Author Topic: NL East Race Watch  (Read 204472 times)

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Offline sportsfan882

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1650 on: August 11, 2014, 09:50:25 pm »
Simmons has been out the last 11 games and all they can do is beat the Nationals. Telling you, they have gotten absurdly lucky this season. They desperately needed another starter and a good bat. They got a crappy reliever and a utility player who can only hit better than one person on the team. Braves are done.
If the Nationals can go 2-4 in the last 6 vs the Braves they should be in good shape.

Online Natsinpwc

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1651 on: August 11, 2014, 09:50:35 pm »
Good game.  Nice to get a lift from the miseries of others.  Especially the Barfs.

Offline sportsfan882

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1652 on: August 11, 2014, 09:52:26 pm »
no idea why the Braves brought in this crapbum Jaime when the game was still close.

Offline Traded For Mclain

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1653 on: August 11, 2014, 09:54:54 pm »
The barves look terrible.  Hopefully any momentum they had coming out of the Nats series is gone after tonight.  Seriously, how do the Nats lose to these clowns?

Offline Kevrock

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  • That’s gonna be a no from me, dog
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1654 on: August 11, 2014, 09:55:40 pm »
Just pumped the Barves won't make the playoffs. We have better chances against anyone else.

Offline whytev

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1655 on: August 11, 2014, 09:57:23 pm »

Offline vicki4471

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1656 on: August 11, 2014, 09:57:56 pm »
I want the Giants to come back and take the division from the Dodgers. I'd feel pretty good about a series against the Giants. And I think we would fair ok against the Brewers.



Offline tomterp

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1659 on: August 11, 2014, 09:58:56 pm »
It would appear the Barves are going to refuse to refuse to lose tonight.

Offline Kevrock

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  • That’s gonna be a no from me, dog
Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1660 on: August 11, 2014, 09:58:59 pm »
BRING THEM ON

I want revenge. Ever since some Midwest goober talked trash to me during game five at the poolbar in Hawaii where I was vacationing.

Offline whytev

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1661 on: August 11, 2014, 10:00:48 pm »
dirty pool, mate

Peeps gotta watch what they wish for!

Offline pazzo83

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1662 on: August 11, 2014, 10:02:28 pm »
The Barves suck

Online Natsinpwc

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1663 on: August 11, 2014, 10:04:29 pm »

Offline DPMOmaha

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1664 on: August 11, 2014, 10:12:31 pm »
It's not the amount, it's that they score 3-6 usually, where as the Nationals play games 1-2, 2-1, and then win game 13-0
You're too narrowly focused. Sticking with the Dodgers theme, they have scored three runs or fewer in 56 games. The Nats? 55. This is an issue for most teams.

Offline Baseball is Life

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1665 on: August 11, 2014, 10:19:47 pm »
BRING THEM ON

The only team I worry about in the postseason are the dodgers. Those dudes are loaded.

Offline PC

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1666 on: August 11, 2014, 10:19:52 pm »
You're too narrowly focused. Sticking with the Dodgers theme, they have scored three runs or fewer in 56 games. The Nats? 55. This is an issue for most teams.

55 games of 3 or less is tied for 9th in MLB.  Det, Mil and Oak are tied for the fewest at 47.  San Diego (shock) has the most with 73.  Atlanta is second with 64.

Offline PC

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1667 on: August 11, 2014, 10:20:40 pm »
The Dodgers broadcast take another shot at the number of fans at the game.

Offline whytev

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1668 on: August 11, 2014, 10:22:59 pm »
The Dodgers broadcast take another shot at the number of fans at the game.

I'm listening to the Braves feed to hear them squirm.

Offline PC

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1669 on: August 11, 2014, 10:23:58 pm »
Goodness gracious.  Orel Hershiser just mentioned the Braves had 14 strikeout last night!  14Ks and we still couldn't win!!!

Offline pazzo83

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1670 on: August 11, 2014, 10:26:57 pm »
4 games

Offline PC

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1671 on: August 11, 2014, 10:44:44 pm »
55 games of 3 or less is tied for 9th in MLB.  Det, Mil and Oak are tied for the fewest at 47.  San Diego (shock) has the most with 73.  Atlanta is second with 64.

Before we let this die, the Nationals 55 games scoring 3 runs or less, just in the NL is tied for 3rd fewest.  Tied with Col.  St. Louis is #2 with 54 and Milw is #1 at 47.

When you watch this offense, you'd never think this.

As far as 3 or fewer runs allowed, the Nationals are tied for third with Oakland.  Seattle is first with 73, San Diego is #2 70.  The Nats and As have 67.

...

WHY ISN'T THIS TEAM BETTER, DAMMIT!!!

...

Offline varoadking

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1672 on: August 11, 2014, 10:55:49 pm »
Before we let this die, the Nationals 55 games scoring 3 runs or less, just in the NL is tied for 3rd fewest.  Tied with Col.  St. Louis is #2 with 54 and Milw is #1 at 47.

When you watch this offense, you'd never think this.

As far as 3 or fewer runs allowed, the Nationals are tied for third with Oakland.  Seattle is first with 73, San Diego is #2 70.  The Nats and As have 67.

WHY ISN'T THIS TEAM BETTER, DAMMIT!!!

Stras and Gio have not lived up to their billing far too often...

Online JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1673 on: August 12, 2014, 09:38:15 am »
PC - I don't know if you are interested in doing this, but I'd like to see a bar graph of the Nats scoring 0 to 1 runs, 2 runs, 3 runs, 4 runs, 5 runs, 6 runs, and 7 or more, and compare that to the league total rates (divided by 12 if you exclude the Nats).  I'm not so interested in the MLB total because the AL should be a higher run scoring with the DH.   I would guess that it is very rare to win with only 1 or fewer runs (1 being close to 0% and 0 of course being 0%), that there is a bit of a bell curve in the 2-6 range, and that the tail of 7 or more is close to 100%. 

I'm not so surprised that we have relatively few games of 3 or less.  Our run total should bias high. We probably do blow people out more often than most teams.  I'm going to guess that we are not doing as well for wins with 3 runs as the league average.

Maybe throw this in the stats giggity thread, but it would be interesting.

Offline rbw5t

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Re: NL East Race Watch
« Reply #1674 on: August 12, 2014, 10:22:42 am »
I just stumbled on this info (which maybe most of you already know about), but fangraphs has the Nats with a better than 18% to win the WS, higher even than the A's (15%).

Might be a jinx, but it's to nice that the nerds and computers figure we have the best shot of anyone!

http://www.fangraphs.com/coolstandings.aspx