Author Topic: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3  (Read 1443 times)

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Offline NatNasty

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #75: July 24, 2019, 08:56:37 PM »
Both teams have that, though.

Maybe the winner of the first game doesn't have their closer for the 2nd game, and the other team does.

Offline NatsAllThe Way

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #76: July 24, 2019, 08:56:54 PM »
Nice play.

Offline tomterp

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #77: July 24, 2019, 08:56:54 PM »
Can someone explain to me why it's supposedly harder to sweep a doubleheader than to, say, win back-to-back games 24 hours apart?

I've never checked but I bet 50% of double headers are swept, and 50% are split.  Maybe even more than 50% swept, since one team is typically superior to the other.

Offline rileyn

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #78: July 24, 2019, 08:57:30 PM »
Dozier would have been blown into LF a few years ago. Nice turn.

Online bluestreak

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #79: July 24, 2019, 08:57:58 PM »
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.beyondtheboxscore.com/platform/amp/2017/7/19/15982598/doubleheader-sweep-probability-analysis

Quote
Using data from Retrosheet, I found that there have been 231 doubleheaders from 2008 to 2017. How many were sweeps? 120. That’s approximately 51.9 percent of all doubleheaders. This amazes me because the figure regresses so well to the theoretical probability. It’s like flipping a coin; the more you do, the more likely you will see your heads and tails figures move towards 50 percent.


Offline NatsAllThe Way

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #80: July 24, 2019, 08:58:10 PM »
I've never checked but I bet 50% of double headers are swept, and 50% are split.  Maybe even more than 50% swept, since one team is typically superior to the other.

Let's run that through FP's stats guy.

Online nfotiu

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #81: July 24, 2019, 08:58:28 PM »
I've never checked but I bet 50% of double headers are swept, and 50% are split.  Maybe even more than 50% swept, since one team is typically superior to the other.

If both games are coin flips, then 75% of DHs would be swept.

Online imref

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #82: July 24, 2019, 08:58:52 PM »
It’s a world of pure imagination to call that a ball


Online Slateman

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #84: July 24, 2019, 08:59:32 PM »
I'm starting to think we overpaid for Mr. Corbin

Offline rileyn

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #85: July 24, 2019, 08:59:32 PM »
Corbin is trying to put me to sleep.

Offline spidernat

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #86: July 24, 2019, 09:00:10 PM »
I've never checked but I bet 50% of double headers are swept, and 50% are split.  Maybe even more than 50% swept, since one team is typically superior to the other.



it's definitely close to 50/50. I wonder if the percentage was any different for traditional doubleheaders.

Online bluestreak

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #87: July 24, 2019, 09:01:01 PM »
If both games are coin flips, then 75% of DHs would be swept.

No. 50/50. First game is irrelevant in calculating odds. It “what are odds of team that won first game winning second?” If it’s coin flip then 50 percent.

Offline varoadking

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #88: July 24, 2019, 09:01:22 PM »
30+ pitch 1st inning here we come :|

Close...

Offline spidernat

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #89: July 24, 2019, 09:01:38 PM »
another long start that will show up on the other end :smh:

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #90: July 24, 2019, 09:02:03 PM »
Desi with a flashback to his Nats days

Online Natsinpwc

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #91: July 24, 2019, 09:02:08 PM »
Only took 27 pitches!

Offline tomterp

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #92: July 24, 2019, 09:02:29 PM »
Let's run that through FP's stats guy.

I'm going to defer to bluestreak's research.    8)         :P

Offline NatsAllThe Way

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #93: July 24, 2019, 09:03:01 PM »
another long start that will show up on the other end :smh:

Yeah, Corbin hopefully settles down.  I have confidence in our offense tonight.

Online Natsinpwc

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #94: July 24, 2019, 09:03:17 PM »
Mmm.  Outback Steak on my screen.

I actually had a good filet last night at a restaurant here. Seasons 52. Is that a chain?

Offline NatsAllThe Way

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #95: July 24, 2019, 09:04:07 PM »
Good candidate night for a Soto golden sombrero.


Offline Bookman

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #97: July 24, 2019, 09:04:13 PM »
mitlen,,, save me from the double header sweep statistics talk   PLEASEEEEEES

Online bluestreak

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #98: July 24, 2019, 09:04:28 PM »
Mmm.  Outback Steak on my screen.

I actually had a good filet last night at a restaurant here. Seasons 52. Is that a chain?

Yes.

Offline tomterp

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Re: Nationals vs Rockies, Game 3
« Reply #99: July 24, 2019, 09:04:56 PM »
Mmm.  Outback Steak on my screen.

I actually had a good filet last night at a restaurant here. Seasons 52. Is that a chain?

Dogfish Head for me last night.  A pedestrian crabcake sandwich, better than average fries and an astonishing, ass-kicking World Wide Stout.    :worship: