I acknowledge that I prefer the NL way of doing things. I also acknowledge that the DH is likely coming to the NL, at some point, whether or not I like it.
I think your formulas are far too complex for the average fan to embrace...bat or bat not, to paraphrase Yoda.
Remember your premise...this is about the money...
Oh, I do remember, believe me.
So, if you're willing to relax the cynicism, it occurs to me that you might appreciate this related discussion with another baseball fan friend from another board (?)... at least, I'll take that chance...
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xxxxxxx wrote:I liken it to the hack a (insert player's name here) strategy in the NBA. It's a strategy and hardcore basketball fans are probably into it and fans of that team are probably into it. The casual fan just sees a guy that sucks at free throws and thinks "these are the best athletes in the world?" I see hitting for pitchers the same way. Those who are true hardcore fans get into it because of the number of strategic possibilities there are. Let's face it, those possibilities are all predicated on the fact that pitcher's can't hit by in large. We ask them to bunt and we ask them to try not to hit into a double play or we may pinch hit for them in that key situation. The casual fan is watching and asking that same question, "these are the best athletes in the world?"
As more of the revenue comes from online, more of the revenue will come from casual fans. I might turn into an Angels game to watch Mike Trout or Albert Pujols. I might turn into a Nationals game to watch Harper. I'm not a fan of either team. The overall aesthetic value of the game for the casual fan is limited when the pitcher hits. They don't get double switches or even pinch hitting at all. They want to see star players make great plays. Adding a DH allows the possibility of adding that one more star performer. So, another consideration in this whole debate are which economic forces are driving this train? Television and internet will favor the casual fan. The casual fan would favor a universal DH. If we are catering to hardcore fans then we will likely see the status quo or perhaps a compromise solution.
I get why you say that... chicks dig the long-ball.
But sexist though it may be... chicks aren't the life blood of the economics of the game.
And I submit this to that: There are two primary elements that drive us guys to embrace one game over the other.
Athletic ability is certainly one.
But strategy is certainly another.
We are drawn to football because it contains both, not one or the other. I submit, in fact, that that's a big reason why football has become the national obsession... we admire the athleticism, sure, but at least in equal measure, we are very intrigued by the strategy... by the plays called, the formations run... it's both.
To the degree that baseball's strategic element is muted, it becomes more like... sorry, but the analogy still fits to my mind... watching pro bowlers... get up, take your turn, sit down... very rote, and indisputably (imo) less interesting than the traditional game.
So, while you might feel like you're attracting casual fans, I submit that that ignores the other question... to what degree are you retaining fans' interest?
To what degree are you able to baptize fans into your team cult such that they're repeat buyers, not only of merely tickets, but of online properties and tangible team merchandise?
The AL game, I believe, is significantly less able to grab males' interest. The game is better able to capture males' interest... creating a larger base of hardcore fans as you mention... as it preserves that cerebral element.
From a business point of view, I'm inclined to say you certainly don't want to do things that drive casual fans away. But I don't think that the meager proportion of at-bats by pitchers in an NL game drives anyone away.
So, if we can agree it's not driving anyone away, then the more salient point naturally becomes, of those that are exposed to the game, what can we do to increase the number of them who are becoming hardcore?