Rule 5 Draft: 2023

[imref]

Deadline to add players to the 40-man to protect them from the rule-5 draft is Tuesday, November 14 at 5PM CT.

A look at whose eligible:
http://www.nationalsarmrace.com/?p=18267

Right now, it doesn't look they will protect anyone other than DJ Herz though Mitchel Parker is a possibility. NAR suggests Andry Lara is a candidate for protection as well.

Draft is December 6.

[JCA-CrystalCity]

Brzykcy I think would be another possible guy to protect.

I wonder if they try to waive early the guys they could outright so they have a better idea of their depth when they finalize the roster. That's why I wonder about Abbott and Smith in particular.  Abbott is AAAA, so can be easily replaced or re-signed to a minor league contract with a camp invite. Parker is a lefty and could be a kept around like Ward by another team if he were drafted.

[imref]

Nats add Herz, Mitchell Parker, Cole Henry, and Zach Brzykcy to the 40-man.

[nobleisthyname]

I know they all have their question marks on whether they're actually worth a Rule 5 pick, but I'm glad to have all of them on the 40-man over Smith, Abbott, and Machado.

[imref]

It's a really good sign that they are confident enough in Henry to add him.

[JCA-CrystalCity]

the thing with Henry and Brzykcy is a team could draft them and stash them on the 60 day IL, then add them back in the 2d half for 3 months to keep them. Especially Brz... It's easy to have him as the last reliever as a lefty. As for Parker, he showed something and could be one of the depth arms if he has a decent AAA season.

I imagine the Rochester rotation now as having Adon, one of Rutledge or Irvin, Herz, and Parker, with a AAAA guy like Abbott as the 5th guy.

[imref]

the thing with Henry and Brzykcy is a team could draft them and stash them on the 60 day IL, then add them back in the 2d half for 3 months to keep them. Especially Brz... It's easy to have him as the last reliever as a lefty. As for Parker, he showed something and could be one of the depth arms if he has a decent AAA season.

I imagine the Rochester rotation now as having Adon, one of Rutledge or Irvin, Herz, and Parker, with a AAAA guy like Abbott as the 5th guy.

Plus Corbin

[JCA-CrystalCity]

Plus Corbin

well, I think Corbin will be in MLB with Williams, Gray, Gore, and one of Irvin or Adon unless there's a signing. But that's a pretty decent AAA rotation. I could even see one or two guys in AA if there are a couple of filler AAAA vets signed for Rochester.

[welch]

I think Irvin and Rutledge will be put into the rotation, with Williams as long-reliever. Maybe, maybe, Williams starts for two months. With luck, Cavalli is ready by early August and the team can reduce Corbin's starts.

The bullpen looks OK...Finnegan, Harvey, Rainey, Weems, Garcia, and another lefty. Maybe Thompson discovers his control...

[JCA-CrystalCity]

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/40-man-roster-deadline-reaction-and-analysis-american-league/

Longenhagen.

tl;dr - No sure fire help. Lots of relievers could possibly be hidden on a roster all season like Ward was. One guy his was specific about who might have starter potential is Chih-Jung Liu. 95 velo as a starter, plus breaking ball, average split). Not great results, so this is a stuff play.
https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chih-jung-liu/sa3014675/stats?position=P

Notes KC left unprotected a number of guys they traded for in in veteran dumps, which most likely means they misevaluated the talent. Unstated is one of these guys might be an oops the other way.

NYY exposed a couple of starters.