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38ABs in A: .395/.489/.579 | 1 HR | 6 RBI0/0 SB | 4 XBH | 22.2-K% | 15.6-BB%
Via Nats of the Future:
Sample size way to small to look at any percentages
more than likely correct, it's just the Nats of the Future quote used % so I played there. That said, K% is one of the % that becomes meaningful with the fewest PAs, and the performance is consistent with the scouting reports from college. On the bright side, we aren't talking Elijah Green level issues.
not showing power yet.
OBP looking good. Moderate power and he's Nick Johnson v.2
Scottsdale ScorpionsEthan Petry, OF, Nationals2025 FV: 40Focusing on two hulking right-handed sluggers with hit tool limitations and first base projections wasn’t the original design, but in a world where Nacho Alvarez Jr. is playing in the AFL despite having over 200 major league plate appearances to his name, Petry making the same trip in his draft year was too interesting to overlook. The Nats popped Petry for just over $2 million in the second round, but he received barely the fourth-largest bonus Washington issued as they spread around the wealth of a well-under-slot deal with first overall pick Eli Willits. There’s a certain logic to juicing the pace with Petry, a physically mature slugger who hit 54 home runs in three years at South Carolina but missed the final weeks of his junior season with a shoulder injury.But a sub-70% contact rate suggests that even the collection of upper level org arms scattered across the AFL could offer a substantial learning curve for Petry, and the first couple days have looked appropriately rough. Often hitters will adopt a toe tap as a shorter alternative to a leg kick, but that Petry uses the former to load up a smaller version of the latter reflects the length in his operation. For all of his length and difficulty tracking spin in his pro debut, his strikeout rate didn’t immediately explode (24.5%) in the Carolina League, and he flashed a more contact-heavy approach in his final season at South Carolina before the injury. The holes in Petry’s hit tool loom larger because at his tremendous size (6-foot-4, 235 pounds) and related lack of speed, staving off a move to first base will be an uphill climb (he’s expected to play some first in the AFL).Petry has 70-grade raw juice and a history of actualizing a good chunk of it, with the sort of strong build that suggests a transition to a more compact and stabilized loading action is possible. It’s not like there isn’t a path to impact here, but his median outcome is still trending toward bench bat.Verdict: It’s a volatile 40 FV because of how early it is in his pro ball journey, but Petry still looks like a 40, at least at this stage.
Nationals: Ethan Petry, OF/1BPetry set the South Carolina freshman record with 23 homers in 2023, added 21 more as a sophomore and was limited to only 44 games as a junior due to a sprained left shoulder. No matter, the Nationals still took him in the second round in 2025 and he made up for the lost time in the Arizona Fall League, where he topped out with a 114.8 mph max EV and regularly showed bat speeds above 75 mph -- much more promising signs than his .298 SLG in the desert. Petry is healthy this spring and already appearing in Grapefruit League games.
