Author Topic: The Weather - 2022  (Read 3010 times)

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Offline skippy1999

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #150: September 23, 2022, 05:32:06 PM »
5pm NHC update shows a major hurricane hitting the Tampa area on Wednesday

Yea we're watching that pretty close, we've got a wedding in New Smyrna Beach next weekend that I am so hoping doesn't get ruined by this :(

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #151: September 23, 2022, 05:47:09 PM »
5pm NHC update shows a major hurricane hitting the Tampa area on Wednesday
tampa is one of those areas that gets the huge suck out of water when a storm goes by and then a rush when it comes in.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #152: September 23, 2022, 05:48:47 PM »
Yea we're watching that pretty close, we've got a wedding in New Smyrna Beach next weekend that I am so hoping doesn't get ruined by this :(
Once a storm goes into the eastern gulf beyond the Keys, there's almost no possible good outcomes other than wind shear destroying it.

Offline Natsinpwc

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #153: September 23, 2022, 06:39:30 PM »
tampa is one of those areas that gets the huge suck out of water when a storm goes by and then a rush when it comes in.
I thought that was hot air from Brady?

Offline Natsinpwc

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #154: September 23, 2022, 06:41:10 PM »
Once a storm goes into the eastern gulf beyond the Keys, there's almost no possible good outcomes other than wind shear destroying it.
Seems once it gets in there no one knows where it will end up.  They should know more in a couple days.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #155: September 23, 2022, 08:46:51 PM »
Not that I wish bad for Cuba, but letting those mountains in the center of the island rip it up and go out to the Atlantic is the best for least damage

Offline imref

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #156: September 23, 2022, 10:48:56 PM »
So far it’s tracking almost identically to Charlie.

Offline Natsinpwc

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #157: September 24, 2022, 09:05:41 AM »
So far it’s tracking almost identically to Charlie.
Was reading about Charley in 2004. Was supposed to hit Tampa but then at the last minute turned and hit the coast further south. It was a Cat 4 and still had 100 MPH gusts when it went through Orlando.  Winter Park apparently had many older trees and had lots of damage.

I wonder if they round up all the cows and steers grazing around here or just let them fare for themselves?

Offline imref

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #158: September 25, 2022, 11:03:36 PM »
11pm NHC update shifts it into Tampa. It is projected to weaken a bit before making landfall but it will be a huge, slow moving storm so flooding probably more of a concern than wind.

Offline Natsinpwc

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #159: September 26, 2022, 07:10:53 AM »
11pm NHC update shifts it into Tampa. It is projected to weaken a bit before making landfall but it will be a huge, slow moving storm so flooding probably more of a concern than wind.

https://weather.com/safety/hurricane/news/2022-09-26-hurricane-ian-florida-cuba-caymans

Seems that these storms always hit 2-3 days later than they originally predict. More time to get to Home Depot and buy extra generators as I saw one guy on TV so. He said he had several but just in case. LOL.

Not sure if they are rolling Artemis back off the launch pad yet? 

https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/24/world/nasa-artemis-i-launch-delay-scn/index.html

Offline imref

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #160: September 26, 2022, 11:13:59 AM »
https://weather.com/safety/hurricane/news/2022-09-26-hurricane-ian-florida-cuba-caymans

Seems that these storms always hit 2-3 days later than they originally predict. More time to get to Home Depot and buy extra generators as I saw one guy on TV so. He said he had several but just in case. LOL.

Not sure if they are rolling Artemis back off the launch pad yet? 

https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/24/world/nasa-artemis-i-launch-delay-scn/index.html

i doubt it, it doesn't look like it will impact the east coast of FL.

Offline Natsinpwc

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #161: September 26, 2022, 12:24:32 PM »
i doubt it, it doesn't look like it will impact the east coast of FL.
They’re taking it inside. Can’t take the risk.

Offline imref

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #162: September 26, 2022, 11:43:36 PM »
Not looking good for Tampa:


Offline imref

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #163: September 27, 2022, 08:11:49 AM »
Latest updates have shifted south. Massive storm.

Offline Natsinpwc

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #164: September 27, 2022, 09:18:37 AM »
Latest updates have shifted south. Massive storm.
Schools closed tomorrow and Thursday in orange county.  And today their A/C is not working even before the storm hits.  LOL.  I saw one model has it cutting right across Florida and into the Atlantic.  Most seem to have it head to Georgia.   

Offline Ali the Baseball Cat

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #165: September 27, 2022, 10:59:07 AM »
Kids are probably safer in a hurricane eyewall than in a school.
Schools closed tomorrow and Thursday in orange county.  And today their A/C is not working even before the storm hits.  LOL.  I saw one model has it cutting right across Florida and into the Atlantic.  Most seem to have it head to Georgia.   

Offline Natsinpwc

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #166: September 27, 2022, 11:16:12 AM »
Kids are probably safer in a hurricane eyewall than in a school.
Unfortunately true.

Offline imref

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #167: September 27, 2022, 11:17:50 AM »
i'm not sure i've ever seen a storm this big, the eye is still on the far western end of cuba but major bands are already hitting south florida.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/09/27/hurricane-ian-forecast-florida-track/


Offline imref

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #168: September 27, 2022, 03:50:17 PM »
this will be interesting if it comes to pass:


Offline skippy1999

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #169: September 27, 2022, 03:57:29 PM »
i'm not sure i've ever seen a storm this big, the eye is still on the far western end of cuba but major bands are already hitting south florida.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/09/27/hurricane-ian-forecast-florida-track/

(Image removed from quote.)

Katrina is the biggest storm I've ever seen in the Gulf.

Offline HalfSmokes

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #170: September 27, 2022, 04:08:04 PM »
Harvey was enormous too. This one doesn't seem quite so large

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #171: September 27, 2022, 04:31:26 PM »
I wonder if the Nats will start the Sunday game early.  It's a 1:35 game, I think. 

Offline KnorrForYourMoney

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #172: September 27, 2022, 07:24:48 PM »
Not looking good for Tampa:

(Image removed from quote.)

Not sure why you'd say that at this point because Tampa looks to be dodging a major bullet here.  What could have easily been a direct hit is instead likely to be indirect (at least according to the map you posted) with the weaker part of the storm hitting them.  They still might get screwed by rainfall like Houston did with Harvey, but this could have been much, much worse for them.

People between Sarasota and Fort Myers/Cape Coral are the ones who need to be praying to whatever deity.  Gonna suck for anyone running an Airbnb in Sanibel Island.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #173: September 27, 2022, 07:29:48 PM »
Not sure why you'd say that at this point because Tampa looks to be dodging a major bullet here.  What could have easily been a direct hit is instead likely to be indirect (at least according to the map you posted) with the weaker part of the storm hitting them.  They still might get screwed by rainfall like Houston did with Harvey, but this could have been much, much worse for them.

People between Sarasota and Fort Myers/Cape Coral are the ones who need to be praying to whatever deity.  Gonna suck for anyone running an Airbnb in Sanibel Island.
latest call has it closer to Fort Myers, so yes, but 5 foot storm surge would still be a problem for Tampa Bay, I think.

Offline KnorrForYourMoney

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Re: The Weather - 2022
« Reply #174: September 27, 2022, 07:36:46 PM »
i'm not sure i've ever seen a storm this big, the eye is still on the far western end of cuba but major bands are already hitting south florida.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/09/27/hurricane-ian-forecast-florida-track/

(Image removed from quote.)

Harvey was pretty massive in its own right.  Remember that it made landfall down in south Texas and its outer bands dumped heavy rainfall all the way in Houston.