Unless there is a salary cap.
The Braves, Phillies, and Mets are all competently run organizations, they'll do well even with a salary cap. We need the ambition to join them, not hope they'll sink below us somehow.
Edit: Didn't realize what thread we were in. With that in mind I will say I think Toboni can do it. We might become another version of the Rays/Brewers and still have a cheap payroll but that's better than being the Pirates. And Toboni/DeBartolo before him have done more to improve the farm system in 6 months than Rizzo was able to manage in 5 years.