Author Topic: Nationals @ Angels, Game 2  (Read 31708 times)

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Offline TylerDC

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Re: Nationals @ Angels, Game 2
« Reply #950: June 29, 2011, 01:40:03 AM »
Well, if you want to do it properly, you need to regress it backwards a few years and to league average, giving more weight to recent years, according to the equations we've derived by looking at hundreds of thousands of plate appearances in professional baseball.  The hot streaks Bernadina and Espinosa have been on lately (I'm assuming you're talking about BA here?) are definitely way too small a sample size to think there's anything substantial behind them.
Yeah, BA.

So if you were to project Espinosa's BA to finish the season (as in it is .000 starting tomorrow) how do you weigh the .220 vs .300+ we've seen lately, considering he's so young.