Author Topic: Strasburg Contract  (Read 1096 times)

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Offline Natsinpwc

  • Posts: 21166
Re: Strasburg Contract
« Reply #25: September 03, 2021, 09:27:12 AM »
If you can find a guy who you can count on to make most of his starts and pitch 7+ innings a game, he's worth his weight in gold.   But, yeah, those guys are pretty much extinct.

If you use 194 innings as the bar for a valuable top of the order starter, that is an average of 6IP every 5 games, there are only 4 guys on pace to do that this year, none of them did it in 2020, only 2 of those did that in 2019.

Looking back at stats, from 2000-2014, it was pretty much steady that there would be 50-60 pitchers who'd hit that mark.

2000-2014 - ~50-60 pitchers annually
2015 - 32 pitchers
2016 - 26 pitchers
2017 - 16 pitchers
2018 - 16 pitchers
2019 - 20 pitchers
2020* - 12 pitchers (pro rated to 72 innings)
2021 - 4 pitchers (on pace)
That should bump up a bit next year.  Teams are intentionally pulling starters because they pitched fewer innings last year due to the short season. Overall however it won’t return to old time trends.