3 good outings saved his season stats. Roark had a better ERA and a 5.1 WAR in 2014...and gave up 16 homers all year vs. 24 so far for Max...at 1/60th the price.
3 good outings .... plus the entire first half, right?
3.47 FIP last year with a .270 BABIP and 3.4 WAR. ERA of 4.73 this year. 2014 was a fluke. He can't repeat the performance. In fact, he has regressed since he came to the big leagues in 2013. 1.51 ERA with a .243 BABIP in 2013. Up to a 2.85 ERA and .270 BABIP last year. This year, he's over 4 with a league normal BABIP of .306.
You don't pay those max money contracts for one year. You pay it for years of being consistently great.