Author Topic: The Weather - 2021  (Read 2045 times)

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Offline imref

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #100: February 17, 2021, 11:09:41 AM »
As are all the initial forecasts. Then they seem to vaporize.................

true, but we're less than 24 hours out now.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #101: February 17, 2021, 11:26:21 AM »
I imagine most people have heat pumps in that part of the country?  I can't imagine furnaces are all that necessary.
true.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #102: February 17, 2021, 11:32:37 AM »
It's an unmitigated disaster here in the Alamo City.

Periodic managed/rolling blackouts have turned into 24-hour+ power outages for most people.

I've been super lucky so far - only one outage that lasted all of 45 minutes - but we're dealing with no running water since this morning thanks to burst pipes (again, kind of lucky here because it was a neighbor of ours whose apartment actually got flooded).

It got down to about 10 degrees two nights in a row.  Needless to say I haven't seen anything close to that in my previous five winters here.  Hell, that was a rarity back in Maryland.
I've got a good friend who lives outside Austin on a ranch in Caldwell County outside Lockhart. She shut down her water Saturday but so far has kept power.  24% of the county was out this morning (now back down to 12%).  She's raising bees and has chickens for personal eggs, I think.  The bees are going to take a hit but I guess they all surround the queen to protect her and can generate a little warmth on their own.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #103: February 17, 2021, 11:34:00 AM »
When I lived in crystal square a transformer blew, so no heat for a week
lived there 2003-2011

Offline HalfSmokes

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #104: February 17, 2021, 12:17:38 PM »
true.

even with a heat pump, if you have decent insulation and a running heat pump you may get cold, but you should should be fine. The problem is Texas' electric grid which already had problems with capacity is getting overwhelmed

Offline GburgNatsFan

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #105: February 17, 2021, 06:31:21 PM »
A hallway in a Dallas apartment building, where it's been colder than any time since 1903.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1kZJD3tXWSnI_nh7f6kG3Lqa6xIvGY_cM/view?usp=sharing

Offline varoadking

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #106: February 17, 2021, 06:49:48 PM »
A hallway in a Dallas apartment building, where it's been colder than any time since 1903.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1kZJD3tXWSnI_nh7f6kG3Lqa6xIvGY_cM/view?usp=sharing

When I lived in Hawaii, I viewed an Arlington, Texas apartment project that was for sale following an epic freeze.  This would have been 1984-ish. 

All of the pipes had burst and the entire place was better suited for complete demolition...

Offline GburgNatsFan

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #107: February 17, 2021, 06:58:11 PM »
We haven't hit single digits in several years. There was that stretch of near-zero weather every night for two weeks or so, maybe seven years back, but not recently.

It's an unmitigated disaster here in the Alamo City.

Periodic managed/rolling blackouts have turned into 24-hour+ power outages for most people.

I've been super lucky so far - only one outage that lasted all of 45 minutes - but we're dealing with no running water since this morning thanks to burst pipes (again, kind of lucky here because it was a neighbor of ours whose apartment actually got flooded).

It got down to about 10 degrees two nights in a row.  Needless to say I haven't seen anything close to that in my previous five winters here.  Hell, that was a rarity back in Maryland.

Offline imref

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #108: February 17, 2021, 11:09:52 PM »
Just heard 7 million Texans are under boil water orders including all of Austin, which has no electricity. Crazy.

Offline DCFan

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #109: February 19, 2021, 03:41:07 PM »
Texas ERCOT says their grid is back to normal. But half the state is under a boil water order.

Offline imref

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #110: February 19, 2021, 04:17:36 PM »
Texas ERCOT says their grid is back to normal. But half the state is under a boil water order.

the state announced a big loosening of restrictions for those seeking plumbing licenses or able to come into the state with existing plumbing licenses from elsewhere. 

Offline DCFan

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #111: February 19, 2021, 08:06:08 PM »
the state announced a big loosening of restrictions for those seeking plumbing licenses or able to come into the state with existing plumbing licenses from elsewhere. 

Those that didn’t lose power are looking at an electric bill of $10k.

Offline HalfSmokes

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #112: February 19, 2021, 08:26:52 PM »
Those that didn’t lose power are looking at an electric bill of $10k.

Deregulation for the win


Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #114: February 20, 2021, 12:09:39 PM »
Those that didn’t lose power are looking at an electric bill of $10k.
the folks who are facing the high bills bought electricity based on spot-market pricing rather than a fixed price.  the spot market went nuts.

Offline DCFan

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #115: February 20, 2021, 12:20:47 PM »
the folks who are facing the high bills bought electricity based on spot-market pricing rather than a fixed price.  the spot market went nuts.

Another report says they're now as high as $17k.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #116: February 20, 2021, 12:54:14 PM »
Another report says they're now as high as $17k.
the price of a megawatt wholesale increase from around $30 on 2/10 to $9000+ on Monday.   

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-electricity-texas-prices/texas-wholesale-electric-prices-spike-more-than-10000-amid-outages-idUSKBN2AF19A

Offline HalfSmokes

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #117: February 20, 2021, 01:25:45 PM »
the folks who are facing the high bills bought electricity based on spot-market pricing rather than a fixed price.  the spot market went nuts.

the wholesaler was telling people to switch plans, but no other plans wanted customers when they knew they would be selling them energy at a massive loss. Fortunately, that pricing seems like a Texas only phenomon

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #118: February 20, 2021, 01:46:10 PM »
the wholesaler was telling people to switch plans, but no other plans wanted customers when they knew they would be selling them energy at a massive loss. Fortunately, that pricing seems like a Texas only phenomon
yes, the fixed-price plans produced massive losses, only mitigated by the outages I guess.

Offline HalfSmokes

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #119: February 20, 2021, 01:54:37 PM »
yes, the fixed-price plans produced massive losses, only mitigated by the outages I guess.

I’m interested to see if they go bankrupt- under the Texas system crazy outcomes result when your provider goes under

Offline imref

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #120: April 19, 2021, 04:10:01 PM »
via capital weather gang:
Quote
On Saturday, Typhoon Surigae exploded into a historic tropial cyclone w/ 190 mph winds.
* Strongest storm globally on record in 1st 5 months of yearr
* Only 4 stronger storms reliably measured ANY month per
meteorologist Jeff Masters

Offline Ali the Baseball Cat

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #121: April 19, 2021, 08:11:42 PM »
It might not have made landfall but that is an area with a lot of very heavily used shipping lanes.  That's crazy wind.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #122: April 20, 2021, 08:51:15 AM »
It might not have made landfall but that is an area with a lot of very heavily used shipping lanes.  That's crazy wind.
I'd not be booking a cruise on the Edmund Fitzgerald's sister ship.

Offline Ali the Baseball Cat

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #123: April 20, 2021, 09:41:34 AM »
The Wreck of the Adobo Fitzgerald

Offline imref

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Re: The Weather - 2021
« Reply #124: July 01, 2021, 08:18:03 AM »
121 in Lytton, BC this week, 45 degrees above normal. 118 in Siberia.  Crazy.