I believe Wood is also top-50 according to MLB, around 35 IIRC.
I don't disagree with your main point btw, but I think MLB is also a bit too high on recent draftees/low minors prospects.
Yes, Wood is - and that surprised me. I think they way, way, WAY too heavily weight draft pedigree. For example, here are two players:
A: 2020 Draftee; turned 20 in August - definitely can stick in RF and greater than 50/50 to be able to play CF; A+ stats: .286/.387/.481, 57/73 BB/K; 11 homers
B: 2020 Draftee; turned 21 in August - definitely can stick in RF and greater than 50/50 to be able to play CF: A+ stats: .274/.379/.467, 53/103 BB/K 14 homers; AA stats .183/.256/.268 in SSS.
Both players were HS draft picks out of Tennessee. They are both tall, lanky, lefty hitters with above-average arms. Player A is a faster runner. So why is player B - almost exactly a year older with almost identical stats at the same level as A and bad stats once promoted - ranked 36 spots higher than A?
Well, Hassell (B) was the #8 overall pick. Evan Carter (A) was 50th.