Author Topic: 2021 NL East  (Read 5116 times)

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Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: 2021 NL East
« Reply #275: July 20, 2021, 10:56:12 AM »
Look at the NL West. Giants have a better record. Dodgers have a better run differential. Who are you putting your actual money on if they play each other. Who would you bet on to win that division?
Look at the NL East. Braves and Nats have similar records, but very different run differentials. Who (before Acuña injury) would you bet on if they played?
I think of run differential as a backwards-looking stat.  It usually coincides with record to date.  That's the way the Pythagorean record tends to work. I think it is less good at predicting the future strength head-to-head.