Author Topic: Wild Card watch  (Read 8539 times)

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #150: August 25, 2019, 07:05:36 PM »
Lets keep rolling and see what happens when we face the Braves. At least we can make them earn it!

Absolutely. Make 'em sweat a little.

Offline DCFan

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #151: August 25, 2019, 07:10:23 PM »
Sorry to the superstitious but here are the postseason schedules. If things hold true to what they are today, Nats would host a WC game on Oct. 1.

https://www.mlb.com/fans/postseason#nlwc

Save the date.

Online imref

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #152: August 25, 2019, 07:11:17 PM »
We can’t catch Atlanta but the Mets and Phillies are falling back into our review mirror

Offline Natsinpwc

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #153: August 25, 2019, 07:14:53 PM »
Lets keep rolling and see what happens when we face the Braves. At least we can make them earn it!
Sure. You need the wins either way.

Online Slateman

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #154: August 25, 2019, 07:19:29 PM »
Lets keep rolling and see what happens when we face the Braves. At least we can make them earn it!

:lmao:

Online varoadking

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #155: August 25, 2019, 08:30:19 PM »
My ideal scenario would have the Nats face the Phillies in the WC game...after the Phillies beat the Cubs in the 163rd game...


Offline DCFan

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #156: August 25, 2019, 08:32:46 PM »
My ideal scenario would have the Nats face the Phillies in the WC game...after the Phillies beat the Cubs in the 163rd game...

Mine is simply to make the playoffs. Considering where we were in April to even be talking about this is amazing.

Online varoadking

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #157: August 25, 2019, 08:35:47 PM »
Mine is simply to make the playoffs. Considering where we were in April to even be talking about this is amazing.

I know the WC game is considered the postseason, but it won't feel like they did crap if they lose the WC game...

Offline spidernat

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #158: August 25, 2019, 08:39:35 PM »
I know the WC game is considered the postseason, but it won't feel like they did crap if they lose the WC game...



it's a play in game.

Online varoadking

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #159: August 25, 2019, 08:42:30 PM »
it's a play in game.

They get a Participation Trophy for appearing if they lose...it's all the rage these days...

Offline sixthree175

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #160: August 25, 2019, 08:55:54 PM »
Mine is simply to make the playoffs. Considering where we were in April to even be talking about this is amazing.
Same here. 

Keep the whole thing going.  Maybe replace Rodney with Aaron Barrett.


Offline spidernat

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #161: August 25, 2019, 09:02:05 PM »
Maybe replace Rodney with Aaron Barrett.






:hysterical:

Offline Air Desmond

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #162: August 25, 2019, 09:23:48 PM »
Barring something unforeseen, i think we can all make plans to be at Nats Park on October 1st. Should be an electric atmosphere.

Online bluestreak

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #163: August 25, 2019, 10:54:18 PM »
FanGraphs: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
Playoff Odds: 97.6%  Division Odds: 12.4%  World Series Odds: 6.0% Projected Record: 92-70

FiveThirtyEight: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Playoff Odds: 97%  Division Odds: 16%. World Series Odds: 8%  Projected Record: 92-70

Baseball Prospectus: https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/odds/
Playoff Odds: 92.6% Division Odds: 11.8% World Series Odds: 5.1%  Projected Record: 90-72

Notes: 538 has the Nats WS odds higher than the Braves (8% to 7%)

Online bluestreak

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #164: August 29, 2019, 12:04:43 AM »
FanGraphs: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
Playoff Odds: 97.2%  Division Odds: 14.1%  World Series Odds: 6.2% Projected Record: 91-71

FiveThirtyEight: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Playoff Odds: 95%  Division Odds: 15%. World Series Odds: 7%  Projected Record: 91-71

Baseball Prospectus: https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/odds/
Playoff Odds: 94.5% Division Odds: 11.2% World Series Odds: 5.1%  Projected Record: 90-72

Offline Smithian

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #165: August 29, 2019, 01:08:57 PM »
FanGraphs: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
Playoff Odds: 97.2%  Division Odds: 14.1%  World Series Odds: 6.2% Projected Record: 91-71

FiveThirtyEight: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Playoff Odds: 95%  Division Odds: 15%. World Series Odds: 7%  Projected Record: 91-71

Baseball Prospectus: https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/odds/
Playoff Odds: 94.5% Division Odds: 11.2% World Series Odds: 5.1%  Projected Record: 90-72

I still can't believe the turnaround this season.

Offline Duke of Earl

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #166: August 29, 2019, 01:38:12 PM »
Barring something unforeseen, i think we can all make plans to be at Nats Park on October 1st.

Premature.  Schedule's been relatively easy in August.  After the upcoming Miami series things get tough.   We have Mets, Altanta, Twins, Atlanta, Cardinals - 16 games.  I don't think you can realistically expect to win more than eight of those.  I do agree that out wildcard chances are excellent, but I wouldn't yet make plans for it to be a home game.

Offline Duke of Earl

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #167: August 29, 2019, 01:47:25 PM »
Premature.  Schedule's been relatively easy in August.  After the upcoming Miami series things get tough.   We have Mets, Altanta, Twins, Atlanta, Cardinals - 16 games.  I don't think you can realistically expect to win more than eight of those.  I do agree that out wildcard chances are excellent, but I wouldn't yet make plans for it to be a home game.

... and after that 16 game stretch, a brief break (Miami) followed by Phillies and Cleveland.  Cleveland could be tough to end the season, if they're still in the division hunt.

Online JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #168: August 29, 2019, 02:12:51 PM »
Premature.  Schedule's been relatively easy in August.  After the upcoming Miami series things get tough.   We have Mets, Altanta, Twins, Atlanta, Cardinals - 16 games.  I don't think you can realistically expect to win more than eight of those.  I do agree that out wildcard chances are excellent, but I wouldn't yet make plans for it to be a home game.
hey, they're playing the Nats, too.  I think it is as realistic to expect better than 8 wins as it is to expect fewer. 

Offline spidernat

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #169: August 29, 2019, 02:25:46 PM »
I still can't believe the turnaround this season.



SSS badge revoked  :nono:

Offline Duke of Earl

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #170: August 29, 2019, 02:34:57 PM »
hey, they're playing the Nats, too.  I think it is as realistic to expect better than 8 wins as it is to expect fewer.
Which means, statistically, the expected number of wins is 8.

Offline sixthree175

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #171: August 29, 2019, 09:12:33 PM »
The Mets are NO HELP tonight.  DeGrom picked a bad time to cough up four runs.  There goes my prediction that the Mets are headed for the World Series.  If I had a tail, it would be between my legs.  Looks like the Mets are done for the year.  And now the Cubs will be only 2.5 games behind.  It's going to be a grind from this point on.

Offline Natsinpwc

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #172: August 29, 2019, 09:18:03 PM »
The Mets are NO HELP tonight.  DeGrom picked a bad time to cough up four runs.  There goes my prediction that the Mets are headed for the World Series.  If I had a tail, it would be between my legs.  Looks like the Mets are done for the year.  And now the Cubs will be only 2.5 games behind.  It's going to be a grind from this point on.
I’m enjoying the Mets collapse after they got back in the race. Much more fun than if they had just continued as the season was progressing. Still time for the Cubs to fade also.

Online Slateman

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #173: August 29, 2019, 09:32:11 PM »
I’m enjoying the Mets collapse after they got back in the race. Much more fun than if they had just continued as the season was progressing. Still time for the Cubs to fade also.
Cubs have the second best run differential of any NL WC team. They ain't going there.

NL Wild Card is set, barring the Nationals collapse

Offline sixthree175

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Re: Wild Card watch
« Reply #174: August 29, 2019, 09:42:40 PM »
Cubs have the second best run differential of any NL WC team. They ain't going there.

NL Wild Card is set, barring the Nationals collapse
Don't count the Phillies out, although it would be so sweet for the Phillies to fade.  That would make my year.