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Author Topic: Nats Stats  (Read 5410 times)

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Offline GataNats

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Re: Nats Stats
« Reply #75 on: April 27, 2023, 03:08:22 am »
Smith needs the bench
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Offline IanRubbish

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Re: Nats Stats
« Reply #76 on: April 29, 2023, 04:16:27 pm »
9-16 with a -16 run differential, meanwhile the Marlins are 14-13 with a -37 run differential
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Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nats Stats
« Reply #77 on: April 29, 2023, 04:43:52 pm »
Quote from: IanRubbish on April 29, 2023, 04:16:27 pm
9-16 with a -16 run differential, meanwhile the Marlins are 14-13 with a -37 run differential
I am guessing most of our negative run differential was built up in the 1st 2 series, so we are 8-11 since then. I will also guess we've won more games by 4 or more runs than lost
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Offline IanRubbish

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Re: Nats Stats
« Reply #78 on: April 29, 2023, 07:45:43 pm »
Quote from: JCA-CrystalCity on April 29, 2023, 04:43:52 pm
I am guessing most of our negative run differential was built up in the 1st 2 series, so we are 8-11 since then. I will also guess we've won more games by 4 or more runs than lost

It's -32 at home, +16 on the road after the 1st game of today's doubleheader.   At least start by going back to the curly W caps at home with the curly W or lucky blue jerseys.   These stupid uniforms are painful to look at it.
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Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nats Stats
« Reply #79 on: April 30, 2023, 04:45:17 pm »
Nats have 4 out of the top 50 guys in BB/K. Ruiz (#14 1.00), Call (#31 - 0.79) Garcia (#40 - 0.71), and Robles (#43 - 0.67).  Call is #14 in BB%(15.5%).
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Online Slateman

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Re: Nats Stats
« Reply #80 on: April 30, 2023, 04:55:25 pm »
Quote from: JCA-CrystalCity on April 29, 2023, 04:43:52 pm
I am guessing most of our negative run differential was built up in the 1st 2 series, so we are 8-11 since then. I will also guess we've won more games by 4 or more runs than lost
Last night didnt help it
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Offline blue911

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Re: Nats Stats
« Reply #81 on: April 30, 2023, 05:02:28 pm »
Quote from: JCA-CrystalCity on April 30, 2023, 04:45:17 pm
Nats have 4 out of the top 50 guys in BB/K. Ruiz (#14 1.00), Call (#31 - 0.79) Garcia (#40 - 0.71), and Robles (#43 - 0.67).  Call is #14 in BB%(15.5%).

The flip side is all four have below average exit velocity.
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Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nats Stats
« Reply #82 on: April 30, 2023, 07:24:17 pm »
Quote from: blue911 on April 30, 2023, 05:02:28 pm
The flip side is all four have below average exit velocity.
I think Ruiz is getting to the point where he knows his contact skills are so good that he can hunt a bit for better pitches until he gets 2 strikes
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Online imref

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Re: Nats Stats
« Reply #83 on: May 02, 2023, 05:31:34 pm »
shortest GDT ever last night?
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Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nats Stats
« Reply #84 on: May 02, 2023, 06:48:20 pm »
Quote from: imref on May 02, 2023, 05:31:34 pm
shortest GDT ever last night?
no. I think there were a few last year.
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Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nats Stats
« Reply #85 on: May 02, 2023, 08:19:17 pm »
Quote from: JCA-CrystalCity on May 02, 2023, 06:48:20 pm
no. I think there were a few last year.
we had a 10, a 12, and a 13 last year. several 15 to 18.
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Offline IanRubbish

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Re: Nats Stats
« Reply #86 on: May 02, 2023, 09:53:58 pm »
Run differential predicts a .391 win pct, actual now .379

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Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nats Stats
« Reply #87 on: May 02, 2023, 09:56:58 pm »
Quote from: IanRubbish on May 02, 2023, 09:53:58 pm
Run differential predicts a .391 win pct, actual now .379


A .400 win  percentage is between 64 & 65 wins.  .391 is 63-99.
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Offline IanRubbish

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Re: Nats Stats
« Reply #88 on: May 04, 2023, 04:12:32 pm »
Actual W-L now ahead of run differential projection.   115-140 predicts a .403 win pct, they're now .419. 

Marlins now in 2nd place with a much worse -49 run differential, won't hold up.
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Offline IanRubbish

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Re: Nats Stats
« Reply #89 on: June 26, 2023, 11:46:39 pm »
Quote from: IanRubbish on May 04, 2023, 04:12:32 pm
Marlins now in 2nd place with a much worse -49 run differential, won't hold up.

Well, was wrong about that one.

Nats are now 29th in walks, 29th in HRs, yet 1st in fewest batting Ks.   Results of this strategy speak for themselves.
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Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nats Stats
« Reply #90 on: June 27, 2023, 08:40:36 am »
The wheels on the bus went round and round, as they are supposed to, for 50 games. June has been absolutely disaster. The wheels have fallen off. They are who we thought they were, or maybe a touch worse. Certainly that bullpen proved incapable of repeating some good performances from last year.
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