The Cavalli injury was a deflator for me because he looked like he was hitting his high end projections. OTOH, any starter who turns in a league average year over 30 starts will beat their median projection. Folks would be ecstatic with league median performance out of Corbin or Kuhl. For Corbin and Gray, that'd be moving from bottom 5 pitcher to the middle among those pitchers with 140 or more innings. Heck, I'd flip over Jameson Taillon's numbers from last year (117 IP, 3.91 ERA, 3.94 FIP) which were 50th out of 72 pitchers with 140+ IP