Thanks for the stat to back up what I said... 

If the stat were meaningful. That 0.04 is basically Edwin Jackson vs John Lackey. Guess who isn't going to be on the playoff roster?

So if you really want to compare meaningful stats, it would be to look at the four most probable starters the Cubs will throw vs the four most probable the Nats will throw. (PS, they have the same ERAs in the second half)

And we have a better FIP so there's that.