Just look at the highschool pitchers taken first in every draft- the overwhelming majority are busts- since 2000, 2006 is the only big success
2002 was a very big success for HS pitchers. Cain, Greinke, Hamels, Saunders, Kazmir. Of course in that draft of talented HS arms, it was the O's and Nats/Expos who failed to pick up a stud HS arm. Typical.