Author Topic: Follow the Prospects: Matt Purke, LHP  (Read 41804 times)

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Offline blue911

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Re: Follow the Prospects: Matt Purke, LHP
« Reply #250: April 08, 2014, 09:59:28 AM »
3rd round pick also does not equal gamble. For example, from the 2005 draft (randomly selected) there is Brett Gardner alone who has >5 WAR 10 years into their pro careers.

From the 2000 draft, just 2 players have >5 WAR.

So (1) I'm not sure we've closed the door on Purke - he may still be a starter, he may have value as a RP, and (2) I kind of reject the notion that you can call him a "gamble" unless you're saying his chances of success were less than 1 or 2 out of 30 or whatever it is for any 3rd round pick.

Reason 2.

EDIT: I also think that he doesn't have to do much at the MLB level to justify the pick. I liked it at the time and still do, he's well worth the shot.