end? after June 1

Where does Anthony Rendon finish in the MVP balloting? 3rd

How many games does Ryan Zimmerman play in 2019? 137

How many games does Stephen Strasburg start in 2019? 26

How many bases does Trea steal? 42

Do we extend Rendon (and if so, what's the length/value of his deal?) or do we trade him? Extended midway through the season.

Which player massively over-performs? Adam Eaton

Which player massively under-performs? Victor Robles

Predict a trade: Get a big bat at the deadline

Bonus Prediction: (make one up): Nats take 3/4 from the Phillies in the second last series of the season to win the division. In the winning game, Rosenthal strikes out Harper in the 9th to ice it.

imref · « **Reply #22 on:** March 27, 2019, 12:37:22 pm »

538 has us at 89-73, behind only LA in the NL:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/

varoadking · « **Reply #23 on:** March 27, 2019, 02:48:17 pm »

Quote from: imref on March 27, 2019, 12:37:22 pm

538 has us at 89-73, behind only LA in the NL:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/

That's the Kiss of Death right there...

Natsinpwc · « **Reply #24 on:** March 27, 2019, 03:11:38 pm »

Abbreviated picks:

Wins: 87
Losses:75
NL East Standing: 2nd (wild card)
Playoff Results: Lose in Word Series to the Red Sox.