Author Topic: Follow the Prospects: C.J. Abrams, SS/CF  (Read 345 times)

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Online Kevrock

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Follow the Prospects: C.J. Abrams, SS/CF
« Topic Start: August 02, 2022, 02:09:24 PM »
CJ Abrams
Born: Oct 3, 2000
Bats: L Throws: R
Ht.: 6'2" Wt.: 185
Drafted/Signed: HS--Roswell, Ga., 2019 (1st round).
Signed By: Tyler Stubblefield.
Minors: .314/.364/.507 | 7 HR | 10 SB | 140 AB


Track Record: Abrams long stood out as one of the best and most athletic players for his age in high school and made a big impression when he took over center field for USA Baseball’s 18U National Team and made the position look easy despite never playing it before. He followed with a sensational senior spring, and the Padres were thrilled when he fell to them at the sixth overall pick in 2019. They lured him away from an Alabama commitment with a $5.2 million signing bonus, and by the end of that first pro summer, Abrams had won the Rookie-level Arizona League’s MVP award after batting .401 and earned a promotion to Low-A Fort Wayne. That assignment, however, was halted after just two games due to a shoulder injury. Abrams spent 2020 at the Padres’ alternate training site and made his full-season debut at Double-A San Antonio in 2021, where he got off to a hot start before fracturing his left tibia and spraining his left MCL in a collision with second baseman Eguy Rosario in late June, ending his season. Abrams recovered in time to get back on the field in instructional league but bruised his left shoulder while sliding into a base, an injury that prevented him from participating in the Arizona Fall League.

Scouting Report: When he is on the field, Abrams stands out for all the right reasons. He has a flat, fluid swing and elite hand-eye coordination—thanks in large part to the various contraptions his dad devised during his youth—that allow him to hit any type of pitch no matter where it’s located. He expanded the strike zone a bit much in his first stint at San Antonio, which is not all that surprising given that he was essentially jumping from rookie ball all the way to Double-A. At his best, he has a keen eye for the zone and takes borderline pitches like a seasoned veteran. Abrams’ frame is long and lean, but he’s no slap hitter. He makes loud contact off the barrel and can drive the ball out to all fields. It’s not out of the question for him to develop 20-home run power as he matures. Abrams’ 80-grade speed allows him to regularly beat out infield singles and will make him an elite base-stealing threat once he learns pitchers’ tendencies. Defensively, Abrams has plus range at shortstop. He doesn’t always show off his above-average arm, but he has a plus internal clock and tends to save his bullets for when they’re needed. He has gotten more reliable at making the routine plays and will make the occasional highlight-reel play. While it’s easy to compare Abrams to the last shortstop to rise quickly through the Padres’ system, the similarities are few. Where Fernando Tatis Jr. seems to play with his hair on fire, Abrams is a low-motor player whose actions often appear effortless. Tatis’ presence means Abrams is likely destined for a position change. He has the athleticism and aptitude to make the transition to second base or center field when the time comes.

The Future: For all his talent, Abrams has just 348 plate appearances in three seasons and needs at-bats. If he can stay healthy, he should become a dynamic table-setter in front of Tatis and Manny Machado in the Padres’ lineup.

Scouting Grades: Hit: 70. Power: 50. Run: 80. Fielding: 60. Arm: 55.

https://www.baseballamerica.com/teams/1016/san-diego-padres/organizational/#103865

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Follow the Prospects: C.J. Abrams
« Reply #1: August 02, 2022, 02:11:10 PM »
We'll play it a little loose here and keep this thread open.  He's in the majors so normally we shut down the FTP. 

Online Kevrock

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Re: Follow the Prospects: C.J. Abrams
« Reply #2: August 02, 2022, 02:11:34 PM »
Oh, my bad!

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Follow the Prospects: C.J. Abrams
« Reply #3: August 02, 2022, 02:13:53 PM »
Oh, my bad!
no bad on this.  We need the basic development and scouting somewhere.

Online Elvir Ovcina

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Re: Follow the Prospects: C.J. Abrams
« Reply #4: August 02, 2022, 02:57:31 PM »
The boom here is enticing (think a Tatis clone), but the downside is really ugly: a dude who can't stay healthy, can't hit (take 150 OPS points off the El Paso stats to adjust for that being a launching pad), and can't play SS even when he's healthy.  Headlining a trade for Soto with a guy for whom Jurickson Profar is a very realistic comp is a rough one.

What you're gambling on coming up aces here is a first round pedigree and 40 games of AA.   Heaven hope he can do it.

Online Kevrock

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Re: Follow the Prospects: C.J. Abrams
« Reply #5: August 02, 2022, 03:05:59 PM »
His game isn’t like Tatis.

Online Elvir Ovcina

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Re: Follow the Prospects: C.J. Abrams
« Reply #6: August 02, 2022, 03:36:16 PM »
His game isn’t like Tatis.

He doesn't have the power and he's faster.  It was just a lazy name from the same org and I shouldn't have said "clone" - more like that level of potential value if he hits on all cylinders; the point is that the upside is really, really high.

Online Kevrock

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Re: Follow the Prospects: C.J. Abrams
« Reply #7: August 02, 2022, 03:54:39 PM »
He doesn't have the power and he's faster.  It was just a lazy name from the same org and I shouldn't have said "clone" - more like that level of potential value if he hits on all cylinders; the point is that the upside is really, really high.

Got it. Yeah different swings, different strengths with some similarities. Tatis had unreal power and exit velocity early in his professional career. Both are fast but Tatis had to refine his speed in the minors. Tatis has more motor (in both a good and a bad way, controlling his body was more challenging has he developed) while Abrams is smoother and more effortless. Some real differences in swings as well.

Offline imref

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Re: Follow the Prospects: C.J. Abrams, SS/CF
« Reply #8: August 02, 2022, 05:25:30 PM »
Starting out in Rochester.

Online welch

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Re: Follow the Prospects: C.J. Abrams, SS/CF
« Reply #10: August 03, 2022, 06:55:17 PM »
No reason to call him up until September. Boras client, so dont accumulate service time

Online tomterp

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Re: Follow the Prospects: C.J. Abrams, SS/CF
« Reply #11: August 03, 2022, 07:58:11 PM »
Grant Schiller at BP on Abrams:

Quote
CJ Abrams, SS
Abrams always had a good shot to be moved from an aggressive organization that employs Fernando Tatis at shortstop. Heading to Washington helps him access his value, as he’s a quality defender who’ll be able to stick at the position. Abrams is an advanced hitter for a 21-year-old, though not yet quite advanced enough to handle the majors, excusing him somewhat from his struggles in a cup of coffee. Remaining concerns center around a  low walk rate and his ability to access his raw power in-game. His numbers in Triple-A have been stronger in the latter category, but El Paso is a hitter’s paradise and skews the stats. He’s not Juan Soto—nobody is—so the Nationals have to hope to replace his value in the aggregate. Abrams fits that plan, projecting as an above-average player now that he has a pathway to play the 6. —Grant Schiller

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/76455/transaction-analysis-the-nationals-actually-trade-juan-soto-the-padres-actually-get-him/


Offline imref

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1-3, BB, SB batting lead off

Online Smithian

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1-3, BB, SB batting lead off
Call him up! :whip:

Online Natsinpwc

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So where is he playing now? 

Online welch

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So where is he playing now? 

Rochester

Online welch

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Abrams 2-for-4 today, both doubles.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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My guess is he's up for the Padres series

Online DCsOwn

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Online Elvir Ovcina

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https://twitter.com/natsplayerdev/status/1556417962491404294?s=21&t=iUkY57of-1S7ZPXxgmAplg

The talent is still super conspicuous.

Gotta love a stand-up two-bagger on a gapper that gets cut off even before the warning track.

Online DCsOwn

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Gotta love a stand-up two-bagger on a gapper that gets cut off even before the warning track.

Casual dynamism lol

There’s still a world where he turns into a five or six win player in the league imo. That’s the ceiling for him of course, but he’s an extremely talented kid with physical development still in front of him. Fully expect for him to be the shortstop in DC for the next half decade at least.