Author Topic: Are The Nationals in Spring Training?  (Read 2538 times)

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Online HalfSmokes

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Re: Are The Nationals in Spring Training?
« Reply #50: March 10, 2023, 03:22:28 PM »
you've built into your expectations an expectation of failure. It's not unreasonable to say one outcome is that there's little improvement from Gray, that at least one if not both of Cavalli and / or Gore busts, there's a lot fo regression for Meneses, and that there's little progression among Abrams, Ruiz, and Garcia.  That would certainly drive away fans. That said, I'm not sure that's more likely than a rosy scenario with one or two of Dom / Candy /Corey having bounceback years, the trio of Abrams, Ruiz, and Garcia following a normal age path and improving, a middling rotation led by both Cavalli and Gore with high 3 / low 4 ERAs stabilized by Williams and Gray around 4.4-4.8, and still considerable mashing from Meneses even if not as good as August and September. That's better than a 55 win team, and might be closer to what the 2010 team looked like. That can get some attention back, especially with the Wiz /Caps/United on the downsidde and the Commies not getting going until late July. 

They are +25,000 to win the NL East and +3000 to make the playoffs and their over/under is 59.5 wins. I'd say the expectation is failure this year.