Author Topic: 2022 NL East  (Read 43 times)

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Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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2022 NL East
« Topic Start: December 28, 2021, 04:33:02 PM »
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2022-zips-projections-philadelphia-phillies/

Early projections for Philly, based on current roster.  Several high level players, but unaddressed holes in CF and LF.  Rotation behind Wheeler and Nola has questions, suggests they need an innings eater to round out Efflin and Suarez.  Thin depth. 
Quote
By contrast, it’s harder to admit that a team reliant on just a few players is going to be wildly inconsistent. It’s harder to admit that you’ve been incredibly lax at finding talent at the weaker positions. It’s harder to admit that something is going wrong with your player development process when so few players are becoming real contributors in the majors. It’s harder to make the decision to go through the luxury tax threshold because you didn’t consider that the big, expensive superstars need a good foundation of secondary talent and role players to get you into the playoffs — players you have to pay for if you can’t develop them yourself.

It’s easy to build a .500 team when you’re spending $200 million. Unfortunately, the team is run on easy mode.

Now, perhaps the Phillies add Carlos Rodón, Kris Bryant, and Matthew Boyd after a new CBA is signed and somehow find enough talent to acquire Cedric Mullins or Bryan Reynolds. If that happens, my outlook will have to change; as of right now, let’s call this an 84-win team.

I/M/O, an 84 win projection is a playoff team with a small beat of that getting to 87 wins.  Playoffs is things are good before rosters are set is enviable.