Ask Soto and his agent to write a number of years and dollars on a piece of paper. Offer 90% of that. There you go.
If you had signed Albert Pujols to a 14-year contract at the same age you would have gotten 5.5 WAR per year on average and three MVPs. With Miguel Cabrera you only would have gotten 4.8 WAR on average and 2 MVPs. Manny Ramirez just 4.5 WAR on average and 0 MVPs.
I mean, besides a 5% chance of catastrophic injury (and honestly that's debatable because the NL will have a DH sometime in the next 5 years even if he can no longer play in the field), but besides that what do we honestly think the floor is for the next 14 years? like 7-8 all-star level seasons? I don't think we'd regret this deal no matter what we pay.
