Not to make it sound too Wall Street-like, but it strikes me that this is a high-beta team. They need to hit on some players performing like 2019 (Bell, Schwarber, Stras, Corbin, Robles) or some early career guys reaching their scouting projections (Kieboom and again Robles) or some guys defying age-based expected deterioration (Scherzer and maybe Hand or Hudson). Not all of those will happen, but if enough do, this is a 90+ win team. If you only get good performance out of the front 3 starters and one of the lefty big bats, then you have an 85 win team, and if you have only one of the top 3 starters on this year and an ineffective offense, then this is a 2020-level team.