Author Topic: The Rotation: 2024  (Read 17666 times)

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Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #100 on: June 03, 2024, 10:53:58 am »
It'll be interesting to see what becomes of Lord and Alvarez. I don't think any of the minors trackers (MLB Pipeline, KLaw, FG, etc...) rank them as having a good shot at being MLB starters, so it would be interesting to see if they have any sort of trade value or ability to backfill if others ahead of them are dealt / pushed aside.

Offline IanRubbish

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #101 on: June 03, 2024, 11:03:23 am »
It'll be interesting to see what becomes of Lord and Alvarez. I don't think any of the minors trackers (MLB Pipeline, KLaw, FG, etc...) rank them as having a good shot at being MLB starters, so it would be interesting to see if they have any sort of trade value or ability to backfill if others ahead of them are dealt / pushed aside.

I think Lord is very interesting.  I wouldn't worry about prospect rankings, they're notoriously bad at projecting who'll be a significant contributor at the MLB level.  Never mind the mishaps with Kieboom and Victor, the 2015 top 100 ranking had Aaron Judge all the way down at #68, two years after he was drafted, and behind a bunch of guys who never made it, or who only made it as fringe MLBers.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #102 on: June 03, 2024, 11:10:50 am »
It'll be interesting to see what becomes of Lord and Alvarez. I don't think any of the minors trackers (MLB Pipeline, KLaw, FG, etc...) rank them as having a good shot at being MLB starters, so it would be interesting to see if they have any sort of trade value or ability to backfill if others ahead of them are dealt / pushed aside.
I view the rankings as a proxy for trade value because it is the closest to getting how they are perceived, not how they are. How they are should be in-house knowledge.

Offline Slateman

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #103 on: June 03, 2024, 11:42:11 am »
It'll be interesting to see what becomes of Lord and Alvarez. I don't think any of the minors trackers (MLB Pipeline, KLaw, FG, etc...) rank them as having a good shot at being MLB starters, so it would be interesting to see if they have any sort of trade value or ability to backfill if others ahead of them are dealt / pushed aside.
What are we buying, JCA?

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #104 on: June 03, 2024, 12:18:44 pm »
What are we buying, JCA?
nothing, I expect. But I could see guys now in the AAA rotation getting pushed aside and these guys maybe becoming the 6th, 7th, 8th starters.

Offline RobDibblesGhost

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #105 on: June 04, 2024, 01:06:03 pm »
DJ Herz makes his debut tonight.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #106 on: June 04, 2024, 01:29:35 pm »
DJ Herz makes his debut tonight.
because of Trevor Williams going to the IL for a right elbow flexor muscle strain

Offline Natsinpwc

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #107 on: June 04, 2024, 01:48:44 pm »
because of Trevor Williams going to the IL for a right elbow flexor muscle strain
Oops. Too late to trade him.

Online imref

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #108 on: June 04, 2024, 01:57:25 pm »
ugh, hope he's ok.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #109 on: June 04, 2024, 02:07:49 pm »
Oops. Too late to trade him.
I would not plan around him recovering soon enough to show off his arm and stuff before the trade deadline. Just look at the timeframe on Gray, who also is dealing with a flexor strain. He's been out since 4/4, or two months.

Offline Slateman

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #110 on: June 04, 2024, 03:32:56 pm »
I would not plan around him recovering soon enough to show off his arm and stuff before the trade deadline. Just look at the timeframe on Gray, who also is dealing with a flexor strain. He's been out since 4/4, or two months.
Well, that sucks

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #111 on: June 04, 2024, 03:35:04 pm »
Yeah, could be season-ending for Williams. Sigh...

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #112 on: June 04, 2024, 04:39:13 pm »
Rotation now has 4 lefties - Corbin, Gore, Parker, and Herz. Pretty rare

Offline GataNats

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #113 on: June 04, 2024, 07:10:16 pm »
Height of stupidity not to trade Williams already.   Plenty of takers for him.  Rizzo major fail

Offline CoryTheFormerExposFan

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #114 on: June 04, 2024, 07:27:54 pm »
Height of stupidity not to trade Williams already.   Plenty of takers for him.  Rizzo major fail

Teams aren’t buying yet.  Nobody is making trades now.  He also needed to build a little body of work to show that it’s real at his age and track record.

Offline GataNats

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #115 on: June 04, 2024, 07:29:38 pm »
Teams aren’t buying yet.  Nobody is making trades now.  He also needed to build a little body of work to show that it’s real at his age and track record.

Yes, they are.   Been plenty of trades already

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #116 on: June 04, 2024, 07:57:44 pm »
Other than Arraez, it's mostly small pieces.

Offline CoryTheFormerExposFan

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #117 on: June 04, 2024, 08:44:14 pm »
Other than Arraez, it's mostly small pieces.

Exactly.  This isn’t an amateur fantasy league where you can sell high on a mediocre waiver guy after a few good starts to some dumb owner.  Contenders aren’t yet to the point of making major moves, and there definitely would still be skepticism of Williams being able to come close to maintaining this performance when he’s never been a good starting pitcher over a full season.

It’s unfortunate if he’s out too long to regain trade value before the deadline, but Rizzo didn’t make an error in process.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #118 on: June 06, 2024, 10:27:10 am »
For the 5 primary starters this year, #GS and #start < 5 IP

Corbin - 13 GS, 2 < 5IP
Williams - 11 GS, 1 < 5 IP
Irvin - 12 GS, 1 < 5 IP
Gore - 12 GS, 3 < 5 IP
Parker - 9 GS, 1 < 5 IP

Irvin has become something of an innings horse. He's gone at least 6 in 8 of his 12 starts, and in his last 7 starts, he's gone 41.1 IP.

Offline Slateman

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #119 on: June 06, 2024, 11:48:43 am »
Does Irvin need to have his innings managed? Threw about 140 last year. Would think they want him to top out at 175 this season.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #120 on: June 06, 2024, 12:19:25 pm »
Does Irvin need to have his innings managed? Threw about 140 last year. Would think they want him to top out at 175 this season.
he's at 69 now, which is nice. 5.75 IP/GS. 100-105 more IP at 5.75 IP/ game is roughly 18 more starts. That takes him to about the last couple of starts of the year, I think. That's probably good enough for a non-contender. Shut him down maybe 9/20.

Offline welch

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #121 on: June 06, 2024, 01:49:39 pm »
Rotation now has 4 lefties - Corbin, Gore, Parker, and Herz. Pretty rare

I can't think of another like it, except the 1980 New York Yankees:

- Tommy John

- Ron Guidry

- Rudy May...a model starter / long reliever, with 17 starts and 13 games finished, and only 3 saves. (Goose Gossage had 33)

- Tom Underwood

Newspapers noted how unusual that rotation was. Helped, of course, because Yankee Stadium still had a deep left-field. Maybe the Nats need to move the LF fence back about 20 feet, to be a little closer to Griffith Stadium dimensions.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #122 on: June 06, 2024, 04:47:18 pm »
I think most of the better prospect power hitters we have in the minors are righties, other than Wood. Need to keep that LF wall reachable.

Offline welch

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #123 on: June 06, 2024, 06:36:04 pm »
I think most of the better prospect power hitters we have in the minors are righties, other than Wood. Need to keep that LF wall reachable.

Well, sure. It would be reachable if Crews is as powerful as the guy in my avatar! Led the AL in homers (42) and RBIs (114) and hit .301 in 1957. Continued in 1858, and only slowed down, statistically, in 1959 because a runner stopped on his ankle while Sievers was playing 1B. There was also a 23-year-old kid named Killebrew who managed to hit 42 homers in 1959.


Offline Natsinpwc

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Re: The Rotation: 2024
« Reply #124 on: June 07, 2024, 04:47:09 pm »
Gray with a rehab start scheduled Sunday.