Author Topic: So just how lucky was 2019?  (Read 3252 times)

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Offline hohoho

  • Posts: 1990
Re: So just how lucky was 2019?
« Reply #25: May 14, 2021, 08:44:03 PM »
I dont think anyone is saying they didnt enjoy it. All I'm saying is that it isnt something you can rely on. That run was insane. If you replayed that season 10,000 times, the Nats dont win the WS.

Rizzo and the Nats certainly can't continue to play like this and think they can just flip a switch
It is completely wrong to say that if they replayed 10,000 times. Look up the Sabre Pythagorean theorem and do the math. For example, based on runs scored and allowed, the Nats underperformed and the Braves overperformed. The Nats should have won the division by at least 3 games. Yes, there is always luck involved but...
The other NL div winners were LA and StL. Only LA had a better projection than the Nats.