The prospect profiles on fg are interesting because they rate the likelihood of various outccomes ranging from bust to perennial all star. Most of the prospects in the nats system that we are hoping for have bust as their likeliest or second likeliest outcome. Very few guys with a hump in the middle of the distribution. Wood, who they're more high on than just about anyone, is a bit more of a ski jump than a halfpipe. Tbh, I would be curious about BP, which gives ranges as well. I think other teams probably have fewer guys with as high a likelihood of star potential at the top of their rankings.
That's an interesting point. That would suggest to me that we have a greater chance at ending up like the Tigers, but also a greater shot at potentially becoming our own version of the Braves.
