Follow the Prospects: Andry Lara, RHP

[Natsinpwc]

[JCA-CrystalCity]

promoted to AA per Golden:
https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/nationals-andry-lara-moving-up-to-double-a/

[imref]

[zimm_da_kid]

Bought a few autographed Lara rookies after his last outing.  They seem to be undervalued.  You can get them for like $4.  I bought 6 or 7

[imref]

Dominant through 6 in his debut, but they pushed him into the 7th.

Final line was impressive: 6.1 IP, 3H, 1ER, 5Ks, 3BBs

[zimm_da_kid]

Got 5 autographed bowman chrome rookies of him off eBay each for $5 or less this past week

[imref]

Another quality start: 6IP, 4H, 2R, 2ER, 2BB, 8K, HR

[nobleisthyname]

This guy is gonna rise fast up prospect rankings if he keeps this up.

[JCA-CrystalCity]

This guy is gonna rise fast up prospect rankings if he keeps this up.

I'm looking forward to mid-season updates, or, in the case of Fangraphs, their 2024 report on the system. Lara was kind of heralded but really hasn't shown much results until this year. I even think he was exposed to Rule 5 and no one took him.

I'll be curious how hard the Nats push him this year. He's gone about 100 innings in 2022 and 2023, and 43 so far between A+ and AA (just 12.1 in Harrisburg). In 2022 and 2023, he was about 2:1 Ks to BBs, with 6 HBP each year. homer prone even in Wilmington in 2023 (11, or about 1 per 9 innings in league that's tough on power). this year, the K:BB is 52:14, or 3.5, so that's a big jump. xFIP so far this year is around 3.01/3.02 at both levels, which is more than a 2 run improvement from last year.

Longenhagen's report on the system last year had him out of the top 31, below a 35+, saying he lost velocity on his fastball, down to 92-93 from mid-90s. Curious what his velocity is looking like this year.

[zimm_da_kid]

Last 4 starts all 6 innings or more.  Still only 21 this entire season.

Any reports of an uptick in stuff?

[imref]

Dominant again this morning: 6IP, 1H, 3BB, 6K, 0R

They are in a rain delay and he's at 92 pitches so I assume his day is done.

[zimm_da_kid]

At this rate he’s going to debut this year

[imref]

At this rate he’s going to debut this year

I can't recall any previous time where we had so many pitching prospects who seem legit: Besides Parker who has already shown he can pitch in the bigs we've got Lara, Alvarez, Herz, and Lord all pitching well in the minors right now (though Herz has been inconsistent).

[GataNats]

What’s his velo?

[Senatorswin]

I can't recall any previous time where we had so many pitching prospects who seem legit: Besides Parker who has already shown he can pitch in the bigs we've got Lara, Alvarez, Herz, and Lord all pitching well in the minors right now (though Herz has been inconsistent).

I heard Irvin on an interview today and he said much of the credit for Parker going from a pitcher in the minors who had control problems to the effective big league pitcher he is now is the Nats development system.

[nobleisthyname]

Age: 21
Team rank: 29
Current level: AA

May recap (2 levels)

W-L

|

IP

|

GS

|

ERA

|

FIP

|

SO

|

BB

|

K%

|

BB%

|

WHIP

2-1

|

25.1

|

4

|

1.78

|

4.39

|

21

|

9

|

22.1%

|

9.5%

|

0.87

Year-to-date (2 levels)

W-L

|

IP

|

GS

|

ERA

|

FIP

|

SO

|

BB

|

K%

|

BB%

|

WHIP

4-4

|

49.0

|

9

|

2.02

|

3.24

|

58

|

17

|

30.5%

|

8.9%

|

0.98

[zimm_da_kid]

At least 6 innings in his last 7 starts

[imref]

Only 5 today but no runs with 7K

[nobleisthyname]

Age: 21
Team rank: 27
Current level: AA

June recap

W-L

|

IP

|

GS

|

ERA

|

FIP

|

SO

|

BB

|

K%

|

BB%

|

WHIP

2-2

|

27.0

|

5

|

4.67

|

5.02

|

28

|

11

|

23.3%

|

9.2%

|

1.56

Year-to-date (2 levels)

W-L

|

IP

|

GS

|

ERA

|

FIP

|

SO

|

BB

|

K%

|

BB%

|

WHIP

6-6

|

76.0

|

14

|

2.96

|

3.94

|

86

|

28

|

27.7%

|

9.0%

|

1.18

[Section214]

Another great start from Lara last night. 6 IP 1 R only 1 K, but 0 BB. Over ten starts in Harrisburg, Lara is carrying a 2.98 and really limiting walks.

[nobleisthyname]

Another great start from Lara last night. 6 IP 1 R only 1 K, but 0 BB. Over ten starts in Harrisburg, Lara is carrying a 2.98 and really limiting walks.

I got to watch him in person last night, though I missed the first three innings. He wasn't missing bats but was throwing a ton of strikes. Not too much hard contact, the double in the 6th was a grounder perfectly placed down the 3rd base line, but he also benefitted from batted ball luck as well with a hard hit liner right at the second baseman allowing for an easy double play in the 4th. Also had a short injury delay in the 6th where they were looking at his hand for something. But he stayed in the game to get the final out of the inning.

[imref]

Might want to start penciling him for the rotation in 2025?

Yesterday: 7IP, 6H, 0R, 1BB, 5Ks. 2.66 ERA / 1.21 WHIP in 11 AA starts so far (64.1 IP).

[nobleisthyname]

Age: 21
Team rank: 27
Current level: AA

July recap

W-L

|

IP

|

GS

|

ERA

|

FIP

|

SO

|

BB

|

K%

|

BB%

|

WHIP

2-2

|

24.0

|

4

|

2.63

|

4.15

|

10

|

4

|

10.8%

|

4.3%

|

1.21

Year-to-date (2 levels)

W-L

|

IP

|

GS

|

ERA

|

FIP

|

SO

|

BB

|

K%

|

BB%

|

WHIP

8-8

|

100.0

|

18

|

2.88

|

3.94

|

96

|

32

|

23.8%

|

7.9%

|

1.19

[JCA-CrystalCity]

Am I a bad person if I said, "nice, but I'd like to see the K% higher"?

[nobleisthyname]

I don't know what happened to the Ks. 10 in 24 IP is definitely low. At least the walks plummeted as well.