Author Topic: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026  (Read 741 times)

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Offline imref

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Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« on: October 02, 2025, 11:41:06 pm »
New MLB top-100 has Willits (15), Sykora (49), and Susana (87).

https://www.mlb.com/milb/prospects/top100

FWIW, Ethan Holliday is 19, Kade Anderson is 23.

Offline Slateman

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2025, 11:08:28 am »
Our only top 100 prospects will likely not be in the major leagues until the end of 2027, and not primary contributors until 2028 or 2029.

That's depressing.

Offline imref

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2025, 01:02:29 pm »
Our only top 100 prospects will likely not be in the major leagues until the end of 2027, and not primary contributors until 2028 or 2029.

That's depressing.

A year ago we had Crews (7), Wood (14), and House (48) in the top-100. Graduating all 3 didn't help much this past year.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #3 on: October 03, 2025, 01:30:54 pm »
Our only top 100 prospects will likely not be in the major leagues until the end of 2027, and not primary contributors until 2028 or 2029.

That's depressing.
I could see Susana before that even if he misses the start of 2026. I'm also interested in Petry and how he does in the AFL. Maybe a Mark Trumbo type with more of a willingness to walk.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #4 on: October 03, 2025, 01:48:33 pm »
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2025-end-of-season-top-100-prospects-update/

The updated post-season "100"

Susana 23 , Willits 27, Sykora 94. Longenhagen drops injured guys to the bottom of the guys with the same fv, so Sykora is at the bottom of the 50s, and Susana is the bottom of the 55s

Willits is in a 6 pack of players who profile as everyday middle infielders. Longenhagen is very complementary about an AZ prospect Josuar Gonzalez, who he says is "in lockstep with" Willits. He praises josuar athleticism and range then compares him to Lindor in terms of build.

Offline Slateman

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #5 on: October 03, 2025, 02:27:24 pm »
I could see Susana before that even if he misses the start of 2026. I'm also interested in Petry and how he does in the AFL. Maybe a Mark Trumbo type with more of a willingness to walk.
Im just assuming he blows his elbow out next season.

My point is, there's no impact players coming for a while. What's on the team is it for 2-4 years.

Offline Slateman

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #6 on: October 03, 2025, 02:28:10 pm »
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2025-end-of-season-top-100-prospects-update/

The updated post-season "100"

Susana 23 , Willits 27, Sykora 94. Longenhagen drops injured guys to the bottom of the guys with the same fv, so Sykora is at the bottom of the 50s, and Susana is the bottom of the 55s

Willits is in a 6 pack of players who profile as everyday middle infielders. Longenhagen is very complementary about an AZ prospect Josuar Gonzalez, who he says is "in lockstep with" Willits. He praises josuar athleticism and range then compares him to Lindor in terms of build.
I still vehemently disagree with his assessment of Sykora. He has a higher ceiling and floor than Susana

Offline zimm_da_kid

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #7 on: October 03, 2025, 04:23:59 pm »
I still vehemently disagree with his assessment of Sykora. He has a higher ceiling and floor than Susana

I agree. His control is light years ahead based off walk totals. Maybe he doesn’t locate in the zone as well as I imagine/hope.

He’s got good velo but not bang up fastball grades. Maybe it’s got bad shape?

Offline imref

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #8 on: November 06, 2025, 10:05:26 am »

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #9 on: November 06, 2025, 11:08:10 am »
https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/2026-washington-nationals-top-mlb-prospects/

Willits #1 of course. Jake Bennett rises to #6.
so, they project both House and Abrams moving to the right side, Dickerson landing in left (Wood DH), and King at 3rd.

They rate Pinckney's skills pretty highly (best power, fastest runner, best OF arm) but don't see him landing a spot as a regular. 6 current Nats, including Ruiz, still being regulars in 2029 suggests there aren't a lot of position prospects on the way (just King, Willits, and Dickerson).

Offline imref

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #10 on: November 14, 2025, 11:44:49 am »
kinda depressing:


Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #11 on: November 14, 2025, 02:20:40 pm »
these guys lean pretty heavily into Susana and Clemmey are just relievers due to their wildness. Sykora's injury heavily discounts him. Most exciting guys (James, Harmoon, and Siome (who is outside the top 10) are many years away. Position guys either hit without power or have power but don't make contact enough.

Offline imref

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #12 on: November 14, 2025, 03:18:31 pm »
these guys lean pretty heavily into Susana and Clemmey are just relievers due to their wildness. Sykora's injury heavily discounts him. Most exciting guys (James, Harmoon, and Siome (who is outside the top 10) are many years away. Position guys either hit without power or have power but don't make contact enough.

They do kind of gloss over the fact that we promoted a lot of our top-10 guys in the last two years (Crews, Wood, Cavalli, Lile, House). Herz was borderline top-10 on a few lists.


Offline GataNats

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #14 on: December 29, 2025, 02:57:17 am »
Outside of Willits, really looking forward Harmon.  Did not like the Petry pick

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #15 on: December 29, 2025, 10:40:52 am »
Outside of Willits, really looking forward Harmon.  Did not like the Petry pick
Sime is a nice wild card sort of a pick. The size and velocity will make him fun to watch develop. One average secondary pitch and he's a stud reliever, an above average secondary pitch and at least a show me 3rd pitch and he could start.

Offline IanRubbish

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #16 on: December 29, 2025, 01:25:45 pm »
They do kind of gloss over the fact that we promoted a lot of our top-10 guys in the last two years (Crews, Wood, Cavalli, Lile, House). Herz was borderline top-10 on a few lists.

Problem is this was still a 96 loss team and now the farm is bare.  Good news is the era of drafting Rizzo's man crushes is over, but with ownership pinching pennies even more tightly, this will be a lost decade and there's a good chance these former top prospects will never see the playoffs in a Nats jersey.

Offline imref

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #17 on: December 29, 2025, 01:32:56 pm »
Problem is this was still a 96 loss team and now the farm is bare.  Good news is the era of drafting Rizzo's man crushes is over, but with ownership pinching pennies even more tightly, this will be a lost decade and there's a good chance these former top prospects will never see the playoffs in a Nats jersey.
we’ve added two top ten prospects this fall

Offline imref

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #18 on: January 07, 2026, 01:41:49 pm »
BBA released its new Nats top 30.

Via TalkNats:
1. Eli Willits SS
2. Jarlin Susana RHP
3. Harry Ford C   
4. Luis Perales RHP   
5. Travis Sykora RHP
6. Alex Clemmey LHP
7. Seaver King SS
8. Luke Dickerson SS
9. Coy James SS
10. Angel Feliz SS
11. Landon Harmon RHP   
12. Sam Petersen OF   
13. Ethan Petry OF/IB   
14. Andrew Pinckney OF   
15. Jackson Kent LHP   
16. Yohandy Morales 1B/3B
17. Marconi German SS/2B
18. Caleb Lomavita C
19. Miguel Sime Jr. RHP
20. Jorgelys Mota 3B
21. Ronny Cruz SS
22. Christian Franklin OF
23. Sean Linan RHP
24. Yoel Tejeda RHP
25. Riley  Cornelio RHP
26. Andrew Alvarez LHP
27. Philip Glasser OF/2B
28. Nauris De La Cruz OF
29. Brayan Cortesia SS
30. Griff McGarry RHP

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #19 on: January 10, 2026, 01:32:18 pm »
BBA released its new Nats top 30.

Via TalkNats:
1. Eli Willits SS
2. Jarlin Susana RHP
3. Harry Ford C   
4. Luis Perales RHP   
5. Travis Sykora RHP
6. Alex Clemmey LHP
7. Seaver King SS
8. Luke Dickerson SS
9. Coy James SS
10. Angel Feliz SS
11. Landon Harmon RHP   
12. Sam Petersen OF   
13. Ethan Petry OF/IB   
14. Andrew Pinckney OF   
15. Jackson Kent LHP   
16. Yohandy Morales 1B/3B
17. Marconi German SS/2B
18. Caleb Lomavita C
19. Miguel Sime Jr. RHP
20. Jorgelys Mota 3B
21. Ronny Cruz SS
22. Christian Franklin OF
23. Sean Linan RHP
24. Yoel Tejeda RHP
25. Riley  Cornelio RHP
26. Andrew Alvarez LHP
27. Philip Glasser OF/2B
28. Nauris De La Cruz OF
29. Brayan Cortesia SS
30. Griff McGarry RHP

https://www.nationalsarmrace.com/?p=19352
Todd Boss's thoughts on the list. Skeptical about Dickerson. Surprised at Mota being ranked so high (more surprised that the BBA picked up on him than from whether he deserves it). Discusses how he thinks the catcher position will work out across the organization:
Quote
Lomavita at #18 seems a bit low, and the acquisition of Ford really changes the trajectory of the entirely of our Catcher depth chart right now. I don’t think Ford is on the MLB team to open the season with just a few MLB ABs, but he’ll be starting in AAA. Which means Millas is either on the MLB bench or on the AAA bench. I’m not sure where Adams fits in; he signed a split contract (meaning he has negotiated his minor league salary), meaning they’re anticipating going to the minors … but he has no options left, which means he’ll have to pass through waivers to get off the 40-man. Should be interesting to see how this shakes out. My initial guess? Ruiz/Millas in MLB, Ford/Adams in AAA, Lomavita/Romero back in AA, Bazzell/Rombach in High-A, with all the starters just waiting to see if Ruiz can keep his starting job.

Offline Elvir Ovcina

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #20 on: January 10, 2026, 02:24:41 pm »
https://www.nationalsarmrace.com/?p=19352
Todd Boss's thoughts on the list. Skeptical about Dickerson. Surprised at Mota being ranked so high (more surprised that the BBA picked up on him than from whether he deserves it). Discusses how he thinks the catcher position will work out across the organization:

I'd never put much stock in ordinal rankings beyond the top 5 or so.  After that, everyone is a lottery ticket, and it's often unclear what actually is being ranked in terms of ceiling/certainty/timing. 

I'm not surprised about Mota.  He was at FXBG pretty young, has progressed nicely both physically and skills-wise, and has the frame, defensive tools, and batting profile to see a MLB 3B in there.  He's still a long way, but he's already had a season-plus in FXBG, so I don't know why he wouldn't go to Wilmington this year. 

He's still in lotto-ticket territory, but I'd be tempted to push him higher in these rankings if they're an actual ranking attempt, not lower.  For example, he and Dickerson are almost exactly the same age (a couple months apart).  Mota OPSed 120 points higher in the same sample size at the same level this year.  Unless Dickerson stays at SS and does very well there or becomes a very good CF, that's a pretty big gap to explain ranking the weaker hitter much higher.

He's going to strike out too much whatever level he's at and he's either going to develop HR power or not as he fills out, but none of that is level-dependent. 

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #21 on: January 10, 2026, 07:48:36 pm »
I'd never put much stock in ordinal rankings beyond the top 5 or so.  After that, everyone is a lottery ticket, and it's often unclear what actually is being ranked in terms of ceiling/certainty/timing. 
yes, especially with this group of prospects,Boss a says there's a clear break at 5/6

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Offline imref

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #23 on: January 26, 2026, 10:33:24 am »
Keith Law's 2026 pre-season top 100 is now out:
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6985939/2026/01/26/top-mlb-prospects-2026-keith-law-konnor-griffin/

Willits: #53
Fien: #76
King: #94

Odd that Susana and Sykora aren't on the list. No Ford either (or Chevy)

Offline imref

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Re: Nationals Prospect Reports / Minor League Rankings: 2026
« Reply #24 on: January 27, 2026, 05:36:12 pm »