The Weather (2026)

[imref]

Euro for this weekend:

[JCA-CrystalCity]

Need to place a tariff on Euro snow.

[varoadking]

Euro for this weekend:

Looks like this was put together by the same moron that declared snowmageddon for Central Virginia last year...

[JCA-CrystalCity]

Looks like this was put together by the same moron that declared snowmageddon for Central Virginia last year...

back to stupid reality

[JCA-CrystalCity]

back to stupid reality

at the end of Steve van Zandt's old weekly Underground Garage show, he always would play this Homer quote

[imref]

back to stupid reality

That's a model output, not a forecaster's prediction (I noted it was from the Euro).

Capital Weather Gang posted this an hour ago:

We’re seeing a reasonably strong signal for a storm that could sweep across the South and potentially bring significant impacts to the Mid-Atlantic.

Here’s the setup:
Frigid air will be pushing south out of Canada, while milder air oozes north from the Gulf. Where those two air masses collide on Friday will spark a storm that moves toward the East Coast Saturday into Sunday.
The big question: How far north does the storm track?
Right now, we see four plausible scenarios for the D.C. area:

1️⃣ Storm stays south — Arctic air wins. Just light snow… or none at all.
 (American model)
2️⃣ Moderate snow — Storm tracks far enough north to clip us with a solid snowfall.
 (European + American AI models)
3️⃣ Heavy, memorable snow — Near-perfect track just south and east of D.C.
 (UK Met, European AI + Canadian models)
4️⃣ Messy mix — Storm comes too close (or west), pulling in mild air and changing snow to a wintry mix.
 (earlier versions of the UK Met and American AI models)

🕒 Timing: If it materializes, the storm window looks like Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning.
We’ll be refining the forecast each day as the picture sharpens.

[varoadking]

That's a model output, not a forecaster's prediction (I noted it was from the Euro).

Capital Weather Gang posted this an hour ago:

Four scenarios... 

Lotta good that does anyone.  Hey boss...I got four scenarios.  In other words, I've no clue...

Man...I'd love to have that gig!

[The Chief]

Big storm on a weekend is a waste anyway.

[varoadking]

Big storm on a weekend is a waste anyway.

Screws up Bingo Night at the Moose Lodge...

[JCA-CrystalCity]

My hip is good, CCSP has its own generators, afc has the afternoon game.  I'm good.

[Natsinpwc]

My hip is good, CCSP has its own generators, afc has the afternoon game.  I'm good.

I had a hip replacement last May.  Highly recommend it if your doctor says it will fix what ails you.  I had no cartilage left on the left hip.

[JCA-CrystalCity]

I had a hip replacement last May.  Highly recommend it if your doctor says it will fix what ails you.  I had no cartilage left on the left hip.

I had a replacement 8/9/25 after breaking the neck of my femur in a bike fall. No other injury, not even skin scrapes. Bike is in good shape too! Still doing pt but I am moving well. Mostly just a bit of weakness in my quad. Because I didn't have a bad hip before the accident, I have a higher level I am aiming to get back to.

[Dave in Fairfax]

Frigid air will be pushing south out of Canada, while milder air oozes north from the Gulf. Where those two air masses collide on Friday will spark a storm that moves toward the East Coast Saturday into Sunday.
The big question: How far north does the storm track?
Right now, we see four plausible scenarios for the D.C. area:

Anyone reading this in Bill Murray's voice from "Groundhog Day"?

[imref]

Anyone reading this in Bill Murray's voice from "Groundhog Day"?

[varoadking]

I had a replacement 8/9/25 after breaking the neck of my femur in a bike fall. No other injury, not even skin scrapes. Bike is in good shape too! Still doing pt but I am moving well. Mostly just a bit of weakness in my quad. Because I didn't have a bad hip before the accident, I have a higher level I am aiming to get back to.

June '24 graduate myself.  The quad remains susceptible to what I assume is referred pain, but that's about it.  I walked into Kroger for my Rx's the morning after surgery...so much easier than TKR...

[imref]

every weather account i follow is currently freaking out about this storm (and not just wxrisk).  Updated Euro from The Weather Channel below. If something like this occurs, it would be historic in terms of impact across a massive chunk of the country. Follow on temps are below freezing for much of the region the following week.

[1995hoo]

Heh. Looking at that map makes me think of the Blizzard of 1996. I was in my first year at Duke Law that winter and the storm walloped North Carolina. Durham County's roads didn't get cleared very quickly because the county's snowplow broke down. (That's right, "snowplow," singular.)

I don't know what source the iPhone weather app uses for its forecast. Mine is showing 2–4 inches of snow for Alexandria on Saturday and 16–20 inches on Sunday.

[blue911]

Screws up Bingo Night at the Moose Lodge...

I have a 350 thumper that loves the snow.

[Count Walewski]

It's gonna be cold as crap for next weekend and for like 3 days afterwards, right? So if we do get a "boom" scenario of over a foot of snow, it might take a while to melt. Schools might be closed for like a week if that happens.

[Natsinpwc]

It's gonna be cold as crap for next weekend and for like 3 days afterwards, right? So if we do get a "boom" scenario of over a foot of snow, it might take a while to melt. Schools might be closed for like a week if that happens.

The kids will be so sad.   

[varoadking]

Schools might be closed for like a week if that happens.

Pretty routine down here in the Fashionable West End of Henrico County after just a dusting...

[dracnal]

Pretty routine down here in the Fashionable West End of Henrico County after just a dusting...

Pretty sure that forecast is for five days from now...  not that I think you're wrong and it isn't a case of overhyping things mind you

[imref]

Latest euro runs have pushed the storm north. 18” for DC. 15” for Richmond, 23” for Roanoke. Still a long way to go.

[imref]

Seems models are converging on 8" to 18" for Richmond north to Baltimore, with lower snow amounts on the southern end and a higher likelihood of the snow switching over to ice. Big variable is the ice line.

[JCA-CrystalCity]

Seems models are converging on 8" to 18" for Richmond north to Baltimore, with lower snow amounts on the southern end and a higher likelihood of the snow switching over to ice. Big variable is the ice line.

not much of  a convergence if it is 8"-18."