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Author Topic: NL East Race Watch  (Read 203367 times)

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Offline pazzo83

  • Posts: 5348
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2475 on: September 01, 2014, 04:22:51 pm »
 :hysterical: :hysterical: :hysterical: :hysterical: :hysterical: :hysterical: :hysterical: :hysterical:
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Offline sportsfan882

  • Posts: 93631
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2476 on: September 01, 2014, 04:23:13 pm »
:hysterical: :hysterical:

Lost 7-0 and no hit at home with their ace on the mound against a last place team.
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Offline spidernat

  • Posts: 76956
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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2477 on: September 01, 2014, 04:25:19 pm »
4 phillies pitchers got lucky on the same day and Utley's wife wasn't involved.  :shock:
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Offline pazzo83

  • Posts: 5348
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2478 on: September 01, 2014, 04:26:12 pm »
Quote from: spidernat on September 01, 2014, 04:25:19 pm
4 phillies pitchers got lucky on the same day and Utley's wife wasn't involved.  :shock:

 :clap: :clap: :clap:
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Offline monkeyhit

  • Posts: 2603
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2479 on: September 01, 2014, 04:26:37 pm »
Philly has a bullpen.
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Offline Slateman

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  • THE SUMMONER OF THE REVERSE JINX
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2480 on: September 01, 2014, 04:27:02 pm »
Funny, we beat Hamels
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Offline sportsfan882

  • Posts: 93631
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2481 on: September 01, 2014, 04:27:32 pm »
The Mets have committed 6 errors in today's game in Miami. :hysterical:
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Offline Vega

  • Posts: 5516
  • Party’s Over
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2482 on: September 01, 2014, 04:28:14 pm »
:lmao: We're never gonna catch Atlanta.
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Offline Slateman

  • Posts: 66800
  • THE SUMMONER OF THE REVERSE JINX
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2483 on: September 01, 2014, 04:28:54 pm »
Quote from: Vega on September 01, 2014, 04:28:14 pm
:lmao: We're never gonna catch Atlanta.

Nightmare of a season
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Offline Jordanz Meatballz

  • Posts: 4996
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2484 on: September 01, 2014, 04:43:51 pm »
With 27 games left to play, the magic number stands at 20 :panic:
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Online varoadking

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  • King of Goodness
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2485 on: September 01, 2014, 04:48:49 pm »
Quote from: sportsfan882 on September 01, 2014, 04:23:13 pm
:hysterical: :hysterical:

Lost 7-0 and no hit at home with their ace on the mound against a last place team.

They just refuse to lose...  >:(
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Offline GburgNatsFan

  • Posts: 22349
  • Let's drink a few for Mathguy.
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2486 on: September 01, 2014, 04:54:17 pm »
I stand in awe of you.

Quote from: spidernat on September 01, 2014, 04:25:19 pm
4 phillies pitchers got lucky on the same day and Utley's wife wasn't involved.  :shock:
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Offline NatsAllThe Way

  • Posts: 14537
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2487 on: September 01, 2014, 05:49:02 pm »
Quote from: Kevrock on September 01, 2014, 04:03:54 pm
Refuse to lose boys about to be no hit boys.
Braves refuse to hit.
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Offline Optics

  • Posts: 9233
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2488 on: September 01, 2014, 05:52:52 pm »
Nice to see the Phillies sack up and actually beat the Barves.
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Offline GburgNatsFan

  • Posts: 22349
  • Let's drink a few for Mathguy.
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2489 on: September 01, 2014, 06:00:51 pm »
Let's see if we can do it, too. :)

Quote from: Optics on September 01, 2014, 05:52:52 pm
Nice to see the Phillies sack up and actually beat the Barves.
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Offline mitlen

  • Posts: 66171
  • We had 'em all the way.
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2490 on: September 01, 2014, 06:03:34 pm »
Quote from: GburgNatsFan on September 01, 2014, 06:00:51 pm
Let's see if we can do it, too. :)


Yeah, beat either one of them.    :)
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Offline tomterp

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2491 on: September 01, 2014, 06:04:58 pm »
Quote from: PebbleBall on September 01, 2014, 04:19:14 pm
tomterp, what was the source for this?

I like BP - not sure if you can see this or not, please advise.

As I recall, they play out the remainder of the season 1 million times each night in a Monte Carlo simulation, using PECOTA projections to drive the results, then just compute the # of times each team makes the playoffs in each category - Div, WC, WS etc.

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/
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Offline Natsinpwc

  • Posts: 28006
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2492 on: September 01, 2014, 06:17:53 pm »
Quote from: Natsinpwc on September 01, 2014, 02:31:22 pm
And a 110 heat index.  May be on of those rare times guy gets pulled with a no-no.
Called it!  I said May be but I meant will be.
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Offline Displaced Bucco

  • Posts: 1602
  • Atlanta delenda est - Davey the Elder & WT Sherman
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2493 on: September 01, 2014, 06:18:36 pm »
Today also marks the 150th anniversary of Hood's evacuation of Atlanta in the face of W.T. Sherman's army.  Coincidence??  I think not!!
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Offline Natsinpwc

  • Posts: 28006
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2494 on: September 01, 2014, 06:22:07 pm »
Quote from: Displaced Bucco on September 01, 2014, 06:18:36 pm
Today also marks the 150th anniversary of Hood's evacuation of Atlanta in the face of W.T. Sherman's army.  Coincidence??  I think not!!
That lasted for several days I believe. Let's hope their bats stay cold.  No fire in them today
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Online varoadking

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  • King of Goodness
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2495 on: September 01, 2014, 06:24:48 pm »
Quote from: Natsinpwc on September 01, 2014, 06:22:07 pm
That lasted for several days I believe. Let's hope their Nats stay cold.  No fire in them today

:shrug:
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Offline Natsinpwc

  • Posts: 28006
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2496 on: September 01, 2014, 06:27:41 pm »
Quote from: varoadking on September 01, 2014, 06:24:48 pm
:shrug:
Sherman set fire to Atlanta but today their bats were cold.  Get it? 
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Online varoadking

  • Posts: 30932
  • King of Goodness
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2497 on: September 01, 2014, 06:33:53 pm »
Quote from: Natsinpwc on September 01, 2014, 06:27:41 pm
Sherman set fire to Atlanta but today their bats were cold.  Get it?

Makes sense now...but you typed Nats...not bats...
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Offline Natsinpwc

  • Posts: 28006
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2498 on: September 01, 2014, 06:35:26 pm »
Quote from: varoadking on September 01, 2014, 06:33:53 pm
Makes sense now...but you typed Nats...not bats...
Thanks.  I fixed it. Blaming my iPhone.
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Offline PebbleBall

  • Posts: 3440
  • Now that right there is baseball.
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #2499 on: September 01, 2014, 06:36:36 pm »
Quote from: tomterp on September 01, 2014, 06:04:58 pm
I like BP - not sure if you can see this or not, please advise.

As I recall, they play out the remainder of the season 1 million times each night in a Monte Carlo simulation, using PECOTA projections to drive the results, then just compute the # of times each team makes the playoffs in each category - Div, WC, WS etc.

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/


Why are the division odds lower now than at the time of the post I quoted?
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