Still has rookie status, so listed as #63 on FG's top 100 list for 2023. Rated a 50 Future Value. From the write up:
He started the 2022 season at Triple-A and wasn’t quite as dominant as he’d been at the close of 2021, with just a 21.5% strikeout rate throughout April and May. But from June on, he was markedly more effective, boosting that K-rate to just shy of 30%, while bringing his walk rate down. This was in part due to a notable adjustment to his pitch mix. He threw his heavy, low-spin curveball with greater frequency and relied on it more as an out pitch. In two-strike counts, Cavalli threw his fastball 51% of the time in the first couple months of the season, with the curveball coming in second at just 22%. But from June through mid-August, his two-strike fastball usage diminished to just 40%, with his curveball right behind it at 34%. This is particularly important given the fact that his fastball’s viability has more to do with its velocity than its shape, so being able to rely more heavily on the secondaries – he also features an impressive mid-80s slider and a changeup he reserves mainly for use against lefties – allows the whole mix to play up. Moreover, in his 221 innings of career work in the minors, he’s allowed just eight home runs.
however, the injury and shutdown after one MLB start brought back concerns about his health history and the risk he may only be a reliever and not a core rotation piece.
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2023-top-100-prospects/
