Author Topic: Nationals @ Braves, Game 2  (Read 10639 times)

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Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nationals @ Braves, Game 2
« Reply #125: October 01, 2015, 03:33:10 AM »
I really can't see him getting that much money for 6 years...

VaRK - here are the top 20 pitcher contracts by Annual average value (AAV):

Quote
Starting pitchers
The highest-paid starting pitchers, by average annual value:
1. Clayton Kershaw, $30,714,286 (2014-20)
2. Max Scherzer, $30,000,000 (2015-21)
3. Jon Lester, $25,833,333 (2015-20)
4. Justin Verlander, $25,714,286 (2013-19)
5. Felix Hernandez, $25,000,000 (2013-19)
6. Zack Greinke, $24,500,000 (2013-18)
7. CC Sabathia, $24,400,000 (2012-16)
8. Cole Hamels, $24,000,000 (2013-18)
… Cliff Lee, $24,000,000 (2011-15)
9. CC Sabathia, $23,000,000 (2009-15)
11. Johan Santana, $22,916,667 (2008-13)
12. Masahiro Tanaka, $22,142,857 (2014-20)
13. Matt Cain, $21,250,000 (2012-17)
14. Rick Porcello, $20,625,000 (2016-19)
15. Tim Lincecum, $20,250,000 (2012-13)
16. Roy Halladay, $20,000,000 (2011-13)
17. Adam Wainwright, $19,500,000 (2014-18)
18. Carlos Zambrano, $18,300,000 (2008-12)
19. Barry Zito, $18,000,000 (2007-13)
20. Tim Lincecum, $17,500,000 (2014-15)
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/cots/league-info/highest-paid-players/

Basically, in 2013, it took maybe the elite to make $24MM+ AAV (Verlander, Greinke, Hernandez, Hamels), and they all got 6 or 7 years. By 2014, you saw Tanaka getting that money, and and Kershaw blowing that away at $30MM+.  By 2015, you saw that money going to the Lester, and you saw the top tier getting Scherzer money.  Porcello was a year away from free agency and got over $20MM AAV for a 4 year extension. 

6 years, $150MM is $25MM a year for a 1A or a #2 is the low end of the market (Waino took a home town discount, which JZ will not do). With money sloshing around, I see JZ easily topping 5 years $124MM.  Very likely, he ends up with 6 years and $148MM ($24MM AAV) guaranteed, and some sort of option with a buy out that gets him over $150MM.