What are the success stories of other prospects striking out 50% of the time in low-A ball and then going on to have a productive major league career?
I'm legitimately asking btw, this isn't meant to be Elijah Green snark haha
I'm not aware of the numbers.
But I would throw caution to any long term numbers. The last 3 years have been a little different. A guy like Green(his age, not specifically his individual experience), missed time in 20-21 due to Covid. High school, travel ball, showcase circuits. Even when things resumed as normal, other players were shaking some rust off, so the competition wasn't the same. BA had an article about how bad baseball was in '21, even at the professional level. The lower the level, the worse the play was. I think getting rid of short season ball may have an impact as well. Green and someone like Cruz may have benefitted from that. Teams don't want to keep them down and wait for the GCL again, so they're forced to push them a bit. For "rawer" players, that's going to magnify issues.
Of course, there's the argument that good players adapt anyway. Jackson Holliday is a dude despite missing time at the same age. But not everyone is the same, and some take longer. I think most expected Green to take longer. Hes one I always expected would take 4/5 years, not fast tracked. I wouldn't even have a problem if he repeated Fredericksburg, probably like TJ White should have. You don't HAVE to move up a level every year. Repeating one for a little but the next year wouldn't be the worst thing IMO.
